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On August 12th, a research report from CICC stated that the commodity market is likely to continue to diverge. AI data centers, grid expansion, and energy transition will continue to support demand for copper and aluminum. Given the continued strong supply constraints, non-ferrous metals offer the dual benefits of improved liquidity and AI-driven physical investment, and we recommend an overweight position. Energy commodities such as oil still possess hedging value, but future volatility may increase; we suggest maintaining current positions and avoiding chasing highs.On August 12th, a research report from CICC stated that two narratives that previously suppressed gold prices are being disproven: First, global liquidity has not truly entered a tightening cycle. With declining inflation and slowing growth in the US, economic fundamentals support a looser monetary policy. Warshs "hawkish in name but dovish in practice" stance suggests that Fed reforms may open up room for future interest rate cuts. Second, "de-dollarization" is not over. While Warshs balance sheet reduction policy objectively helps repair the dollars credibility, this policy is subject to multiple constraints from financial markets and politics, resulting in high uncertainty regarding its future implementation. Meanwhile, the structural erosion of the dollars credibility by high debt, high deficits, and policy uncertainty may be difficult to reverse. Global central banks net gold purchases rebounded to 289 tons in the second quarter, a 62% year-on-year increase and a record high for the second quarter, reflecting deep-seated concerns about the dollar among global central banks. Reserve diversification will continue to support gold demand in the medium to long term. As global liquidity becomes more relaxed, upward pressure on real interest rates and the dollar will ease, potentially allowing gold to regain the dual support of liquidity and monetary system diversification. We believe the gold bull market is not over, and the window for re-allocating after the previous correction has opened. We recommend continuing to overweight gold.Japans broad money supply liquidity rate was 4.4% year-on-year in July, down from 4.5% in the previous month.August 12th - According to a report by the Wall Street Journal on the 11th, an internal investigation by the U.S. Department of Defense revealed that a series of U.S. military strikes against Yemen in 2025 will result in hundreds of civilian casualties. The report states that this marks the first time the Trump administration has officially acknowledged the scale of civilian casualties caused by its airstrikes against the Houthi rebels in Yemen.Japans M3 money supply annual rate was 1.4% in July, down from 1.50% in the previous month.

Al Gore asserts that climate change action has reached a "tipping point"

Haiden Holmes

Sep 21, 2022 10:35

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Al Gore, a former vice president of the United States and co-founder of Generation Investment Management, stated in an interview with Reuters that the world has reached a "positive tipping point" in the fight against climate change as rising oil and gas prices prompt governments to decarbonize more rapidly.


His examples included the $430 billion Inflation Reduction Act, which is widely regarded as the largest climate package in U.S. history, and Australia's promise earlier this month to decrease carbon emissions by 43 percent by 2030 and to net zero by 2050.


Gore anticipated policy shifts on climate change from Brazil following an impending election and from China following the resumption of talks between President Joe Biden and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He at the November G20 summit in Indonesia.


The war in Ukraine, which Russia refers to as a "special military operation," has caused oil and gas prices to spike, he said, adding that he was concerned about the efforts of some nations to increase fossil fuel production in response.


Gore stated that there is no such thing as a clean fossil fuel, just as there is no such thing as a healthy cigarette. According to the authors, "we do not want to see investments in fossil fuel infrastructure that A will not alleviate the short-term crisis and B would guarantee decades of increasing emission levels."


He stated, "There is evidence nearly everywhere in the world" of the accelerating rate of change, and added that worsening weather events were also pushing the imperative to act.


Al Gore stated that heatwaves in China, floods in Pakistan, and drought in Europe are examples of how "Mother Nature has joined the climate discussion."


In both "An Inconvenient Truth" (2006) and "An Inconvenient Sequel" (2017), Al Gore, the former vice president of the United States, argues that the struggle against climate change is a moral one.


In 2007, he shared the Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts to address climate change while serving as the chairman of Generation Investment Management, a London-based firm that invests in sustainable public and private markets and conducts research.


He said that some governments are removing fossil fuel facilities with decades of remaining life due to the declining cost of renewable electricity, while others are considering banning the sale of fossil fuel-powered automobiles.


"When the technology provides three times as many jobs per invested dollar as investments in fossil fuels, a very good tipping point will be reached," he stated.


In its most recent annual sustainability trends report, published on Wednesday, Generation anticipated that annual investments in the clean economy would surpass $1 trillion over the next few years.


According to the research, while this is less than what is required to keep global warming at 1.5 degrees Celsius over the pre-industrial average, it is increasing "at a rapid rate."