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August 22nd - Analysts say US President Trump is attempting to achieve what tens of thousands of bombs and missiles failed to do: force Iran to end the war according to US conditions by imposing a new round of sanctions, a naval blockade, and increased economic pressure on Irans trading partners. However, this old approach of "forcing Iran to submit" has a fatal flaw: Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has effectively controlled the Strait of Hormuz and has repeatedly launched large numbers of attack drones towards the Persian Gulf. The Revolutionary Guard is largely immune to economic pressure and has ample means of retaliation. A key turning point in this round of US action is Monday, when Treasury Secretary Bessant will announce details of a new plan. This plan aims to shift the conflict from mutual airstrikes in the Middle East to comprehensive economic isolation. However, if the new economic pressure proves effective, Iran is likely to retaliate with military strikes, targeting energy facilities along the Persian Gulf coast, attempting to drive up oil prices, increase the cost of US action, and force Trump to change course again.According to Fox News, U.S. Trade Representative Greer stated that there are no plans for new negotiations with Canada.Ukrainian President Zelenskyy: He discussed the air defense shortage with French President Macron, and Macron agreed to expedite the delivery of the latest French equipment.Syrian Foreign Ministry: Israel’s continued attacks have exacerbated tensions and instability.The Syrian Foreign Ministry stated that Israels attack on Beitkin, a suburb of Damascus, constituted a violation of national sovereignty.

The US Stock Market Continues to Pull Back

Skylar Shaw

Apr 02, 2022 11:25

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S&P 500 Technical Analysis

On Friday, the S&P 500 sought to climb in the futures markets but gave back gains, indicating weakness. As a result, the market currently threatens the 4500 level in the futures market, which has previously been a key sector. As a result, it'll be fascinating to watch whether we can pull back much farther, possibly to the 50 Day EMA.


The candlestick's magnitude isn't particularly impressive, but it appears like the 4500 goal I suggested before will be tested. If we break it down further, the 50 Day EMA, which is at the 4400 level, makes a lot of sense, followed by the 200 Day EMA, which is also at that level. 


The market is still highly loud, and I believe it will continue to be so in the future. After all, there are a slew of confusing signals at the present, not least in the bond market, where many traders anticipate we'll see as many as eight interest rate hikes, while others say it's impossible.


Find a reason to go higher, but this is due to the fact that it is unconcerned about the underlying economy. Keep in mind that stock markets are about liquidity more than anything economic. If it were the case, the latest straight-up-in-the-air photo would not have taken place. 


That said, savage rallies are common in bear markets, so, while hope springs eternal, I'll be betting on the downside through options rather than directly in the market.