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RSM Chief Economist Joseph Brusueras: Warsh delivered the right hawkish signals at the press conference and attempted to reinforce the Fed’s credibility in restoring price stability, while also enhancing his own credibility.U.S. stocks continued to decline after the Walsh press conference, with the S&P 500 falling 1%, its biggest drop since July 29, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.65%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.6%.On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to answer questions at a press conference regarding his interactions with US President Trump. Trump has been calling for lower interest rates in recent months. Warsh stated, "I have no comment on my discussions with the president." White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Christopher Phelan said on Tuesday that raising interest rates would be a "mistake."On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that he would not disclose details of future interest rate decisions by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). He said, "I am not responsible for providing forward guidance. Our decision today (to raise interest rates) is a carefully considered, serious, and responsible one. We have been preparing for and thinking about this decision for the past 110 or 120 days." Warsh also stated that this decision was not market-driven. He said, "Our decision today is based on our assessment of the current situation, our judgment of the employment trend, and our assessment of the strength of the economy. Sometimes, the market tries to anticipate our decisions. I watch market prices to see what information the market is sending. But todays decision is our own."On September 17th, Warsh stated that while the Federal Reserve cannot prevent price shocks in commodities such as oil on its own, the central bank can use policy tools to prevent further spread of inflationary pressures. Warsh said, "We cannot influence the price of any single commodity, such as oil or groceries." However, he pointed out, "We can and will ensure that any changes in relative prices do not spread further, and do not have second- or third-order effects on the economy. Thats our responsibility, and thats what were doing." Warsh made these remarks as U.S. diesel prices hit a record high due to the Iran war.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Double Top Formation Supports Bearish Reversal, 128.00 Targeted

Daniel Rogers

May 10, 2022 10:48

After reaching a fresh multi-year high of 131.35 on Monday, the USD/JPY pair experienced a sharp decline. The difference between the new multiyear high and the previous high of 131.26, reached in the last week of April, is negligible. Therefore, the recent high may be categorized as an unsuccessful attempt to establish above the previous high.

 

The asset produced a Double Top pattern on a four-hour time frame, indicating a bearish reversal after the successful retesting of the prior highs. The key resistance is established by the high of April 28 at 131.26.

 

Notable is the flattening of the 20-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at 130.42 and 129.94 respectively, which indicates weariness in the uptrend.

 

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (14) has switched from a bullish range of 60.00-80.00 to a consolidation range of 40.00-60.00, indicating a contraction in volatility.

 

The yen bulls could enjoy a brief ride if the asset falls below the 50-EMA at 129.94, which would take the currency towards Thursday's low at 128.76. A break of the latter will bring the asset to the round level support at 128.00.

 

In contrast, the dollar bulls could regain control if the asset surpasses the multi-year high at 131.35. This will take the pair toward the 15 April 2002 high of 132.38, followed by April's high of 132.82.

USD/JPY

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