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November 30th - OPEC+ is about to hold a meeting to assess the global oil market. Given the increasingly apparent signs of oversupply, the alliances oil-producing countries are still expected to pause supply increases in the first quarter of next year. Several representatives indicated that the Saudi- and Russian-led alliance is likely to adhere to the plan reached earlier this month to make a modest production increase in December, followed by stable production levels for the first three months of next year. While this pause demonstrates some caution from OPEC and its partners after their rapid resumption of oil production earlier this year, it still leaves the global market facing a significant oversupply in early 2026, potentially putting further pressure on oil prices.Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy announced that he has appointed former Ukrainian Ambassador to the United States, Irina Markarova, as his advisor on reconstruction and investment.On November 30th, Canadian Solar announced that it plans to adjust its US market business by establishing two new joint ventures, M and N, with its controlling shareholder, Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ). CSI will hold 24.9% of the shares, and CSIQ will hold 75.1%. Company M will focus on the US photovoltaic business, while Company N will focus on the US energy storage business. Simultaneously, the company plans to restructure its US manufacturing plant, with CSIQ holding 75.1% and CSI holding 24.9%, to obtain a one-time equity transfer consideration and subsequent ongoing equity gains from the 24.9% stake in the US business. This transaction and the waiver of commitments have been approved by the board of directors and are subject to shareholder approval.On November 30th, Baili Tianheng announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, SystImmune, recently received a $250 million milestone payment from BMS. According to the cooperation agreement, the company is also eligible for up to $250 million in near-term contingent payments, as well as additional payments of up to $7.1 billion upon achieving specific development, registration, and sales milestones.On November 30th, Zhuochuang Information announced that it submitted an application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on November 28th, 2025, for the issuance of overseas listed shares (H shares) and listing on the Main Board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The application materials for this issuance and listing were also published on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange website on the same day. The issuance and listing are subject to approval, authorization, or filing by relevant government agencies, regulatory bodies, and stock exchanges, and will be implemented only after comprehensive consideration of market conditions and other factors. Therefore, the matter remains subject to uncertainty.

With positive market sentiment, GBP/USD targets momentum above 1.1360; the UK CPI is the main topic

Daniel Rogers

Oct 19, 2022 15:46

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The GBP/USD pair is hitting resistance near the immediate barrier of 1.1360 during the Tokyo session. The barriers surrounding 1.1360 seem to be thinning as market participants' risk tolerance increases. After two straight strong trading days, S&P500 futures have continued to increase their gains in the Tokyo session. After overcoming the aforementioned challenge, the pound bulls will grow stronger.

 

The US dollar index (DXY), which is now doing poorly, is circling about 112.00. The value of the asset can drop even further as a result of a decline in the demand for safe-haven assets. In contrast, despite the Fed's heightened hawkishness, US bond returns continue to be strong. The 10-year US Treasury yields have advanced over 4.01% as of the time of writing.

 

The likelihood of a fourth consecutive 75 basis point (bps) rate increase announcement is roughly 96%, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

 

According to Reuters, Neel Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed Bank, said on Tuesday in response to escalating inflationary pressures, "Until I see some compelling indication that core inflation has at least peaked, I am not willing to pronounce a pause in rate hikes."

 

The rate of inflation hasn't changed much as a result of ongoing Fed rate rises. Although the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) is well-anchored due to rising service sector pricing, the headline CPI has declined as a result of decreasing fuel prices.

 

On the British front, the Bank of England (BOE) announced on November 1 that the Asset Purchase Facility will include its bond-selling program (APF). Market liquidity will decrease as a result.

 

In the UK, political unrest is at an all-time high as a result of the government's lack of confidence in Prime Minister Liz Truss. If given the opportunity to vote again, Rishi Sunak, who lost to Ms. Truss, would receive 55% of the Tory members' votes, while Ms. Truss would receive only 25%.

 

Future course will depend on the inflation figures released by the United Kingdom on Wednesday. Forecasts suggest that the headline and core inflation rates could both rise by 10 basis points, to 10% and 6.4%, respectively. An increase in inflation reaching double digits could pose new challenges for the British economy.

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