EUR/USD 1.17858
0.110%
Gold 5096.86
2.005%
Oil 66.320
-0.480%
USD/JPY 155.059
0.041%
GBP/USD 1.34890
0.196%
GBP/JPY 209.162
0.248%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
February 22nd - According to foreign media analysis, Nvidia has played a key role in driving the stock market to record highs for years. However, with growing skepticism about artificial intelligence, Wall Street is increasingly worried that the chip giants earnings report next week, regardless of the outcome, will depress its stock price. Nvidias stock price has been trading sideways for months, a significant setback for a company that was recently a leading index performer and achieved triple-digit year-over-year gains. Investors expect Nvidias earnings next week to exceed Wall Street expectations and raise forecasts for the next few quarters. But this may not be enough to boost the stock price. Meanwhile, if Nvidias performance fails to quell investor anxiety about artificial intelligence, it could lead to greater volatility in AI-related stocks and the broader market.February 22 - Libyas state-owned Arabian Gulf Oil Company (AGOCO) announced on Sunday that the Sinawan oil field in the Nalut region of western Libya has resumed production. The field had been shut down for over three years due to financial and technical problems. Under normal operating conditions, the field can produce up to 20,000 barrels of oil per day.February 22 – According to AXIOS, a senior U.S. official said on Sunday that if U.S. negotiators receive a detailed nuclear agreement proposal from Iran within the next 48 hours, they are prepared to hold a new round of talks with Iran in Geneva on Friday. The U.S. official stated that the current diplomatic efforts may be the last chance President Trump is giving Iran before launching a large-scale U.S.-Israel joint military operation (potentially targeting Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei). The senior U.S. official indicated that the Trump administration is awaiting Irans proposal.U.S. Trade Representative Greer: We will continue the trade investigation so that we can impose tariffs.U.S. Trade Representative Greer: We will explore policy continuity issues after the tariffs imposed under Section 122 expire.

What impact does NFP have on the forex market?

LEO

Oct 25, 2021 13:27

Nonfarm payroll employment is a compiled name for goods, construction and manufacturing companies in the US. It does not include farm workers, private household employees, or non-profit organization employees.

It is an influential statistic and economic indicator released monthly by the United States Department of Labor as part of a comprehensive report on the state of the labor market.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data on the first Friday of the month, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. 

This data is analyzed closely because of its importance in identifying the rate of economic growth and inflation.

Nonfarm payroll is included in the monthly Employment Situation or informally the jobs report and affects the US dollar, the Foreign exchange market, the bond market, and the stock market.

The markets react very quickly and most of the time in a very volatile fashion around the time the NFP data is released. The short-term market moves indicate that there is a very strong correlation between the NFP data and the strength of the US dollar. Historical price movement data shows a small negative correlation between the NFP data and the US dollar Index.

The figure released is the change in nonfarm payrolls (NFP), compared to the previous month, and is usually between +10,000 and +250,000 during non-recessional times. The NFP number is meant to represent the number of jobs added or lost in the economy over the last month, not including jobs relating to the farming industry.

As with other indicators, the difference between the actual non-farm data and expected figures will determine the overall impact on the market. If the non-farm payroll is expanding, this is a good indication that the economy is growing, and vice versa. However, if increases in non-farm payroll occur at a fast rate, this may lead to an increase in inflation. In forex, the level of actual non-farm payroll compared to payroll estimates is taken very seriously. If the actual data comes in lower than economists' estimates, forex traders will usually sell U.S. dollars in anticipation of a weakening currency. The opposite is true when the data is higher than economists' expectations.

Suggestion