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On April 4, the Yangtze River Delta Railway ushered in the peak of passenger flow during the Qingming Festival. It is expected to send 4.1 million passengers today, 365,000 more than the same period last year, an increase of about 9.8%, and is expected to set a new record for single-day passenger volume. This years Qingming Festival railway transportation will start from April 3 to 7. The Yangtze River Delta Railway is expected to send 17.6 million passengers in 5 days, with an average daily passenger flow of 3.52 million, a year-on-year increase of 6.8%.The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note fell to a six-month low of 3.6550% and was last at 3.6611%.On April 4, local time on April 3, U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert Kennedy Jr. said that about 20% of the layoffs in the Department of Government Efficiency were wrong and needed to be corrected. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services laid off about 10,000 people on the 1st. Kennedy said that people who should not have been laid off were laid off, and the department is restoring their positions. Kennedy said that canceling the entire lead poisoning prevention and monitoring department of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention was one of the mistakes. At present, it is unclear what other projects Kennedy may plan to restore.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Will consider the impact of food costs on consumers.On April 4, local time on the 3rd, the automobile company Stellantis said that due to the impact of the US import automobile tariff policy, the company decided to lay off 900 employees in its five US factories and suspend production operations at two assembly plants in Canada and Mexico. Antonio Filosa, Chief Operating Officer of Stellantis Americas, said that the US factories that were laid off were powertrain and stamping parts factories, which produced spare parts for two assembly plants in Canada and Mexico. According to the plan, the assembly plant in Canada will stop production for two weeks, and the assembly plant in Toluca, Mexico will suspend production throughout April. Filosa said the company is "continuing to evaluate the medium- and long-term impact of tariffs on operations."

WTI falls further below $77.00 as China's Covid crisis stalls the rebound

Alina Haynes

Jan 04, 2023 15:01

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West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) have experienced a straight decline after testing the previous week's high at $81, accompanied by minimal buying demand. As investors fret over China's sluggish economic recovery, the oil price has plummeted to a level close to $77.00 and is likely to continue falling.

 

The market anticipates a sluggish recovery in China's economic operations following a surge of Covid-19 cases caused by the administration's rapid reopening efforts. The Covid situation is becoming increasingly precarious as medical authorities lose control over the management of sick patients.

 

According to historical evidence, the reopening of an economy results in pent-up demand for commodities, which accelerates inflationary pressures dramatically. Analysts at Danske Bank opine, "A Chinese rebound will have a favorable influence on the global economy, but its effect on commodity prices would be inflationary."

 

In the meantime, the oil price was not supported by Caixin Manufacturing PMI data that exceeded expectations. IHS Markit provided economic statistics of 49.0, which is greater than the consensus estimate of 48.8 but less than the previous release of 49.4.

 

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is able to hold above the crucial support level of 104.00. The oil price is likely to remain on edge until the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes are released. Despite the fact that the bulk of inflation indicators indicate lower demand and indications that inflation has peaked, the labor market is exceptionally tight and the inflation rate is still much above the objective of 2%. The FOMC minutes will provide the forecast for monetary policy in CY2023.

 

More policy tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could raise the possibility of recession, which is susceptible to oil demand and could have a big impact on oil prices.


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