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The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened up 679.42 points, or 1.60%, to 43,197.70 on Wednesday, January 15; the Nasdaq Composite Index opened up 317.63 points, or 1.67%, to 19,362.02 on Wednesday, January 15; and the S&P 500 opened up 83.06 points, or 1.42%, to 5,925.97 on Wednesday, January 15.On January 15, analysts pointed out that analysts trying to understand the underlying trend of inflation focus on "super core" inflation, which is defined as core service inflation excluding housing. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has used this indicator as an important way to understand the evolving inflation path. Stifel economists said that super core prices rose 0.2% month-on-month in December, the smallest monthly increase since July last year. For the whole of 2024, super core prices rose 4.2%, down from 4.3% in November and the smallest annual increase in a year. Those who are optimistic about inflation may see these figures as a guarantee that price increases will continue to gradually cool.Swedish Central Bank Governor Teden: If the outlook remains unchanged, the policy rate may be lowered again.On January 15, the U.S. stock market opened, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.63%, the Nasdaq rose 1.62%, and the S&P 500 rose 1.42%. The overall CPI in the United States in December was basically in line with expectations, the core CPI eased, and the markets expectations for interest rate cuts increased. Wall Street banks released their Q4 financial reports, BlackRock (BLK.N) and Wells Fargo (WFC.N) rose more than 5% after the results, Citigroup (CN) and Goldman Sachs (GS.N) rose more than 4%, and JPMorgan Chase (JPM.N) rose 1.7%.Sources: The Kremlin wants to impose restrictions on Kievs military and relations with NATO in the negotiations.

AUD/USD However, 0.6700 is the key to the upside

Daniel Rogers

Apr 11, 2023 14:41

AUD:USD.png 

 

In the early hours of Tuesday morning in Asia, the AUD/USD receives bids near 0.6650 to recover recent losses. In doing so, the Aussie pair recovers from the lowest levels in two weeks while reversing course from the horizontal support that has been in place for 12 days around 0.6620.

 

Nonetheless, imminent bearish MACD signals and a stable RSI indicate that the AUD/USD pair will continue to decline.

 

The convergence of the 10-day moving average and the support-turned-resistance line from March 10, close to the round number 0.6700, may also threaten the most recent price recovery.

 

Even if the AUD/USD bulls are able to surpass 0.6700, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair's February-March decline, located around 0.6805, will serve as the final line of defense for the bears.

 

Alternately, a break below 0.6620 could initiate a new decline aiming for the Year-to-Date (YTD) low established in February around 0.6565.

 

Notably, the AUD/USD pair's decline beyond 0.6565 confronts multiple obstacles to the south, including the highs for October 2022 near 0.6545 and 0.6520.

 

After that, a decline to the November 2022 low of approximately 0.6275 cannot be ruled out.

 

Regardless of the recent corrective rally, the AUD/USD remains on the radar of skeptics.