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On January 12th, Citigroup pointed out that Indonesias fiscal deficit this year may far exceed the statutory limit, as the government increases spending on the nationwide free meal program and reconstruction projects in flood-stricken provinces of Sumatra. In a report on Monday, Citigroup economist Helmi Arman revised his 2026 budget deficit as a percentage of GDP upward to 3.5% from the initial 2.7%. Citigroups base case assumption is that the government will amend the National Fiscal Law by the second half of this year to relax the long-standing 3% fiscal deficit cap. Arman stated that if the authorities choose to significantly cut spending to maintain fiscal discipline, they may avoid exceeding the limit. He predicts that by 2029, Indonesias debt-to-GDP ratio will rise from approximately 39% in 2025 to 42%.January 12th - In 2025, the judicial auction market showed a year-on-year decline in the number of listings, transactions, transaction value, and average price. A total of 719,000 units were listed for auction (down 6.6% year-on-year), with 169,000 units sold (down 4.4% year-on-year), for a total transaction value of 253.62 billion yuan (down 23.6% year-on-year), and an average discount rate of 74.1%. Residential properties were the core property type (accounting for 51.9% of transaction value), with second-round auctions accounting for the highest proportion of transactions (46.9%). Regionally, high-priced properties were concentrated in first-tier and core second-tier cities, with Shenzhen, Shanghai, and Beijing forming the first tier. Meanwhile, regional differentiation intensified, with significant differences in performance among key cities. The transaction structure optimized, with second-round auctions becoming the core transaction channel, and bidders preferring to make purchases at more attractive prices. The judicial auction market exhibited an independent cyclical trend, with monthly transaction volume and value significantly affected by the courts enforcement pace, showing marked fluctuations.On January 12th, it was reported that four new coastal carbon dioxide lidar systems were recently deployed to surrounding islands and nearshore areas in Shenzhen, including Xichong, Yantian, Xiwang Park, and Dachang Island. According to the Shenzhen Municipal Bureau of Ocean Development, Shenzhen is accelerating the construction of a comprehensive intelligent marine observation network. In addition to the latest 24-hour marine carbon monitoring system, the Shenzhen Marine Development Promotion Center, relying on the marine disaster prevention and control system project, recently deployed 27 high-precision marine observation buoys. The project is large-scale, involves heavy construction tasks, and has high technical standards, providing long-term support for improving the precision and intelligence of Shenzhens marine observation and forecasting operations.On January 12, at the 30th (2026) China Capital Market Forum, experts believed that to implement a more proactive fiscal policy, government debt management should be a key focus of fiscal work in 2026, and that it is necessary to adhere to the close integration of "investing in things" and "investing in people" to promote the stabilization of investment.On January 12th, Baisheng Intelligent announced that it recently signed a "Strategic Cooperation Agreement on Parking Lots" with Baolong Group, with a planned total cooperation amount of 200 million yuan. Baolong Group and its affiliated companies own commercial parking lot operation rights/ownership nationwide. To effectively manage parking spaces and improve parking service and management levels, they need to cooperate with professional operating companies to operate parking lots. Baisheng Intelligent and its affiliated companies are integrated parking solution operators specializing in parking and new energy vehicle charging operation management, and can undertake the systematic operation of commercial parking lots.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Bulls Are Optimistic Due to Bullish Pennant Formation, 0.9500 is a Target

Drake Hampton

Apr 18, 2022 09:46

The USD/CHF pair is trading within a narrow range of 0.9411-0.9439 following a stronger rally from the April 14 low of 0.9330. On Easter Monday, the asset is trading flat against a weakening US dollar index (DXY) in early Tokyo.

 

On a four-hour chart, USD/CHF is creating a bullish pennant pattern, which indicates a lack of direction following a strong run to the north and points to more higher if consolidation breaks sharply. In general, a consolidation phase is characterized by the establishment of long positions by market players who did not participate in the first rally or by the placement of bids by investors who choose to enter an auction after a bullish bias develops. The March 16 high of 0.9460 serves as critical horizontal resistance.

 

At 0.9358 and 0.9400, the 20- and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are advancing, implying additional potential. While the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is established between 60.00 and 80.00, indicating a bullish trend.

 

If the stock overcomes horizontal barrier at 0.9460, bulls will push it towards psychological resistance at 0.9500, followed by the 5 June 2020 high of 0.9650.

 

On the other hand, a decline below the March 28 high of 0.9382 will bring the asset down to its April 14 low of 0.9324. If the latter is breached, the asset will be dragged towards the April 13 low of 0.9287.

USD/CHF Four-Hour Chart

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