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On October 15, relevant data showed that the growth rate of M1 has rebounded significantly in recent months, and the M1-M2 gap has narrowed significantly since the beginning of this year, reflecting positive signals such as the increase in corporate production and operation activity and the recovery of personal investment and consumption demand.On October 15th, Michiel Tukker, senior European interest rate strategist at ING Bank, stated in a report that despite the recent decline in US Treasury yields, ING Bank still maintains its view that Eurozone yields should remain at current levels, or even rise slightly. He pointed out that German government bonds have outperformed interest rate swaps in the past few days, reflecting the markets demand for safe assets. "As one of the few safe-haven assets that still holds a AAA rating, German government bonds are expected to perform strongly if market risk sentiment deteriorates significantly." However, Tukker added that if US Treasury yields fall sharply, "it will undoubtedly force German government bonds and swap rates to test lower levels."Russias Defense Ministry said Russian forces attacked Ukrainian energy infrastructure facilities overnight.Russias Ministry of Defense said Russian troops have captured the Oleksiyivka settlement in Ukraines Dnipropetrovsk region.Central Bank: At the end of September, the balance of broad money (M2) was 335.38 trillion yuan, an increase of 8.4% year-on-year. The balance of narrow money (M1) was 113.15 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.2%. The balance of currency in circulation (M0) was 13.58 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.5% year-on-year. Net cash injection in the first three quarters was 761.9 billion yuan.

Natural Gas prices fall below $2.70 despite USD Index attempts to recover, and demand concerns grow

Alina Haynes

Mar 14, 2023 13:12

截屏2023-01-19 下午3.42.24.png 

 

After a perpendicular recovery to close to $2.70 in the Asian session, Natural Gas futures have turned sideways. Weakness in the US Dollar Index (DXY), in general, has aided the upward bias in natural gas prices. Natural Gas futures appear vulnerable near $2.70 as the USD Index has demonstrated a recovery move to near 103.90 as investors become anxious ahead of the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.

 

The Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates is anticipated to have a negative impact on industrial demand for natural gas (Fed). The market anticipates that Fed chair Jerome Powell's scheduled rate hikes will lead to a recession in the near future.

 

Meanwhile, Winter is nearing its conclusion and summer has not yet arrived. Consequently, demand for residential purposes to heat domestic spaces will remain low. Additionally, because residences will require less electricity to operate air conditioners, power companies are less reliant on natural gas.

 

The recent decline in the USD Index is what has given Natural Gas prices new life. The US Energy Information Administration's (EIA) inventory data, which is released every Thursday, will dominate this week's trading in Natural Gas futures.

 

Going forward, investors eagerly anticipate the publication of US inflation data in order to form a new consensus. According to the projections, the headline CPI could fall to 6.0% from the previous release of 6.4%. And, core inflation, which excludes crude and food prices, is anticipated to decrease slightly to 5.5% from the previous release of 5.6%.

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