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November 9th - Trump: I am pleased to announce that the great attorney John Coale has been nominated as the U.S. Special Envoy to Belarus. He has successfully facilitated the release of 100 hostages and is working to secure the release of another 50. I would like to express my sincere gratitude in advance to the esteemed President Lukashenko of Belarus for considering the release of these additional hostages.U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessant: Substantial progress is being made on the inflation issue, and prices are expected to fall in the coming months.On November 9th, local time, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky signed a new sanctions decision, imposing sanctions on several Russian government officials and institutions. Ukraine called on the international community to increase pressure on Russia and sanction all individuals and organizations that fund war and spread disinformation. Ukraine stated that this round of sanctions includes "Russian government members involved in the plunder of occupied Ukrainian territories" and personnel from Russian military intelligence. Ukraine also plans to take further measures against publishing institutions within Russia engaged in war propaganda and defense of aggression. According to Ukrainian sources, the sanctions list includes individuals such as Russian Presidential Special Representative Kirill Dmitriev.Iraqs State Oil Marketing Organization (SOMO) announced that Iraq has set its official selling price for December Basra medium crude oil to Asia at a discount of $0.35 to the average price of Oman/Dubai crude oil.November 9th - According to Japans TBS News, a 5.6-magnitude earthquake struck off the eastern coast of Honshu, Japan, at 6:28 PM local time on the 9th, with a focal depth of 10 kilometers. The epicenter was located off the coast of Sanriku, and Morioka City in Iwate Prefecture experienced noticeable tremors with an intensity level of 3. A 6.7-magnitude earthquake had just struck the same area at approximately 5:03 PM local time on the 9th, triggering a tsunami. According to the latest observations, the tsunami has reached several locations in Iwate Prefecture, including Miyako, Kuji Port, and Ofunato. No casualties have been reported so far.

USD/CNH rebounds from 7.3300 despite a strong Caixin Manufacturing PMI

Daniel Rogers

Nov 01, 2022 18:01

 截屏2022-11-01 上午11.37.49.png

 

After falling to roughly 7.3300 during the Tokyo trading session, the USD/CNH pair demonstrated a V-shaped recovery. Despite the release of positive Caixin Manufacturing PMI data, the asset has made a recovery. The economic data came in at 49.2 against predictions of 49.0 and the prior value of 48.1.

 

China's official Manufacturing PMI dropped to 49.2 from 50.0 and 50.1, as anticipated, according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). In addition, the Non-Manufacturing PMI was significantly lower at 48.7, compared to predictions of 51.9 and the last release of 50.6.

 

In the meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) in Tokyo has declined significantly as the risk-on sentiment has grown. The DXY has significantly declined to roughly 111.36. S&P500 futures have rallied strongly since Monday's decline due to confidence surrounding the quarterly results season.

 

Despite an increase in hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) wagers, US government bond returns have dropped. At the time of writing, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury has declined to 4.04%, a decrease of 0.90% from its prior level.

 

This week's major catalyst will be the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates. As inflationary pressures show no signs of abating, it is anticipated that the US Federal Reserve will hike interest rates by 75 basis points for the fourth time this year (bps). However, consumer spending declined to 1.4% in the third quarter from 2.0% in the previous quarter, which could weigh on the inflation rate.