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On April 16, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiakun held a regular press conference. A Reuters reporter asked, "US President Trump said yesterday that he believes China will not stop buying Iranian oil. He also said he would impose sanctions on countries that buy Iranian oil. What is Chinas comment on this?" Guo Jiakun stated that China has consistently opposed illegal unilateral sanctions that have no basis in international law and are not authorized by the UN Security Council.On April 16th, Suren Thiru, an economist at the Institute of Chartered Accountants, stated that the unexpectedly strong growth in the UK in February would soon be overshadowed by the impact of the war with Iran. GDP grew by 0.5% that month, higher than the expected 0.2%. He said, "Given that the unexpectedly strong growth in February has been far outpaced by new energy and supply chain shocks, these figures are unlikely to alleviate stagflation concerns." This is expected to affect investment and consumer spending over the next year, thus dampening economic growth. Thiru indicated that the Bank of England is likely to keep interest rates unchanged for the time being, as the squeeze on growth will suppress inflation.The Bank of Japan announced that it will hold a meeting of bond market participants from May 21 to 22.April 16th - According to the BBC, Bank of England Governor Bailey stated that the central bank is "not in a hurry" to make a decision on interest rate hikes in the face of the energy price shock caused by the war with Iran. He pointed out that rising oil and gas prices will certainly affect prices, but other factors make interest rate decisions "very, very difficult." Bailey said, "We are not in a hurry to make judgments on these things because there is a lot of uncertainty in this area, not only about how things will develop, but also how it will be transmitted to the UK economy." The IMF lowered its economic growth forecast on Tuesday, warning that if the war escalates and oil prices remain above $100 until 2027, the global economy may face the risk of recession, with the UK receiving the largest downward revision among large, wealthy economies.Ukrainian President Zelensky: Aid supplies to Ukraine should be delivered on time.

AUD/USD However, 0.6700 is the key to the upside

Daniel Rogers

Apr 11, 2023 14:41

AUD:USD.png 

 

In the early hours of Tuesday morning in Asia, the AUD/USD receives bids near 0.6650 to recover recent losses. In doing so, the Aussie pair recovers from the lowest levels in two weeks while reversing course from the horizontal support that has been in place for 12 days around 0.6620.

 

Nonetheless, imminent bearish MACD signals and a stable RSI indicate that the AUD/USD pair will continue to decline.

 

The convergence of the 10-day moving average and the support-turned-resistance line from March 10, close to the round number 0.6700, may also threaten the most recent price recovery.

 

Even if the AUD/USD bulls are able to surpass 0.6700, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair's February-March decline, located around 0.6805, will serve as the final line of defense for the bears.

 

Alternately, a break below 0.6620 could initiate a new decline aiming for the Year-to-Date (YTD) low established in February around 0.6565.

 

Notably, the AUD/USD pair's decline beyond 0.6565 confronts multiple obstacles to the south, including the highs for October 2022 near 0.6545 and 0.6520.

 

After that, a decline to the November 2022 low of approximately 0.6275 cannot be ruled out.

 

Regardless of the recent corrective rally, the AUD/USD remains on the radar of skeptics.