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1. Macroeconomic Data Released: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its June CPI report, showing an overall CPI increase of 3.5% year-on-year and a decrease of 0.4% month-on-month (dragged down by a 5.7% drop in energy prices); the core CPI, which is more closely watched by Fed officials, recorded 0% month-on-month, both lower than market expectations. Following the data release, market expectations for a Fed rate hike in July significantly diminished, with expectations for a rate hike this year falling to around one, leading to a decline in the dollar index and a sharp rebound in precious metals during the session. 2. Geopolitical and Inflation Concerns: Inflation reports are lagging indicators, reflecting only the situation over the past month. With the recent escalation of geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran, international oil prices have climbed back above $80 per barrel. The market needs to be highly vigilant about the rebound in energy prices and its secondary transmission effect on inflation. 3. Diverging Core Inflation Structure: On the one hand, housing inflation rose only 0.1% month-on-month, while super core inflation (core services excluding housing) fell 0.2% month-on-month, effectively alleviating market concerns about the stickiness of service sector inflation. On the other hand, the AI investment boom brings structural concerns, with AI-related electronic component prices surging 17.4% year-on-year. Given its high weighting of 1.2% in core PCE inflation, persistently high prices will increase the stickiness of core PCE, creating new constraints on the Feds monetary policy. 4. Short-Term Pressure on Precious Metals: According to Xinhu Futures analysis, the rebound in precious metals in the latter half of the night saw a significant narrowing of gains. The core reason is that the Fed remains focused on core inflation, and the new chairman, Warsh, insists on not providing forward guidance, forcing the market to retain a certain uncertainty premium (interest rate hike expectations) in asset pricing. With policy lagging behind the economic curve, the Feds hawkish stance is expected to remain firm, and the resilience of the US economy and high interest rate expectations will exert dual pressure on precious metals. 5. Dongwu Futures View: Crude oil prices and inflation stickiness may lead to fluctuations in July data. Furthermore, Warshs recent testimony remained cautious, indicating that he would act according to data even with criticism from Trump, and that the June CPI slowdown does not signify the completion of the inflation target. The market will need to closely monitor the latest developments in the Strait of Hormuz situation, Federal Reserve policy signals, and subsequent inflation and employment data. (The above content is compiled from publicly available market data from Dongwu Futures, Xinhu Futures, etc., and is for reference only, not investment advice.)July 16th - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM.N), the worlds largest semiconductor foundry, announced on Thursday that its second-quarter net profit rose 77.4% year-on-year, a record high and exceeding market expectations, driven by surging global demand for artificial intelligence processors. TSMCs customers include Nvidia and Apple. The company reported that net profit for the April-June period reached NT$706.6 billion (approximately US$21.99 billion), significantly higher than the market expectation of NT$632.6 billion obtained by LSEG SmartEstimate. The companys second-quarter revenue was NT$1,270.381 billion, a year-on-year increase of 36%.TSMC (TSM.N) reported a 4% quarter-over-quarter decline in revenue from its smartphone business in the second quarter.TSMC (TSM.N) reported capital expenditures of US$15.7 billion in the second quarter.TSMC (TSM.N) reported revenue of NT$1.27 trillion in Q2 2026, compared to NT$933.792 billion in the same period last year.

Al Gore asserts that climate change action has reached a "tipping point"

Haiden Holmes

Sep 21, 2022 10:35

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Al Gore, a former vice president of the United States and co-founder of Generation Investment Management, stated in an interview with Reuters that the world has reached a "positive tipping point" in the fight against climate change as rising oil and gas prices prompt governments to decarbonize more rapidly.


His examples included the $430 billion Inflation Reduction Act, which is widely regarded as the largest climate package in U.S. history, and Australia's promise earlier this month to decrease carbon emissions by 43 percent by 2030 and to net zero by 2050.


Gore anticipated policy shifts on climate change from Brazil following an impending election and from China following the resumption of talks between President Joe Biden and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He at the November G20 summit in Indonesia.


The war in Ukraine, which Russia refers to as a "special military operation," has caused oil and gas prices to spike, he said, adding that he was concerned about the efforts of some nations to increase fossil fuel production in response.


Gore stated that there is no such thing as a clean fossil fuel, just as there is no such thing as a healthy cigarette. According to the authors, "we do not want to see investments in fossil fuel infrastructure that A will not alleviate the short-term crisis and B would guarantee decades of increasing emission levels."


He stated, "There is evidence nearly everywhere in the world" of the accelerating rate of change, and added that worsening weather events were also pushing the imperative to act.


Al Gore stated that heatwaves in China, floods in Pakistan, and drought in Europe are examples of how "Mother Nature has joined the climate discussion."


In both "An Inconvenient Truth" (2006) and "An Inconvenient Sequel" (2017), Al Gore, the former vice president of the United States, argues that the struggle against climate change is a moral one.


In 2007, he shared the Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts to address climate change while serving as the chairman of Generation Investment Management, a London-based firm that invests in sustainable public and private markets and conducts research.


He said that some governments are removing fossil fuel facilities with decades of remaining life due to the declining cost of renewable electricity, while others are considering banning the sale of fossil fuel-powered automobiles.


"When the technology provides three times as many jobs per invested dollar as investments in fossil fuels, a very good tipping point will be reached," he stated.


In its most recent annual sustainability trends report, published on Wednesday, Generation anticipated that annual investments in the clean economy would surpass $1 trillion over the next few years.


According to the research, while this is less than what is required to keep global warming at 1.5 degrees Celsius over the pre-industrial average, it is increasing "at a rapid rate."