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On Monday, February 9th, the German DAX 30 index closed up 284.52 points, or 1.15%, at 25004.32; the UK FTSE 100 index closed up 15.84 points, or 0.15%, at 10385.59; the French CAC 40 index closed up 49.44 points, or 0.60%, at 8323.28; the Euro Stoxx 50 index closed up 60.96 points, or 1.02%, at 6059.36; the Spanish IBEX 35 index closed up 244.61 points, or 1.36%, at 18187.91; and the Italian FTSE MIB index closed up 923.30 points, or 2.01%, at 46800.50.February 10th - European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Jean-Claude Nagel stated that the ECBs current policy interest rate is at an appropriate level, and inflation, after a brief dip, is expected to stabilize near the 2% target. The ECB unanimously decided last week to keep its main interest rate unchanged at 2%, but some policymakers remained concerned that inflation, which had slowed to 1.7% last month, might weaken further, forcing the Eurozone central bank to take action. Nagel stated that the ECB would only intervene if medium-term inflation expectations deviated "persistently and significantly" from the target, but this does not appear to be the case at present. He said, "Several factors suggest that the current interest rate level is appropriate. First, the (inflation) below target is short-term and limited in magnitude; in the medium term, inflation remains at our target level." He added that long-term inflation expectations are "firmly anchored," and core inflation indicators support this assessment, as does the latest update to the ECBs December forecasts.The US 3-month Treasury auction ended February 9th with a winning yield of 3.6%, compared to 3.60% previously.The bid-to-cover ratio for the US 3-month Treasury bond auction as of February 9 was 2.76, compared to 2.81 previously.The US auction of 6-month Treasury bonds ending February 9th yielded a winning bid of 3.5%, compared to 3.53% previously.

WTI Price Analysis: Oil purchasers must sustain a break above $80.00 to maintain control

Daniel Rogers

Apr 04, 2023 13:39

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WTI crude oil prices remain stagnant near $80.30 as commodity traders search for fresh impetus to extend Tuesday's largest daily gain in 11 months. Thus, the price of black gold oscillates around a seven-week-old resistance line with an overbought RSI. (14).

 

WTI purchasers are challenged by not only the $81.00 trend line barrier and the overbought RSI (14) but also the waning bullish bias of the MACD and multiple peaks marked during January 2023 around $82.70.

 

In the event that the energy benchmark surpasses $82.70, the Oil bears' last line of defense could be a rise to a high near $83.30 in December 2022.

 

In contrast, pullbacks can target the $80.00 round number and the $79.00 swing low from late Monday.

 

However, a rising support line from March 24 and the 200-day simple moving average, respectively near $76.15 and $74.35, could pose a threat to Oil skeptics in the future.

 

Should WTI bears maintain control beyond $74.35, a two-week-long support line near $70.80 and the psychological threshold of $70.00 can entice Oil sellers.

 

Buyers of WTI crude oil appear to be running out of steam, but the bears have a considerable distance to travel before regaining control.