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U.S. Secretary of State Rubio: We want to ensure that any decisions made in this agreement take into account the interests of our allies.On June 25th, the Hurun Research Institute released the "2026 Global Unicorn List" in Guangzhou. The top three unicorns all focus on large-scale modeling businesses: Anthropic, the parent company of Claude, became the worlds most valuable unicorn, valued at RMB 6.6 trillion, with a single-year increase of RMB 6.1 trillion, setting a record on the Hurun Unicorn List; OpenAI, the parent company of ChatGPT, ranked second with a value of RMB 5.8 trillion; and ByteDance, the parent company of Doubao, ranked third with a value of RMB 3.3 trillion. DeepSeek topped the list of 308 newly minted unicorn companies globally and ranked among the top 15 global unicorn companies with a value of RMB 340 billion. The second-ranked newly minted unicorn company is Project Prometheus, a physical artificial intelligence company co-founded by Jeff Bezos (valued at RMB 258 billion), and the third-ranked company is Kalshi, a US-based compliant prediction market (valued at RMB 150 billion).On June 25th, C-Zhenbao stated on its interactive platform that the companys main products are silicon, quartz, silicon carbide, and alumina ceramic semiconductor equipment components. These products are widely used in integrated circuit plasma etching and thin-film deposition equipment, and are compatible with advanced manufacturing lines for memory and logic chips. Regarding overseas customer expansion, the company has achieved stable batch supply to foreign wafer manufacturers such as SK Hynix; it has also established business partnerships with well-known international manufacturers such as Micron Semiconductor, although large-scale sales have not yet been achieved.UBS Group: Palladium prices are expected to fall to $1,100 per ounce in the coming months.June 25th - According to US media reports, SK Hynix is expected to issue American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) on Nasdaq on July 10th. The IPO plans to raise nearly $30 billion, potentially becoming one of the largest ADR offerings in history. The market generally believes this move will significantly expand its global investor base and could drive a valuation reassessment. Several asset management firms predict a 30% upside potential in the next year if its valuation converges with Microns. One fund manager pointed out that SK Hynix should at least trade at a valuation level comparable to Microns, as demand for memory chips is likely to continue to exceed supply for years to come. This IPO comes during a rare boom in the memory chip industry. Shares of Micron, SK Hynix, and Samsung Electronics have all risen more than 200% this year, marking their best annual performance in decades. The demand for HBM (Hardware-Based Memory) in AI servers is widely seen as a driver of a structural "memory supercycle."

AUD/USD demonstrates pre-Fed anxiety near 0.64 ahead of the US ADP Employment Change

Daniel Rogers

Nov 02, 2022 17:54

 截屏2022-11-02 上午10.53.53.png

 

Ahead of Wednesday's key Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, traders become cautious, causing AUD/USD to bounce around 0.6400. Traders of the Australian dollar-United States dollar pair are challenged by both pre-Fed anxiety and China- and U.S.-related concerns during a poor Asian session.

 

However, recent strong US data reinforced expectations for hawkish Fed action and defied the market's initial anticipation that officials will signal fewer rate hikes beginning in December. However, increased recession fears and rising price pressure look to present a challenge for both Fed hawks and AUD/USD bears.

 

Despite this, the US JOLTS Job Openings increased to 10,717M in September, compared to the forecast of 10.0M and the upwardly revised readings of 10.28M. In addition, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI rose to 50.2 in October, compared to market forecasts of 50 and a previous reading of 50.9. Final readings of the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for October exceeded 49.9 preliminary predictions to reach 50.4, but stayed below the 52.0 readings from the prior month.

 

In contrast, the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) preparedness to offer additional rate hikes, after announcing the second increase of 25 basis points (bps) to the benchmark rate the previous day, benefits AUD/USD buyers. During his scheduled speech on Tuesday, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Philip Lowe noted, "Rates have been significantly increased in a very short period of time." According to the official, the board has determined that a more gradual rate rise is necessary.

 

Aside from this, prospects of reducing covid restrictions in China and the recently higher China Caixin Manufacturing PMI for October may have helped AUD/USD buyers in the past, despite being the third consecutive reading below 50.

 

Yields remain unchanged at 4.05% following a solid start to November, while S&P 500 Futures register moderate gains despite Wall Street's poor close.

 

Consequently, AUD/USD pair traders should keep an eye on risk triggers and Australia's September Building Permits for fresh market impetus. Also essential will be the US ADP Employment Change for the month of October, as it gives an early indicator for Friday's US Nonfarm Payrolls report. However, significant emphasis should be placed on the Fed's ability to transmit a brake on the rapid rate hikes.

 

Combined with the AUD/USD pair's resistance to dip below the 10-DMA support near.6390, Tuesday's daily candle gives buyers hope. A downward-sloping resistance line from the beginning of August, which was near 0.6480 at the time of writing, challenges the upward momentum of the quote.


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