EUR/USD 1.17359
0.003%
Gold 3644.12
0.279%
Oil 62.263
0.402%
USD/JPY 147.580
0.248%
GBP/USD 1.35611
-0.088%
GBP/JPY 200.144
0.176%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
WHO: Ebola vaccination has begun in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. The International Coordinating Group on Vaccine Provision has approved the shipment of approximately 45,000 additional doses of Ebola vaccine to the region.On September 14, according to reports from the British newspaper The Guardian and other media outlets, the Pakistani military said on the 13th local time that Pakistani security forces raided two hideouts of the Pakistani Taliban. Fierce clashes broke out between the two sides near the Pakistan-Afghanistan border, killing 35 militants and 12 soldiers. The report said that Pakistani security forces killed 22 militants in the first raid in the Bajaur district of northwestern Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province. Another 13 militants were killed in another raid in the South Waziristan district of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province.September 14th news: On September 14th local time, China and the United States held talks on economic and trade issues in Madrid, Spain.On September 14, according to Deutsche Presse-Agentur, Andre Tillich, head of Teslas German factory, said that more electric vehicles will be produced than previously planned because "sales data is very ideal." Tillich said that the factory has raised its production plan for the third and fourth quarters, and added that Teslas German factory still expects "positive signals from all markets we supply." However, he did not disclose specific production targets. However, this optimistic statement contrasts with recent sales data. Teslas new car registrations in Germany fell by 39% last month, and the cumulative drop in the first eight months of this year was 56%. In France, Belgium, Denmark and Sweden, Teslas sales in August also fell sharply. Norway is an exception, with registrations increasing by 21% last month and a cumulative increase of 26% so far this year.German Geoscience Research Center GFZ: A 5.71 magnitude earthquake occurred in northeastern India.

What impact does NFP have on the forex market?

LEO

Oct 25, 2021 13:27

Nonfarm payroll employment is a compiled name for goods, construction and manufacturing companies in the US. It does not include farm workers, private household employees, or non-profit organization employees.

It is an influential statistic and economic indicator released monthly by the United States Department of Labor as part of a comprehensive report on the state of the labor market.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data on the first Friday of the month, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. 

This data is analyzed closely because of its importance in identifying the rate of economic growth and inflation.

Nonfarm payroll is included in the monthly Employment Situation or informally the jobs report and affects the US dollar, the Foreign exchange market, the bond market, and the stock market.

The markets react very quickly and most of the time in a very volatile fashion around the time the NFP data is released. The short-term market moves indicate that there is a very strong correlation between the NFP data and the strength of the US dollar. Historical price movement data shows a small negative correlation between the NFP data and the US dollar Index.

The figure released is the change in nonfarm payrolls (NFP), compared to the previous month, and is usually between +10,000 and +250,000 during non-recessional times. The NFP number is meant to represent the number of jobs added or lost in the economy over the last month, not including jobs relating to the farming industry.

As with other indicators, the difference between the actual non-farm data and expected figures will determine the overall impact on the market. If the non-farm payroll is expanding, this is a good indication that the economy is growing, and vice versa. However, if increases in non-farm payroll occur at a fast rate, this may lead to an increase in inflation. In forex, the level of actual non-farm payroll compared to payroll estimates is taken very seriously. If the actual data comes in lower than economists' estimates, forex traders will usually sell U.S. dollars in anticipation of a weakening currency. The opposite is true when the data is higher than economists' expectations.

Suggestion