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Market News: The United States is considering imposing new sanctions on Russia due to the reported arrival of North Korean troops in Russia.On October 24, foreign exchange market analyst Jeremy Bolton said that in 2022, the dollars rise came to an abrupt halt due to bets on dollar appreciation and excessive investment in the dollar. After a long correction and a cleanup of these bullish bets and investments, there is now little that can stop the dollars rise. When the dollar peaked in 2022, it was also overbought, but the pullback caused by these extreme conditions proved to be mild, only 23.6% of the previous increase. This is a strong sign that the upward trend is still in place and lays the foundation for the continuation of the upward trend that began in 2011. The technical outlook supports a larger rise in the dollar, and the overbought situation has eased as traders short the dollar. The dollars rapid appreciation this month was driven by a squeeze on short positions, which led to a rapid rise in the currency, up nearly 4%. With little investment in the dollar, the rise in October could be the beginning of a larger fluctuation that could exceed the 2022 high of 114.78.On October 24, Canalys latest research showed that Indias smartphone shipments grew 9% to 47.1 million units in the third quarter of 2024. Merchants cleared inventory through early season sales in online and offline channels to prepare for the festival season. However, demand was sluggish before the festival due to rising food inflation and slowing urban durable goods consumption. Vivo took the lead for the first time, occupying 19% of the market share with shipments of 9.1 million units. Xiaomi followed with shipments of 7.8 million units, while Samsung ranked third with 7.5 million units. OPPO (excluding OnePlus) and Realme ranked in the top five with shipments of 6.3 million and 5.3 million units, respectively.On October 24, recently, the secondary market trading price of Class A RMB shares of E Fund Crude Oil Securities Investment Fund (QDII) (Fund Code: 161129, on-site abbreviation: Crude Oil LOF E Fund, hereinafter referred to as "this Fund") under E Fund Management Co., Ltd. was significantly higher than the net value of the fund shares. On October 22, 2024, the net value of the fund shares was 1.2052 yuan. As of October 24, 2024, the closing price of this fund in the secondary market was 1.404 yuan. Investors are hereby reminded to pay attention to the premium risk of secondary market trading prices. If investors buy at a high premium, they may face large losses.Rivian (RIVN.O) rose 1.8% in pre-market trading and Lucid Group (LCID.O) rose 2.4%. Tesla CEO Elon Musk said Tesla expects vehicle sales to grow 20-30% next year.

Prior to the release of Australian employment data, the AUD/JPY pair attempts to regain 89.00

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:44

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The AUD/JPY pair attempts to reclaim the critical resistance level of 89.00 during the Asian session. Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), has advocated for an extension of the already decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy in order to consistently achieve an inflation rate above 2%.

 

The decelerating Producer Price Index (PPI) contradicts the optimistic outlook of the Japanese government regarding wage growth. As expected by market participants, the March PPI did not change. The annual PPI came in at 7.2%, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 7.1% but lower than the previous release of 8.1%. The inability of companies to sustain accelerating production rates at factory gates is indicative of weak household demand.

 

Analysts at Commerzbank anticipate that the Japanese Yen will only appreciate over the long term if the current monetary policy is abandoned quickly.

 

Regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC), the IMF has stated that allowing more flexibility in YCC could have repercussions for global markets, but it could also prevent future policy shifts that could result in significant spillovers.

 

Investors are awaiting the March Employment Report for fresh impetus in the Australian Dollar. The market expects the Australian economy to add 20,000 employment, which is less than the previous estimate of 64.6K. While the Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 3.6% from 3.5% in February, it is anticipated that the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6%.

 

Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the door open for additional rate hikes if Australian inflation persists, so the publication of stronger-than-expected employment gains could reignite fears of additional rate hikes.