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According to an official EU gazette, the EU will implement temporary safeguard measures on imported electrical steel.1. According to Interfax news agency, Lukoils refineries in Russia processed 18.8 million tons of crude oil in the first half of the year. 2. Brazils crushing industry organization Abiove said on Friday that Brazils soybean exports in 2026 are expected to reach 115 million tons, a downward revision of 400,000 tons from its previous forecast of 115.4 million tons. This is the first time Abiove has lowered its monthly forecast since at least March. 3. Data released by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) shows that private exporters reported sales of 111,000 tons of soybeans to China, to be delivered in 2026/2027. 4. According to Reuters, two sources familiar with the matter said that Russian President Vladimir Putins chief economic envoy and the leadership of Germanys right-wing Alternative for Germany (AfD) party have begun preparations for talks next year to discuss resuming gas supplies to Germany, possibly as early as March next year. 5. Maersk has ordered 26 large container ships as part of the companys ongoing fleet renewal program. These vessels will have a capacity of 18,600 TEUs and will be equipped with dual-fuel engines capable of running on liquefied petroleum gas. 6. Zhenyang Development (603213.SH) announced that, in order to reduce operating losses and improve plant performance, the company plans to temporarily suspend production at its 300,000-ton-per-year vinyl ester new material plant (PVC plant) and conduct maintenance on major equipment. This suspension will begin on September 19, 2026, and is expected to last no more than four months. 7. Trade sources say Angola plans to load 28 crude oil cargoes in November, down from the 30 planned for October. 8. According to multiple Middle Eastern media reports, Pakistans Interior Minister will travel to Iran in the coming hours to discuss the impact of the Houthi escalation on regional security.Russian President Vladimir Putin: Drones and other weapons are being supplied to the Russian armed forces continuously.On September 18th, Lu Lei, Vice Governor of the Peoples Bank of China, delivered a speech at the China-ASEAN Financial Cooperation and Development Forum on the theme of "Deepening Cooperation between China and ASEAN in the Financial Sector on Artificial Intelligence." He stated that while the new generation of artificial intelligence technologies, represented by large-scale models and intelligent agents, are important tools for empowering financial services, they also bring new risks such as algorithmic black boxes and model illusions. "In particular, while artificial intelligence can learn and analyze the underlying logic of human behavior, humans struggle to penetrate the internal decision-making processes of AI. This asymmetric understanding between humans and AI may pose profound challenges to the financial industry and highlights the importance of security governance," Lu Lei said. He added that China is willing to strengthen cooperation with ASEAN countries to jointly assess the new financial risks arising from AI technology, exchange practical experience in model lifecycle management and algorithmic risk prevention, improve the security protection system adapted to digital and intelligent development, and build a solid security barrier for "AI + Finance."On September 18, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova published a statement on the ministrys website, demanding that Japan withdraw the US-made Typhon intermediate-range missile system deployed in Japan. Zakharova stated that Russia had issued a protest note to Japan on September 3 regarding the deployment of the Typhon system. Regardless of Japans pretext, deployment period, or method, the missile system must not be deployed on the front lines of its territory. Furthermore, the Japanese government must fully recognize the results of World War II, including the territorial dispute over the Southern Kuril Islands (known as the Northern Territories in Japan), and abandon its remilitarization policy.

When Will the RBA Minutes Be Released and How Will They Affect the AUD/USD?

Drake Hampton

Apr 19, 2022 09:50

These minutes will be released at the top of the hour and will generate considerable attention, given the absence of the word "patient" in the post-meeting statement.

 

"Specifically, the spotlight will be on the Board's commitment to waiting for "significant new evidence...on both [our emphasis] inflation and the evolution of labor costs" before raising the cash rate," ANZ Bank analysts said. "The bigger the commitment, the less likely a shift in May is, despite the possibility of an extremely strong Consumer Price Print."

How Might the Minutes Affect the AUD/USD Exchange Rate?

AUD/USD is already reversing an hourly bearish impulse, so anything less than hawkish could serve as a stimulus for further negative movement.

 

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Concerning the RBA Minutes

The Reserve Bank of Australia publishes the minutes of its meetings two weeks after the interest rate decision. The minutes contain an exhaustive record of the policy discussion, including points of contention. Additionally, they record the votes of the Committee's individual members. In general, if the RBA is pessimistic about the economy's inflation prospects, markets price in a larger probability of a rate hike, which benefits the AUD.