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February 25th - New revisions to Japans corporate governance guidelines could release some of the $840 billion in cash held by listed companies and fuel a new wave of buying in the Japanese stock market. The Financial Services Agency (FSA) will submit draft rules to an expert panel on Thursday, requiring companies to verify the efficiency of their cash usage, with the aim of implementing this change this year. Despite significant improvements in corporate governance in recent years, Japanese companies still have a large amount of idle cash on their balance sheets. Investing these funds in higher-yielding projects could potentially enhance the attractiveness of the Japanese stock market to investors. Sho Nakazawa, equity strategist at Morgan Stanley Mitsubishi UFJ Securities, stated, "This revision will make it easier to anticipate increased allocations to growth sectors, as well as more stable growth in share buybacks and dividends," which in turn could lead to capital inflows from overseas investors. Analysts have long argued that excessive cash holdings by Japanese companies are one of the factors hindering improvements in return on equity (ROE), a key metric closely watched by stock investors, which has caused Japans ROE to lag behind its Western counterparts.February 25th - Rising tech stock prices boosted Wall Street, easing concerns about the potentially disruptive impact of artificial intelligence, and Asian stocks appeared poised to follow suit. Stock index futures signaled a strong open for Sydney, Tokyo, and Hong Kong markets. In the US, the Nasdaq 100 rose 1.1%, boosted by a rebound in software stocks, while the S&P 500 also climbed, supported by improved consumer confidence. Short-term bonds underperformed. Gold and crude oil prices fell. Traders are also closely watching Nvidias earnings report on Wednesday, expecting the chipmaker to significantly exceed expectations. Nvidias recent stock performance has been lackluster due to investor sell-offs of large-cap stocks. David Laut of Kerux Financial stated that this weeks earnings reports will either "ease" or "exacerbate" concerns about artificial intelligence. We wont get all the answers this week, but worried investors are eager for definitive information.Lucid Group (LCID.O): Capital expenditures are expected to be between $1.2 billion and $1.4 billion in 2026.1. All three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.76% to 49,174.5 points, the S&P 500 rose 0.77% to 6,890.07 points, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.04% to 22,863.68 points. Salesforce rose over 4%, with IBM leading the gains at over 2%. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index rose 1.08%, with Tesla and Apple rising over 2%. Most chip stocks rose, with AMD rising over 8% and Intel rising over 5%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index rose 1.37%, with GDS Holdings and 21Vianet rising over 6%. 2. The three major European stock indexes closed mixed. The German DAX fell 0.02% to 24,986.25 points, the French CAC40 rose 0.26% to 8,519.21 points, and the UK FTSE 100 fell 0.04% to 10,680.59 points. 3. International precious metals futures closed mixed. COMEX gold futures fell 1.25% to $5160.50 per ounce, while COMEX silver futures rose 0.57% to $87.07 per ounce. 4. The WTI crude oil futures contract closed down 0.35% at $66.08 per barrel; the Brent crude oil futures contract fell 0.06% to $71.07 per barrel. 5. London base metals rose across the board. LME tin rose 5.41% to $50300.0 per tonne, LME nickel rose 3.66% to $17915.0 per tonne, LME copper rose 2.54% to $13195.0 per tonne, LME zinc rose 0.98% to $3387.5 per tonne, LME aluminum rose 0.68% to $3110.5 per tonne, and LME lead rose 0.44% to $1959.5 per tonne.Lucid Group (LCID.O): Recent layoffs in the United States are expected to result in cost savings of up to $500 million over the next three years.

What impact does NFP have on the forex market?

LEO

Oct 25, 2021 13:27

Nonfarm payroll employment is a compiled name for goods, construction and manufacturing companies in the US. It does not include farm workers, private household employees, or non-profit organization employees.

It is an influential statistic and economic indicator released monthly by the United States Department of Labor as part of a comprehensive report on the state of the labor market.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data on the first Friday of the month, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. 

This data is analyzed closely because of its importance in identifying the rate of economic growth and inflation.

Nonfarm payroll is included in the monthly Employment Situation or informally the jobs report and affects the US dollar, the Foreign exchange market, the bond market, and the stock market.

The markets react very quickly and most of the time in a very volatile fashion around the time the NFP data is released. The short-term market moves indicate that there is a very strong correlation between the NFP data and the strength of the US dollar. Historical price movement data shows a small negative correlation between the NFP data and the US dollar Index.

The figure released is the change in nonfarm payrolls (NFP), compared to the previous month, and is usually between +10,000 and +250,000 during non-recessional times. The NFP number is meant to represent the number of jobs added or lost in the economy over the last month, not including jobs relating to the farming industry.

As with other indicators, the difference between the actual non-farm data and expected figures will determine the overall impact on the market. If the non-farm payroll is expanding, this is a good indication that the economy is growing, and vice versa. However, if increases in non-farm payroll occur at a fast rate, this may lead to an increase in inflation. In forex, the level of actual non-farm payroll compared to payroll estimates is taken very seriously. If the actual data comes in lower than economists' estimates, forex traders will usually sell U.S. dollars in anticipation of a weakening currency. The opposite is true when the data is higher than economists' expectations.

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