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Canadas wholesale inventories rose 6.5% year-on-year in September, compared with 5.3% in the previous month.Canadian wholesale sales rose 4% year-on-year in September, up from 4.3% previously.Canadian wholesale sales rose 0.6% month-on-month in September, compared with an expected 0% and a previous reading of -1.20%.On November 14th, Japans Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries announced that the average price of rice sold in supermarkets reached a record high of 4,444 yen (approximately US$28) per 5 kilograms. Prices had briefly fallen after the government released emergency reserves, but the upward trend continued. The seven-day average price ending last Sunday was 116 yen higher than the previous week, marking the sixth consecutive week of increases. This price surpasses the historical high before the government released emergency reserves to suppress retail prices. Despite widespread market expectations that this years bumper harvest will ease pressure on retail rice prices, the price increase has persisted. While prices in rice transactions between wholesalers and distributors are trending downwards, market analysts predict it will take time for the price reductions to be transmitted to the retail level.On November 14th, Oxford Economics Andrew Goodwin stated in a report that the UK governments potential reversal of its income tax increase plan in the November 26th budget would be a risky move. Goodwin said that if this shift stems from political concerns, it would further reinforce the view that the UK government "lacks the will to make tough fiscal decisions." If the shift is due to favorable forecast revisions from the Office for Budget Responsibility, then the market risks questioning the credibility of those forecasts. Goodwin noted that Fridays poor performance in bonds and the pound reflects fragile market confidence in the UKs fiscal plan.

AUD/USD However, 0.6700 is the key to the upside

Daniel Rogers

Apr 11, 2023 14:41

AUD:USD.png 

 

In the early hours of Tuesday morning in Asia, the AUD/USD receives bids near 0.6650 to recover recent losses. In doing so, the Aussie pair recovers from the lowest levels in two weeks while reversing course from the horizontal support that has been in place for 12 days around 0.6620.

 

Nonetheless, imminent bearish MACD signals and a stable RSI indicate that the AUD/USD pair will continue to decline.

 

The convergence of the 10-day moving average and the support-turned-resistance line from March 10, close to the round number 0.6700, may also threaten the most recent price recovery.

 

Even if the AUD/USD bulls are able to surpass 0.6700, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair's February-March decline, located around 0.6805, will serve as the final line of defense for the bears.

 

Alternately, a break below 0.6620 could initiate a new decline aiming for the Year-to-Date (YTD) low established in February around 0.6565.

 

Notably, the AUD/USD pair's decline beyond 0.6565 confronts multiple obstacles to the south, including the highs for October 2022 near 0.6545 and 0.6520.

 

After that, a decline to the November 2022 low of approximately 0.6275 cannot be ruled out.

 

Regardless of the recent corrective rally, the AUD/USD remains on the radar of skeptics.