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The US dollar rose above 1,480 against the South Korean won for the first time in eight months.December 17th - According to data from China Tungsten Online, tungsten powder prices rose by 10,000 yuan/ton today, reaching a new high of 1 million yuan/ton, a 216.5% increase compared to the beginning of the year. In addition, the latest price for 65% black tungsten concentrate is 420,000 yuan/standard ton, a 193.7% increase compared to the beginning of the year; the latest price for ammonium paratungstate (APT) is 620,000 yuan/ton, a 193.8% increase compared to the beginning of the year.December 17th - ING Senior Economist Min Joo Kang wrote in a report that the Bank of Japan is more likely to raise interest rates on Friday due to strong Japanese exports. Exports rose for the third consecutive month in November, and core machinery orders surged for the second consecutive month in October. The data suggests the economy is recovering from the contraction of the previous quarter. The market will be watching comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda. Given growing concerns about rising market interest rates, we expect Ueda to refrain from delivering any hawkish messages at the press conference.Yaojie Ankang-B (02617.HK) saw its gains widen to 20%, with the share price currently at HK$176.1.December 17th - Analyst Eamonn Sheridan stated that todays Japanese trade and investment data reinforced expectations that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates by 25 basis points this week. After contracting last quarter, signs of economic recovery continue to strengthen. Japans exports rose for the third consecutive month in November, increasing by 6.1% year-on-year, easily exceeding market expectations. Strong demand in the US and Europe, along with a recovery in global semiconductor demand following the US trade agreement, drove this rebound. Exports to the US grew by 8.8%, and exports to the EU increased by nearly 20%, highlighting improved external momentum.

USD/JPY is trading near 141.00, which would signal a return to levels not seen in 24 years

Daniel Rogers

Sep 05, 2022 16:30

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The US dollar/Japanese yen exchange rate is getting closer to last week's 24-year high of 140.80. In the wake of the US dollar index (DXY) hitting a fresh 20-year high of 110.03, the asset is gaining a great deal of momentum. The DXY has been trading at high levels and is expected to continue its upward trend.

 

The DXY has risen to prominence on currency markets as optimism about US employment data (as measured by Nonfarm Payrolls or NFP) has persisted over the previous week. The Fed's satisfaction with the US economy's August job gains is boosting the asset's value (Fed). Even though pricing pressures are having a significant influence on household income, recent depletion signals are not sufficient to persuade consumers to raise their spending habit (quantity-wise). Therefore, higher employment creation will encourage Fed policymakers to sound hawkish without hesitation.

 

Future attention will center on the release of the US ISM Services PMI. As the US economy is recognized for its IT giants and its offering of IT services to emerging nations, the value of the US Services PMI is unusually high. From 56.7, economists expect the economy to slow to 54.9. This may put an end to the DXY's dream rally, and the asset may encounter considerable challenges.

 

Due to the holiday on Monday, the US markets won't be trading, thus the asset's movement will be determined largely by market sentiment.

 

Investors are waiting for Tokyo to release secondary economic statistics on Monday. There is consensus that the Jibun Bank Services PMI will hold steady at 49.2. Although the release of Japan's GDP figures will continue to be a major forthcoming event. The GDP is forecast to increase to 0.7% from 0.5% in the third quarter. The annualized figure, at 2.9%, is much higher than the 2.2% that was previously reported.