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The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note fell to a six-month low of 3.6550% and was last at 3.6611%.On April 4, local time on April 3, U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert Kennedy Jr. said that about 20% of the layoffs in the Department of Government Efficiency were wrong and needed to be corrected. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services laid off about 10,000 people on the 1st. Kennedy said that people who should not have been laid off were laid off, and the department is restoring their positions. Kennedy said that canceling the entire lead poisoning prevention and monitoring department of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention was one of the mistakes. At present, it is unclear what other projects Kennedy may plan to restore.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Will consider the impact of food costs on consumers.On April 4, local time on the 3rd, the automobile company Stellantis said that due to the impact of the US import automobile tariff policy, the company decided to lay off 900 employees in its five US factories and suspend production operations at two assembly plants in Canada and Mexico. Antonio Filosa, Chief Operating Officer of Stellantis Americas, said that the US factories that were laid off were powertrain and stamping parts factories, which produced spare parts for two assembly plants in Canada and Mexico. According to the plan, the assembly plant in Canada will stop production for two weeks, and the assembly plant in Toluca, Mexico will suspend production throughout April. Filosa said the company is "continuing to evaluate the medium- and long-term impact of tariffs on operations."Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Non-weather factors may push up food prices.

USD/JPY is trading near 141.00, which would signal a return to levels not seen in 24 years

Daniel Rogers

Sep 05, 2022 16:30

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The US dollar/Japanese yen exchange rate is getting closer to last week's 24-year high of 140.80. In the wake of the US dollar index (DXY) hitting a fresh 20-year high of 110.03, the asset is gaining a great deal of momentum. The DXY has been trading at high levels and is expected to continue its upward trend.

 

The DXY has risen to prominence on currency markets as optimism about US employment data (as measured by Nonfarm Payrolls or NFP) has persisted over the previous week. The Fed's satisfaction with the US economy's August job gains is boosting the asset's value (Fed). Even though pricing pressures are having a significant influence on household income, recent depletion signals are not sufficient to persuade consumers to raise their spending habit (quantity-wise). Therefore, higher employment creation will encourage Fed policymakers to sound hawkish without hesitation.

 

Future attention will center on the release of the US ISM Services PMI. As the US economy is recognized for its IT giants and its offering of IT services to emerging nations, the value of the US Services PMI is unusually high. From 56.7, economists expect the economy to slow to 54.9. This may put an end to the DXY's dream rally, and the asset may encounter considerable challenges.

 

Due to the holiday on Monday, the US markets won't be trading, thus the asset's movement will be determined largely by market sentiment.

 

Investors are waiting for Tokyo to release secondary economic statistics on Monday. There is consensus that the Jibun Bank Services PMI will hold steady at 49.2. Although the release of Japan's GDP figures will continue to be a major forthcoming event. The GDP is forecast to increase to 0.7% from 0.5% in the third quarter. The annualized figure, at 2.9%, is much higher than the 2.2% that was previously reported.


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