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July 3rd - Nick Timiraos, a well-known mouthpiece for the Federal Reserve, stated that Trump believes Fed Chairman Warsh is a dovish figure within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). This comes a day after White House National Economic Council Director Hassett made similar remarks; and a week earlier, Treasury Secretary Bessant stated that he hoped the Fed would remain "open" to inflation and expected the Fed to ease policy this year. A new era of "forward guidance"...On July 3rd, the Hainan Provincial Housing Provident Fund Management Bureau issued a notice regarding the withdrawal of housing provident funds to pay property management fees. The notice clarifies that contributors can apply to withdraw their housing provident funds once a year to pay property management fees for any owner-occupied residential property under their familys name in Hainan Province. Owner-occupied residential properties do not include self-built houses, shops, office buildings, or commercial properties such as timeshare hotel rooms. It is worth noting that if the contributors family has an outstanding housing provident fund loan in Hainan Province, the combined balance of the contributors and their spouses accounts after applying for the property management fee withdrawal must be sufficient to repay three months of the loan.July 3 – Allianz Chief Economist Ludovic Subran stated, “The US non-farm payroll data was actually weak, but I still believe inflation will peak above 3.7%, and artificial intelligence, fiscal stimulus, and the energy sector continue to support economic growth. The Fed may have to raise rates in September. I think this is the real point of contention between the US and Europe.” Subran believes that the European Central Bank will not take further action after last months rate hike. “That was an insurance-style rate hike, but judging from the current data, it seems to be over,” he said. “The traumatic effects of the (Iranian) war will take time to manifest; the economy is still bearing the costs of the war, but the situation is much better now than it was a few weeks ago.”NATOs Deputy Supreme Allied Commander Europe: Europe has increased its investment. Europe is filling the gaps left by the US repositioning its troops.The Houthi rebels in Yemen stated that if Saudi Arabia launches further attacks, it will "face attacks targeting Saudi airports and other vital objectives."

The US Stock Market Continues to Pull Back

Skylar Shaw

Apr 02, 2022 11:25

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S&P 500 Technical Analysis

On Friday, the S&P 500 sought to climb in the futures markets but gave back gains, indicating weakness. As a result, the market currently threatens the 4500 level in the futures market, which has previously been a key sector. As a result, it'll be fascinating to watch whether we can pull back much farther, possibly to the 50 Day EMA.


The candlestick's magnitude isn't particularly impressive, but it appears like the 4500 goal I suggested before will be tested. If we break it down further, the 50 Day EMA, which is at the 4400 level, makes a lot of sense, followed by the 200 Day EMA, which is also at that level. 


The market is still highly loud, and I believe it will continue to be so in the future. After all, there are a slew of confusing signals at the present, not least in the bond market, where many traders anticipate we'll see as many as eight interest rate hikes, while others say it's impossible.


Find a reason to go higher, but this is due to the fact that it is unconcerned about the underlying economy. Keep in mind that stock markets are about liquidity more than anything economic. If it were the case, the latest straight-up-in-the-air photo would not have taken place. 


That said, savage rallies are common in bear markets, so, while hope springs eternal, I'll be betting on the downside through options rather than directly in the market.


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