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On April 3rd, Futures News reported that silver prices have been trending downwards and rebounding since March. As of April 2nd, the domestic spot price of #1 silver was 18,150 yuan/kg, a cumulative decrease of 25.7% compared to the beginning of March. The main driver was negative news, specifically the turmoil in the Middle East, which led the market to price in expectations of subsequent energy supply tightening, thus increasing concerns about inflation. The Federal Reserve shifted its stance from one rate cut this year to the possibility of a rate hike, putting pressure on silver. However, Powells subsequent statement suggesting maintaining interest rates and the release of some conciliatory signals between the US and Iran led to a correction in market expectations for rate cuts. Domestically, with the export tax rebate period for photovoltaic modules approaching, the downstream rush to produce and export has largely ended. Coupled with the weakness in new energy vehicles and price volatility weakening market investment demand, the fundamentals are under overall pressure. Going forward, continued attention needs to be paid to the direction of the Middle East situation and its impact on the Federal Reserves interest rate path. Silver volatility may increase, and it is recommended to invest cautiously based on ones own risk tolerance.On April 3, Hong Leong Investment Bank, in a report, pointed out that the Malaysian economy may be under pressure due to temporary energy supply disruptions caused by the conflict with Iran, and therefore lowered its 2026 GDP growth forecast from 4.7% to 4.5%. Although Malaysian ships were recently granted free passage through the Strait of Hormuz, analysts believe that the risk of oil supply shortages cannot be completely ignored. However, strong exports of electronic products and continued consumer demand will support growth. Due to rising commodity costs and adverse weather conditions, RON97 fuel oil, unsubsidized diesel, electricity, and food are facing upward price pressure, and Hong Leong Investment Bank raised its 2026 CPI growth forecast from 1.7% to 2.0%. Given the rising inflation risks and slowing growth prospects, analysts added that the Central Bank of Malaysia is likely to maintain the policy rate at 2.75% when assessing the impact of the conflict.April 3 - According to a CNN report on April 2, US intelligence assessments indicate that despite five weeks of US-Israeli military action against Iran, approximately half of Irans missile launchers remain intact, and it possesses thousands of suicide drones. The report, citing sources, states that the main reason Irans missile launchers have not been severely damaged is their ability to be moved underground. Furthermore, Irans use of mobile platforms for "hit-and-run" tactics makes tracking these launchers extremely difficult. Sources say that in addition to existing missile launchers, Iran still maintains a large stockpile of missiles. Moreover, the operational capability of Irans coastal cruise missiles is likely largely intact.On April 3rd, Xiaomi announced that due to the continued sharp rise in the prices of key components such as global memory chips, after careful evaluation, the company will adjust the suggested retail price of some of its products starting from 00:00 on April 11, 2026. Xiaomi President Lu Weibing stated on social media that the current round of memory price increases far exceeded expectations, with the price of the same version of memory soaring nearly four times compared to Q1 of last year. The 12+512GB version has increased by approximately 1500 yuan, and the 16+1TB version has seen an even more outrageous increase, which has significantly impacted REDMI, a brand that has always been known for its extremely cost-effective pricing. Therefore, we have had to make a slight increase or restore the original price for some models.On April 3rd, it was reported that the National Innovation Center for Optoelectronics, the National Key Laboratory of Optical Communication Technology and Networks, and Pengcheng Laboratory jointly developed a multifunctional programmable optoelectronic fusion gate array system (P-FPGA) – LightIN. This system consists of a programmable photonic chip, an electronic control module, and a test-compile-adjust (TCA) intelligent configuration framework, enabling multiple functions such as photonic computing acceleration, signal processing, network switching, and security encryption. The related findings were published in Nature sub-journal Light: Science & Applications 15:165.

While examining global development expectations, the WTI price falls below $72

Alina Haynes

Mar 15, 2023 11:38

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WTI is experiencing a corrective decline that began around $81 and is currently trading just below $72. The diminishing expectation of cumulative global development is depressing oil demand. WTI price struggles to remain elevated despite restricted oil supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

 

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) desires to maintain oil prices above the $80 threshold; consequently, a number of voluntary adjustments have been enacted; however, oil prices are more interested in the global economic slowdown than the law of supply and demand.

 

The global outlook for inflation, which is a major driver of commodity prices, is deteriorating as a result of rising global borrowing costs. This effect has been observed in numerous commodities, including copper and iron ore.

 

The recent failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank have dampened investors' sentiment regarding underlying financial conditions. The global development outlook is clouded by recent unemployment in numerous developed countries.

 

Recent data demonstrated that the Chinese reopening narrative is less optimistic than previously believed. China was one of the countries that contributed to rewriting the global development narrative following the 2008 Great Financial Crisis (GFC). This time, however, is not the case.

 

Meanwhile, on Tuesday, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released in accordance with expectations, with the headline MoM figure coming in at 0.4% as expected, from 0.5% previously, and the YoY figure coming in at 6% as expected, from 6.5% previously. The MoM core reading came in marginally higher than anticipated, at 0.5% versus 0.4% expected, from the previous 0.4%, and the core YoY reading was in line with expectations, at 5.5% from 5.6%.