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S&P: Investor sentiment is key to Indonesias sovereign credit support.February 19th - According to the National Energy Administration, from midnight on the 28th day of the twelfth lunar month (February 15th) to midnight on the first day of the first lunar month (February 17th), statistics from the 53,300 highway charging piles included in the national charging infrastructure monitoring and service platform showed that during the first three days of the Spring Festival holiday, new energy vehicles were charged a total of 1.4099 million times, with an average daily charging volume of 11.8008 million kilowatt-hours, a 63.05% increase compared to the same period last year. The highway charging infrastructure operated smoothly, effectively ensuring the needs of people traveling by new energy vehicle for visiting relatives, tourism, and returning home during the holiday. In the coming days, the return travel peak of the Spring Festival holiday will arrive. The National Energy Administration, together with relevant departments, will further strengthen scheduling and monitoring to continue to ensure the charging needs of new energy vehicles during the Spring Festival holiday.The Indonesian rupiah fell to its lowest level against the US dollar since January 22, last trading at 16,915 rupiah to the dollar.On February 19th, China submitted its "Position Paper on WTO Reform under the Current Situation" to the World Trade Organization (WTO). The head of the WTO Department of the Ministry of Commerce provided an interpretation of the position paper. The overall position outlines Chinas general understanding of the WTO and its basic attitude towards WTO reform. The position paper states that the WTO provides open, non-discriminatory, stable, and predictable institutional guarantees for economic globalization. While the multilateral trading system has been impacted by unilateral tariff measures, and trade tensions have intensified, WTO rules and mechanisms remain a crucial barrier against trade turmoil. Unilateralism and protectionism are not the solution; all parties should address the real challenges brought about by economic globalization through multilateral cooperation, domestic reforms, and inclusive and mutually beneficial development. The position paper emphasizes that economic globalization is an unstoppable historical trend. WTO reform should aim to strengthen multilateral trade governance, uphold the most-favored-nation (MFN) treatment as the cornerstone of the WTO rules system, and place development at the center of the WTO reform agenda. It should address long-standing unresolved issues while exploring and formulating new rules for the future.Reserve Bank of New Zealand Assistant Governor Silk: Even with a small rate hike, interest rates will only be near the bottom of the neutral range.

What impact does NFP have on the forex market?

LEO

Oct 25, 2021 13:27

Nonfarm payroll employment is a compiled name for goods, construction and manufacturing companies in the US. It does not include farm workers, private household employees, or non-profit organization employees.

It is an influential statistic and economic indicator released monthly by the United States Department of Labor as part of a comprehensive report on the state of the labor market.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data on the first Friday of the month, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. 

This data is analyzed closely because of its importance in identifying the rate of economic growth and inflation.

Nonfarm payroll is included in the monthly Employment Situation or informally the jobs report and affects the US dollar, the Foreign exchange market, the bond market, and the stock market.

The markets react very quickly and most of the time in a very volatile fashion around the time the NFP data is released. The short-term market moves indicate that there is a very strong correlation between the NFP data and the strength of the US dollar. Historical price movement data shows a small negative correlation between the NFP data and the US dollar Index.

The figure released is the change in nonfarm payrolls (NFP), compared to the previous month, and is usually between +10,000 and +250,000 during non-recessional times. The NFP number is meant to represent the number of jobs added or lost in the economy over the last month, not including jobs relating to the farming industry.

As with other indicators, the difference between the actual non-farm data and expected figures will determine the overall impact on the market. If the non-farm payroll is expanding, this is a good indication that the economy is growing, and vice versa. However, if increases in non-farm payroll occur at a fast rate, this may lead to an increase in inflation. In forex, the level of actual non-farm payroll compared to payroll estimates is taken very seriously. If the actual data comes in lower than economists' estimates, forex traders will usually sell U.S. dollars in anticipation of a weakening currency. The opposite is true when the data is higher than economists' expectations.

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