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Popular Chinese stocks listed in the US rose across the board in pre-market trading. NetEase (NTES.O) rose 6.1%, NIO (NIO.N) rose 5.5%, Alibaba (BABA.N) rose 4.13%, Li Auto (LI.O) rose nearly 3%, and JD.com (JD.O), TSMC (TSM.N), and Pinduoduo (PDD.O) rose more than 2%.The Russian Ministry of Defense stated that in the past week, Russian troops "liberated" nine residential areas within the Special Military Operations Zone (SMO).On January 2nd, Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Commerzbank Hamburg, stated that demand for manufactured goods in the Eurozone has slowed again. The most obvious indicators are a significant decrease in orders, a reduction in order backlogs, and a continued decline in inventories. In this environment, its not surprising that companies continue to lay off workers. Companies seem neither capable nor willing to build momentum for the coming year, instead proceeding cautiously, which is poison for the economy. Since mid-2022, the manufacturing sector has been almost in recession. 2025 is expected to be a turning point for the industry. Indeed, the economic downturn has eased somewhat, but it has failed to shift to a sustainable growth trajectory. However, by 2026, Germanys economic stimulus plan and rising defense spending in Europe are expected to inject new vitality into the sector. Many companies clearly share this view, as confidence that production will be higher a year from now has risen again from already high levels. Furthermore, input prices have risen for the second consecutive month. This is unlikely to be due to energy prices, as oil and gas prices fell last December. However, prices of industrial metals such as copper and tin have seen significant increases. Surprisingly, despite the weak economic situation, businesses seem unable to force price reductions for goods less reliant on global markets. One explanation could be supply chain issues, such as long delivery times. In short, things arent going smoothly. Overall, it wont be easy for Eurozone manufacturing to regain its footing by 2026. However, expansionary fiscal policies might offer some assistance.The Eurozones M3 money supply annual rate for the three months ending in November was 2.9%, unchanged from the previous month.The Eurozones M3 money supply annual growth rate was 3% in November, compared to an expected 2.70% and a previous reading of 2.80%.

Forecast for Silver Price: XAG/USD corrects from $24.00 as USD Index recovers and US Employment is monitored

Alina Haynes

Apr 04, 2023 13:45

截屏2022-08-26 下午5.10.05_1024x576.png 

 

After failing to surpass the $24.00 resistance in the Asian session, the Silver price (XAG / USD) has corrected marginally. The precious metal has shown a slight decline in tandem with the US Dollar Index's recovery. (DXY). After establishing a buffer around 102.00, the USD Index has rebounded to near 102.15; however, the downside appears to be favored in anticipation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain a neutral posture on interest rates at its monetary policy meeting in May.

 

S&P500 futures are attempting to recoup all of the losses sustained in early Asia. The overall market sentiment is optimistic, so the demand for perceived-risk assets is robust. Prior to the United States Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Employment Change (March) data, which will be released on Wednesday, 10-year US Treasury yields have increased marginally to around 3.43 percent. According to the consensus, the US economy added 205K positions in March, compared to the previous report of 242K.

 

The need for a halt in the Fed's policy-tightening cycle will increase as a result of fewer job gains following a weaker ISM manufacturing PMI. According to the CME Fedwatch tool, over fifty percent of investors continue to anticipate an additional 25 basis point (bps) rate hike to 5.00-5.25%. However, a significant reorganization is anticipated after the publication of the Employment data.

 

Monday, Fed Board Governor Lisa Cook stated that the United States has both low unemployment and high inflation. Consequently, the Fed is presently focused on inflation, and the disinflationary process has begun, but we are not yet there. The commentary has provided the US dollar with some support.