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February 23 – The 9th Congress of the Workers Party of Korea continued on February 22. The meeting discussed and revised the Workers Party Constitution and elected members of the Central Leadership. The Congress expressed its full support for and endorsement of the proposal to re-elect Kim Jong Un to the highest position in the Workers Party of Korea, and elected him as General Secretary of the Workers Party of Korea. The meeting also elected members and alternate members of the Central Committee of the Workers Party of Korea. Kim Jong Un, Pak Thae Song, Jo Yong Won, Ri Il Hwan, and 139 others were elected as members of the Central Committee of the Workers Party of Korea.February 23 - Analysts say that as skepticism surrounding artificial intelligence grows, Wall Street is increasingly worried that the chip giants earnings this week will drag down its stock price. Nvidias stock has been trading sideways for months, rising only 1.7% since the beginning of the fourth quarter of last year, slightly below the S&P 500s 3.3% gain over the same period. Nvidias recent lackluster performance is largely due to increased investor concerns about spending hundreds of billions of dollars on AI development, leading to capital outflows from large-cap tech stocks. However, the stock market also faces numerous external risks, including geopolitical instability and reduced expectations of interest rate cuts. All of this puts Nvidia in a delicate position when it releases its fourth-quarter and fiscal year results on Wednesday. Investors expect its results to far exceed Wall Street expectations and raise forecasts for the coming quarters. But the company may have little to do or say to drive a meaningful rise in its stock price. Nvidias stock price has fallen after its last two earnings releases.February 23 - On February 22, local time, Greenlands Prime Minister Jens-Frederic Nielsen stated on social media that Greenland has no intention of accepting a hospital ship that US President Trump planned to send to the island. Nielsen posted on Facebook that day, "The answer here is: No, thank you." He stated that Greenlanders enjoy free healthcare, a system that is a "basic component" of local society, "unlike the United States, where you have to pay for medical care."February 23 – The Iranian Foreign Ministry stated that its foreign minister and Iraqi foreign minister held a telephone conversation on Sunday evening. During the call, they reviewed and discussed the latest regional and international situation. The Iranian foreign minister briefed Iraq on the progress of the Iran-US nuclear negotiations. The Iraqi foreign minister emphasized Iraqs support for the ongoing diplomatic process and expressed hope that the ongoing talks would yield favorable results for Iran and bring peace and stability to the region.On February 23, local time, European Parliament International Trade Committee Chairman Alain Lange announced via social media that he would propose a suspension of the European Parliaments ratification of the EU-US trade agreement due to the "chaos" caused by the US Supreme Courts ruling that the US governments massive tariff policies were illegal. Lange stated that clear stipulations and legal certainty are needed before any further measures can be taken, and he will formally propose on the 23rd that the European Parliament temporarily freeze the ratification process of the trade agreement with the US until a proper legal assessment and clear commitment from the US are obtained. The EU-US trade agreement was reached last July, with the US imposing a 15% tariff on EU goods imported into the US.

What impact does NFP have on the forex market?

LEO

Oct 25, 2021 13:27

Nonfarm payroll employment is a compiled name for goods, construction and manufacturing companies in the US. It does not include farm workers, private household employees, or non-profit organization employees.

It is an influential statistic and economic indicator released monthly by the United States Department of Labor as part of a comprehensive report on the state of the labor market.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data on the first Friday of the month, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. 

This data is analyzed closely because of its importance in identifying the rate of economic growth and inflation.

Nonfarm payroll is included in the monthly Employment Situation or informally the jobs report and affects the US dollar, the Foreign exchange market, the bond market, and the stock market.

The markets react very quickly and most of the time in a very volatile fashion around the time the NFP data is released. The short-term market moves indicate that there is a very strong correlation between the NFP data and the strength of the US dollar. Historical price movement data shows a small negative correlation between the NFP data and the US dollar Index.

The figure released is the change in nonfarm payrolls (NFP), compared to the previous month, and is usually between +10,000 and +250,000 during non-recessional times. The NFP number is meant to represent the number of jobs added or lost in the economy over the last month, not including jobs relating to the farming industry.

As with other indicators, the difference between the actual non-farm data and expected figures will determine the overall impact on the market. If the non-farm payroll is expanding, this is a good indication that the economy is growing, and vice versa. However, if increases in non-farm payroll occur at a fast rate, this may lead to an increase in inflation. In forex, the level of actual non-farm payroll compared to payroll estimates is taken very seriously. If the actual data comes in lower than economists' estimates, forex traders will usually sell U.S. dollars in anticipation of a weakening currency. The opposite is true when the data is higher than economists' expectations.

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