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On Monday, February 9th, the German DAX 30 index closed up 284.52 points, or 1.15%, at 25004.32; the UK FTSE 100 index closed up 15.84 points, or 0.15%, at 10385.59; the French CAC 40 index closed up 49.44 points, or 0.60%, at 8323.28; the Euro Stoxx 50 index closed up 60.96 points, or 1.02%, at 6059.36; the Spanish IBEX 35 index closed up 244.61 points, or 1.36%, at 18187.91; and the Italian FTSE MIB index closed up 923.30 points, or 2.01%, at 46800.50.February 10th - European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Jean-Claude Nagel stated that the ECBs current policy interest rate is at an appropriate level, and inflation, after a brief dip, is expected to stabilize near the 2% target. The ECB unanimously decided last week to keep its main interest rate unchanged at 2%, but some policymakers remained concerned that inflation, which had slowed to 1.7% last month, might weaken further, forcing the Eurozone central bank to take action. Nagel stated that the ECB would only intervene if medium-term inflation expectations deviated "persistently and significantly" from the target, but this does not appear to be the case at present. He said, "Several factors suggest that the current interest rate level is appropriate. First, the (inflation) below target is short-term and limited in magnitude; in the medium term, inflation remains at our target level." He added that long-term inflation expectations are "firmly anchored," and core inflation indicators support this assessment, as does the latest update to the ECBs December forecasts.The US 3-month Treasury auction ended February 9th with a winning yield of 3.6%, compared to 3.60% previously.The bid-to-cover ratio for the US 3-month Treasury bond auction as of February 9 was 2.76, compared to 2.81 previously.The US auction of 6-month Treasury bonds ending February 9th yielded a winning bid of 3.5%, compared to 3.53% previously.

Eyes AUD/JPY 94.00 Prior to the release of China's GDP, the focus shifts to the RBA Minutes.

Larissa Barlow

Apr 18, 2022 09:43

The AUD/JPY pair is trading in a narrow range of 92.82-93.90 as investors anticipate the publication of China's National Bureau of Statistics' Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures in Asia. The cross has been heading higher for an extended period, despite broader yen weakening.

 

It's worth mentioning that Australia is the world's largest exporter to China, and its better GDP figures will benefit the Australian dollar. The market consensus for China's annual GDP is 4.4 percent for the first quarter of CY22, down from 4% previously, while a preliminary estimate for China's annual industrial production is 4.5 percent, down dramatically from the previous number of 7.5 percent.

 

This week's big event will be the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) April monetary policy minutes. The minutes of the RBA will detail the mathematics underlying RBA Governor Philip Lowe's neutral stance. Additionally, information about Australian inflation will assist market participants in fine-tuning their strategies. Meanwhile, according to Reuters, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is anticipated to maintain its ultra-loose monetary policy despite an upward revision to inflation expectations. Additionally, the agency claimed that the BOJ is projected to lift its fiscal 2022 inflation prediction to above 1.5 percent from the current 1.1 percent in April, while lowering its fiscal 2022 growth forecast from the current 3.8 percent.

AUD/JPY

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