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On March 31, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Peoples Bank of China held its first quarterly meeting (the 112th overall) for 2026 on March 26. The meeting analyzed the domestic and international economic and financial situation, concluding that the impact of changes in the external environment is deepening, global economic momentum is weak, geopolitical and trade conflicts are frequent, the economic performance of major economies is diverging, and there is uncertainty regarding inflation trends and monetary policy adjustments. While my countrys economy is generally stable and progressing steadily, with new achievements in high-quality development, it still faces problems and challenges such as strong supply and weak demand, and external shocks. The meeting stressed the need to continue implementing a moderately loose monetary policy, increase counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments, better leverage the dual functions of monetary policy tools in terms of both quantity and structure, strengthen the coordination of monetary and fiscal policies, and promote stable economic growth and a reasonable recovery in prices.On March 31, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Peoples Bank of China held its first quarterly meeting (the 112th overall) for 2026 on March 26. The meeting emphasized the need to guide large banks to play a leading role in serving the real economy, and to encourage small and medium-sized banks to focus on their core businesses and enhance their capital strength. It stressed the importance of making good use of various structural monetary policy tools, optimizing tool management, and solidly implementing the "five major tasks" of financial development, strengthening financial support for key areas such as expanding domestic demand, technological innovation, and small and micro enterprises. The meeting also emphasized the need to continue providing financial services to support the development and growth of the private economy, maintain the stable operation of the financial market, and effectively promote high-level two-way opening up of the financial sector, improving economic and financial management capabilities and risk prevention and control capabilities under open conditions.March 31 – Eurozone inflation surged this month, exceeding the European Central Banks (ECB) 2% target, driven by a sharp rise in oil and gas prices. This has exacerbated the policy dilemma, as high energy costs are dragging down economic growth and also risk triggering an inflationary spiral. Data released by Eurostat on Tuesday showed that the eurozones overall inflation rate rose to 2.5% in March from 1.9% in the previous month, with energy costs rising by 4.9%. A rapid rise in energy inflation could easily spread if businesses factor in increased costs and workers demand higher wages due to declining real disposable income. ECB President Christine Lagarde stated last week that if the central bank remains on hold, the public may begin to question its commitment to combating inflation, which would strengthen the case for raising interest rates even in the event of a large but short-lived inflationary shock. Financial markets currently expect the ECB to raise interest rates three times this year, with the first potentially in April or June. While some officials, including Bundesbank President Jean-Claude Nagel, have indicated that a rate hike as early as April is an option, others, such as Executive Board member Schnabel, have warned against hasty action.According to Nikkei, Fujitsu will outsource the production of its advanced AI chips to Rapidus.According to Nikkei: Fujitsu will develop an advanced 1.4-nanometer AI chip.

With an eye on ECB policies, the US Dollar Index defends its recovery from a two-week low of 107.00

Daniel Rogers

Jul 21, 2022 11:40

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After recovering from a two-week low the previous day, the US Dollar Index (DXY) hovers at 107.05. In doing so, the dollar index reflects market trepidation before to a major monetary policy meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB). The day before yesterday, the DXY had its first daily rise in four days.

 

Market concerns about a European recession and strong inflation data from the UK and Canada may be to blame for the DXY's increase. The demand for safe haven assets such as the US dollar increased as a result of Sino-American tensions and China's covid problems.

 

Vladimir Putin, the president of Russia, reportedly said that it is unclear in what shape the Nord Stream 1 machinery would be returned after maintenance. According to Reuters, Ursula von der Leyen, president of the European Commission, said on Wednesday that a total suspension of Russian gas was a viable possibility. It should be highlighted that concerns over gas prices may have caused the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to decrease its growth forecasts for Germany. Because of this, the IMF projected Germany's growth to be 1.2 percent in 2002 and 0.8 percent in 2023. In a previous forecast, the IMF predicted that the German economy would grow by 2% per year. Along with the IMF, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) has lowered its forecast for growth in developing Asia from 5.2 percent to 4.6 percent for 2022.

 

Political worries in Italy also foreshadowed further misery for the EU and the markets. Consequently, Prime Minister Mario Draghi received a vote of confidence; but, because the vote was boycotted by the three major cotillion parties, Mr. Draghi may resign and call for early elections.

 

Wall Street ended the day with smaller gains in line with the mood, as the US 10-year Treasury yield halted rising after a two-day rise at about 3.03 percent. As a result, as of the time of publication, intraday S&P 500 Futures were down 0.25 percent at 3,952.

 

Moving forward, DXY traders can find some fun in the US Weekly Jobless Claims and July Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey. However, as markets expect a greater rate hike than the 0.25 percent increase proposed the day before, the ECB's decision will draw a lot of attention. Therefore, in order to prevent the US currency from continuing its current recovery, ECB officials must not only announce the 25 basis point rate increase but also take further steps to win back the confidence of Euro bulls.