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Market news: Meta Platforms (META.O) has completed a $30 billion bond issuance.U.S. Treasury yields rose on Monday, November 4, as high corporate bond issuance and a continuation of the pessimistic tone of the previous week in the Treasury market followed Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powells remarks dampening the possibility of further monetary easing this year. Meanwhile, the U.S. government shutdown, which began on October 1, is on track to become the longest shutdown in history this week, disrupting the release of key economic data and increasing uncertainty for policymakers and investors as they assess the trajectory of inflation and a weak labor market. "I think the decline in Treasury yields has been too rapid and too sharp," said Kelly Kowalski, head of investment strategy at MassMutual. "The market had been expecting a significant rate cut from the Fed, but Powell dampened those expectations last week… More important than the December meeting, this has raised questions about the markets already priced-in significant rate cuts next year and the Feds view on that," she said, adding, "This is largely related to the lack of data."The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 226.19 points, or 0.48%, at 47,336.68 on Monday, November 3; the S&P 500 rose 11.77 points, or 0.17%, to 6,851.97 on Monday, November 3; and the Nasdaq Composite rose 109.77 points, or 0.46%, to 23,834.72 on Monday, November 3.November 4th - According to four sources familiar with the matter, as Trump strikes at what he sees as political rivals, Acting Inspector General Joe Allen of the Federal Housing Finance Agency has been dismissed. This comes after the agencys director, Bill Pulte, became a vocal supporter of the Trump administration. Across the government, the Trump administration has so far fired or reappointed nearly 24 agency oversight personnel responsible for monitoring waste, fraud, and abuse.November 4th - According to data from the Fibre Box Association, shipments of corrugated boxes in the US fell to their lowest level for the same period since 2015 in the third quarter, continuing the sluggish trend of the previous quarter. This has exacerbated concerns that US retailers may have disappointing sales performance during this years holiday season. In recent weeks, several packaging companies have warned that economic uncertainty is suppressing the spending intentions of retailers and consumers. Corrugated boxes are mainly used for shipping goods and in-store displays, and shipment volumes are often considered a leading indicator of demand for food and consumer goods. The period leading up to the Christmas season is crucial for the corrugated box industry, with shipments typically peaking in October to help retailers prepare for the holiday season.

With traders awaiting UK Retail Sales and US PMI, GBP/USD is meeting resistance at 1.2000

Daniel Rogers

Jul 22, 2022 14:46

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The British pound has been under selling pressure against the US dollar throughout the Asian trading session as the pair attempts to break through the crucial 1.2000 barrier. The cable had previously seen a vertical up trend after buyers indicated interest from Thursday's low of 1.1890. The asset is expecting a correction, but this does not necessitate a bearish reversal.

 

The US dollar index (DXY) has experienced strong buying demand in the first hour of trading as investors bet on a rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week. Given the recent drop in US long-term inflation projections, the probability of a 100 bps rate hike has unquestionably increased. However, the current pricing pressures must be handled quickly lest they have a catastrophic impact. That's why the Fed may do nothing or declare a rate hike of 75 basis points.

 

The US S&P PMI data will be the focus of investors for the whole of today's session. In this update, the Global Composite data stands at 51.7, down from 52.3 in the last release. It's possible that the Manufacturing PMI may fall from 52.7 to 52. There is hope that the Services PMI would rise to 52.6 from 52.7. This will keep the DXY in a weak position.

 

With regards to the pound, all eyes will be on the latest Retail Sales report. The economy is -5.3 percent more vulnerable than it was in the last report, which was -4.7 percent, according to a preliminary evaluation. Sales at stores have been on the rise even before the recent spike in energy costs. Due to out-of-control inflation, the forecast for retail sales should have been raised. A smaller consensus, on the other hand, indicates that demand is poor across the board and that prices will not rise over their prior level regardless of pricing pressures.