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The Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government stated that there is currently no oil available for export due to attacks on energy facilities by illegal militia groups.The Iraqi Kurdistan Regional Government: The Iraqi Ministry of Oil accused the Kurdistan region of "misleading public opinion."Authorities in the Iraqi Kurdistan region issued a statement in response to accusations by the Iraqi government that it was blocking crude oil pipelines from being transported through the region.On March 15th, the International Energy Agency (IEA) issued a statement after receiving implementation plans from member countries. The agency stated that the record-breaking oil release from reserves will be immediately deployed in Asia as Asian buyers rush to fill supply gaps disrupted by the Middle East conflict. Oil destined for Europe and the Americas will not be released until the end of March. Last week, the IEA stated that the global oil market is facing its worst supply disruption in history due to the Middle East conflict effectively blocking the crucial Strait of Hormuz. Asian buyers are most reliant on oil supplies from the Middle East, making the speed of reserve releases particularly critical for the region. IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol stated on the X platform: “This will release an unprecedented amount of additional oil into the market starting March 16th. However, opening the Strait of Hormuz is crucial for restoring stable oil flows.” Globally, approximately 72% of the currently committed oil release is crude oil, and 28% is petroleum products. The committed release volumes from various countries are shown in the figure below.On March 15, Wang Yi, member of the Political Bureau of the CPC Central Committee and Foreign Minister, met with Le Hoai Trung, member of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of Vietnam Central Committee and Foreign Minister, in Hanoi. Wang Yi stated that both China and Vietnam are important emerging economies, and their development and revitalization represent the direction of human progress and will provide valuable lessons and new paths for developing countries. China is willing to work with Vietnam to focus on the overall goal of "six more" (more people, more opportunities, more opportunities, more opportunities), strengthen high-level exchanges, deepen pragmatic cooperation, promote people-to-people exchanges, enhance multilateral cooperation, properly handle maritime issues, and support each other in hosting APEC in the next two years to further advance the building of the Asia-Pacific Community.

What impact does NFP have on the forex market?

LEO

Oct 25, 2021 13:27

Nonfarm payroll employment is a compiled name for goods, construction and manufacturing companies in the US. It does not include farm workers, private household employees, or non-profit organization employees.

It is an influential statistic and economic indicator released monthly by the United States Department of Labor as part of a comprehensive report on the state of the labor market.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases data on the first Friday of the month, at 8:30 a.m. Eastern Time. 

This data is analyzed closely because of its importance in identifying the rate of economic growth and inflation.

Nonfarm payroll is included in the monthly Employment Situation or informally the jobs report and affects the US dollar, the Foreign exchange market, the bond market, and the stock market.

The markets react very quickly and most of the time in a very volatile fashion around the time the NFP data is released. The short-term market moves indicate that there is a very strong correlation between the NFP data and the strength of the US dollar. Historical price movement data shows a small negative correlation between the NFP data and the US dollar Index.

The figure released is the change in nonfarm payrolls (NFP), compared to the previous month, and is usually between +10,000 and +250,000 during non-recessional times. The NFP number is meant to represent the number of jobs added or lost in the economy over the last month, not including jobs relating to the farming industry.

As with other indicators, the difference between the actual non-farm data and expected figures will determine the overall impact on the market. If the non-farm payroll is expanding, this is a good indication that the economy is growing, and vice versa. However, if increases in non-farm payroll occur at a fast rate, this may lead to an increase in inflation. In forex, the level of actual non-farm payroll compared to payroll estimates is taken very seriously. If the actual data comes in lower than economists' estimates, forex traders will usually sell U.S. dollars in anticipation of a weakening currency. The opposite is true when the data is higher than economists' expectations.

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