• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
The yield on Japans 20-year government bonds fell 4 basis points to 3.71%.July 13 (Futures News) – According to foreign media reports, soybean oil futures on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) surged in the week ending July 10, 2026, with the benchmark contract closing up 5.4%, mainly reflecting a strong rebound in international crude oil futures and a strengthening external vegetable oil market. The USDAs soybean oil supply and demand data had a relatively neutral impact on the market. The soybean oil/fuel oil price spread was 153.05 cents per gallon, compared to 164 cents a week earlier, reflecting improved biofuel margins. The USDAs supply and demand report released on Friday showed that the 2026/27 US soybean oil supply and demand remained unchanged, with production at 32.59 billion pounds, a 5.6% increase year-on-year. Soybean oil usage in biofuel production was 17.8 billion pounds, a 22.3% increase year-on-year. Exports were 400 million pounds, significantly lower than the previous years 1 billion pounds. The average annual price was 70 cents per pound, higher than the previous years 64 cents per pound.1. Monday: ① Data: Chinas June M2 money supply annual rate (TBD). ② Event: OPEC releases its monthly oil market report (specific release time to be determined, generally around 6-9 PM Beijing time). 2. Tuesday: ① Data: US June NFIB Small Business Confidence Index, ADP Employment Change, US June CPI and Core CPI data; Chinas June trade balance. ② Event: Fed Governor Waller speaks; State Council Information Office holds a press conference on import and export situation in the first half of 2026; Fed Chairman Warsh attends the House Financial Services Committee hearing on the "Federal Reserves Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report" [simultaneous interpretation]. ③ Earnings Reports: JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America, Goldman Sachs, Wells Fargo (pre-market). 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API crude oil inventory weekly report, EIA crude oil inventory weekly report, US June PPI year-on-year and month-on-month rates, US July New York Fed Manufacturing Index; Chinas Q2 GDP year-on-year rate, June retail sales of consumer goods year-on-year, June industrial value-added of enterprises above designated size year-on-year, Chinas June total electricity consumption (tentative); Eurozone May industrial production month-on-month rate; Canadas May wholesale sales month-on-month rate, Bank of Canada interest rate decision until July 15. ② Events: The National Energy Administration releases monthly electricity consumption data around the 15th of each month; Chicago Fed President Goolsby, a 2027 FOMC voting member, participates in a fireside chat; Bank of England Governor Bailey delivers a speech; the National Bureau of Statistics releases a monthly report on residential sales prices in 70 major and medium-sized cities; the State Council Information Office holds a press conference on the national economic situation; FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams delivers a speech; the Bank of Canada releases its interest rate decision and monetary policy report; Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh attends a hearing on the "Federal Reserves Semi-Annual Monetary Policy Report" before the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee [simultaneous interpretation]; Bank of Canada Governor Macklem and Senior Deputy Governor Rogers hold a monetary policy press conference. ③ Earnings Reports: Morgan Stanley, ASML, Johnson & Johnson, BlackRock (pre-market). 4. Thursday: ① Data: South Koreas central bank interest rate decision to July 16; UKs May three-month GDP month-on-month rate, May manufacturing output month-on-month rate, May seasonally adjusted goods trade balance, May industrial production month-on-month rate; Eurozones May seasonally adjusted trade balance; US initial jobless claims for the week ending July 11, June retail sales month-on-month rate, July Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, July NAHB Housing Market Index, May business inventories month-on-month rate, June pending home sales index month-on-month rate, EIA natural gas weekly report. ② Events: The Federal Reserve releases its Beige Book on economic conditions; 2028 FOMC voting member and St. Louis Fed President Musalaim speaks; Changxin Technology begins its IPO subscription. ③ Earnings Reports: TSMC (pre-market), Netflix, Alcoa (after-market). 5. Friday: ① Data: Eurozone May seasonally adjusted current account, June final CPI annual rate; US June annualized housing starts, June building permits, June import price index month-on-month, June industrial production month-on-month, July preliminary one-year inflation rate expectations, July preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment index. ② Events: Domestic refined oil prices will enter a new round of adjustment window; Dallas Fed President Logan, 2026 FOMC voting member, will speak; Fed Vice Chairman Jefferson will speak on the economy and monetary policy; the World Artificial Intelligence Conference (WAIC 2026) will be held in Shanghai from July 17 to July 20. ③ Market Closure: Seoul Stock Exchange in South Korea will be closed for one day. 6. Saturday: ① Data: US total number of oil rigs for the week ending July 17. July 13 - According to Iranian sources on the 13th, the deputy governor of Khuzestan province in southwestern Iran stated that at 1:35 AM that day, two locations near Ahvaz, the capital of Khuzestan province, were attacked by US artillery fire. Furthermore, several other cities and counties in the province were also targeted by US forces.1. A new device enables "programmable" thermal radiation. 2. Zhipu and MiniMax released internal memos one after the other. 3. Apple sues OpenAI for stealing trade secrets in a major lawsuit. 4. Samsung Electronics plans to advance the start of production at its first chip factory in Yongin to 2029. 5. Musk: In some software benchmark tests, Grok 4.5 even slightly outperformed the high-performance Fable large model.

The US Stock Market Continues to Pull Back

Skylar Shaw

Apr 02, 2022 11:25

微信截图_20220402091730.png

S&P 500 Technical Analysis

On Friday, the S&P 500 sought to climb in the futures markets but gave back gains, indicating weakness. As a result, the market currently threatens the 4500 level in the futures market, which has previously been a key sector. As a result, it'll be fascinating to watch whether we can pull back much farther, possibly to the 50 Day EMA.


The candlestick's magnitude isn't particularly impressive, but it appears like the 4500 goal I suggested before will be tested. If we break it down further, the 50 Day EMA, which is at the 4400 level, makes a lot of sense, followed by the 200 Day EMA, which is also at that level. 


The market is still highly loud, and I believe it will continue to be so in the future. After all, there are a slew of confusing signals at the present, not least in the bond market, where many traders anticipate we'll see as many as eight interest rate hikes, while others say it's impossible.


Find a reason to go higher, but this is due to the fact that it is unconcerned about the underlying economy. Keep in mind that stock markets are about liquidity more than anything economic. If it were the case, the latest straight-up-in-the-air photo would not have taken place. 


That said, savage rallies are common in bear markets, so, while hope springs eternal, I'll be betting on the downside through options rather than directly in the market.