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On June 4th, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Bullock stated that the RBA has seen some signs that its interest rate hikes are beginning to have an effect on the economy, and reiterated that the Monetary Policy Committee will take necessary measures to fulfill its mandate. The RBA has raised interest rates at all three of its meetings this year, restoring the benchmark rate to 4.35% in an attempt to curb resurgent inflation. Bullock expressed concern about the risk of a second round of inflationary effects from an energy shock triggered by the Middle East conflict. Bullock stated that one of the channels through which interest rate adjustments often have a rapid impact is the housing market, where conditions have eased, partly reflecting the tightening of monetary policy. The money market expects the RBA to hold rates steady at its June meeting, with about a 50% chance of another rate hike in August, while the possibility of a December rate hike has been fully priced in.Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock: We see the trade-off between inflation and unemployment moving in an unfavorable direction.Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock: The artificial intelligence boom has significantly boosted global economic activity.Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock: Not worried about a wage-price spiral.According to RIA Novosti, the Russian Ministry of Defense stated that Russian air defense systems shot down 272 Ukrainian drones over Russian territory overnight.

Prior to the release of Australian employment data, the AUD/JPY pair attempts to regain 89.00

Alina Haynes

Apr 12, 2023 13:44

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The AUD/JPY pair attempts to reclaim the critical resistance level of 89.00 during the Asian session. Kazuo Ueda, the governor of the Bank of Japan (BoJ), has advocated for an extension of the already decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy in order to consistently achieve an inflation rate above 2%.

 

The decelerating Producer Price Index (PPI) contradicts the optimistic outlook of the Japanese government regarding wage growth. As expected by market participants, the March PPI did not change. The annual PPI came in at 7.2%, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 7.1% but lower than the previous release of 8.1%. The inability of companies to sustain accelerating production rates at factory gates is indicative of weak household demand.

 

Analysts at Commerzbank anticipate that the Japanese Yen will only appreciate over the long term if the current monetary policy is abandoned quickly.

 

Regarding the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) Yield Curve Control (YCC), the IMF has stated that allowing more flexibility in YCC could have repercussions for global markets, but it could also prevent future policy shifts that could result in significant spillovers.

 

Investors are awaiting the March Employment Report for fresh impetus in the Australian Dollar. The market expects the Australian economy to add 20,000 employment, which is less than the previous estimate of 64.6K. While the Unemployment Rate is expected to rise to 3.6% from 3.5% in February, it is anticipated that the Unemployment Rate will increase to 3.6%.

 

Governor Philip Lowe of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has left the door open for additional rate hikes if Australian inflation persists, so the publication of stronger-than-expected employment gains could reignite fears of additional rate hikes.