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U.S. Democratic Senator Warren questioned SpaceXs relationship with the U.S. Department of Defense and whether it was legal.The U.S. global supply chain stress index for January will be released in ten minutes.February 5th - Deutsche Banks chief European economist, Mark Wall, stated that the European Central Banks decision to maintain its policy rate was the right move. "At times like these, central banks need to maintain a good balance, weighing the positive and negative factors," Wall noted. He pointed out that despite external vulnerabilities, the economy remains resilient, partly due to Germanys spending on defense and infrastructure.Statement Section: 1. Interest Rate Decision: The three key interest rates remained unchanged, in line with market expectations, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without action. 2. Inflation Outlook: A commitment to ensuring inflation remains stable at the 2% target level over the medium term. 3. Economic Outlook: The economy remains resilient in a challenging environment. The economic outlook remains uncertain. 4. Policy Outlook: A data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach will be adopted. There is no pre-committed path for interest rates. Lagardes Press Conference: 1. Interest Rates: Monetary policy is in a good position and remains flexible. 2. Economy: Growth is driven by the service sector, particularly in information technology and communications. Manufacturing is resilient, and construction is picking up momentum. 3. Exchange Rates: Exchange rates were discussed today. A stronger euro could push inflation further below target. The impact of a stronger euro has been incorporated into the baseline scenario. The current dollar trading range is very close to the average. 4. Inflation Outlook: Inflation is gradually moving toward the 2% target and is expected to reach it over the medium term. Inflation could be higher if energy prices continue to rise. The inflation outlook is more uncertain than usual.European Central Bank President Christine Lagardes press conference has concluded.

Forecast for the Gold Price: The XAU/USD pair continues to struggle below $1,850 as investors await FOMC minutes

Daniel Rogers

Jan 04, 2023 15:03

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After clearing the $1,800.00 barrier, the gold price (XAU/USD) has leveled off around $1,844.00 in the early European session. The precious metal continues to struggle to surpass the important resistance level of $1,850. Following the release of United States ISM Manufacturing PMI data, the gold price is anticipated to demonstrate a significant move.

 

S&P500 futures tried a recovery rise in the Asian session following a two-day decline, but require more filters to draw a responsive purchasing action, indicating cautious optimism. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is fighting to hold above the 104.20 threshold as 10-year US Treasury yields decline below 3.73 percent.

 

The ISM Manufacturing PMI is likely to decline further to 48.5, from 49.0 in November, according to forecasts. The Federal Reserve (Fed) could be compelled to scale down its policy tightening measures as a result of weakening manufacturing activity in the United States, which are anticipated to herald a further decline in inflation estimates. Thursday's release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes will provide investors with greater insight into the prospects for monetary policy.