EUR/USD
1.16841
0.050%
Gold
4625.02
0.177%
Oil
84.961
-1.540%
USD/JPY
158.761
-0.147%
GBP/USD
1.36517
0.037%
GBP/JPY
216.741
-0.110%
Real-time News
August 24th - Bank of Japan (BOJ) officials will soon have multiple opportunities to confirm or dampen increasingly aggressive market bets on a September rate hike. Market pricing indicates an approximately 82% probability of a September rate hike. Since the July 2024 rate hike decision faced fierce criticism, the BOJ governor has emphasized strengthening communication with the market. The yen is another key factor prompting the BOJ to signal its policy intentions. Kento Minami, senior economist at Daiwa Securities, stated, "The BOJ is unlikely to explicitly state that the next rate hike will be in September. Instead, officials may hint at the need for an earlier rate hike by emphasizing upside risks to inflation. The market will interpret this as confirmation of a September rate hike." However, if the BOJ repeatedly emphasizes uncertainty, the need for further data observation, or the need to assess the impact of previous rate hikes, the market may interpret this as a signal to maintain interest rates unchanged in September.According to Greek media reports, Athens deployed an air defense system to Crete after Iran threatened US military bases in Europe.The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 4.9 occurred near Changning County, Yibin City, Sichuan Province at 08:26 on August 24. The final result is subject to the official rapid report.August 24th - According to sources familiar with the matter, the Canadian government believes the possibility of resuming negotiations with US President Trump before the midterm elections is extremely slim, as trade talks have broken down. The source stated that Canadian Prime Minister Carney indicated he would prepare a domestic aid package to help businesses affected by US tariffs. Sources say these measures are designed to help businesses weather the remainder of Trumps term if necessary. However, while the Carney government sees no immediate signs of restarting negotiations, some sources warn that the situation remains dynamic, and the US has not ruled out renegotiating. The sudden breakdown of negotiations has forced Carney to prepare for a potentially long winter. Carney reportedly told reporters, "We will support affected businesses for as long as possible, in other words, even beyond the end of this US administrations term. We have established various mechanisms, and all details will be released within the next few days."On August 24th, it was reported that the U.S. Postal Service issued new rules for mail-in ballots on August 23rd local time. The rules require states to submit lists of voters who have applied for mail-in ballots and to affix unique barcodes containing names and addresses to both mailed and returned ballot envelopes for verification and tracking. The U.S. Postal Service stated that the collected data will be managed separately from state voter rosters and will aid in the enforcement of federal law. Due to a court injunction, the new rules will not take effect immediately and will only be implemented after the injunction is lifted. This years midterm elections are crucial for the battle for control of the House and Senate. Regarding mail-in ballots, the Supreme Court rejected a Republican appeal in June, allowing some local governments in the U.S. to still count ballots postmarked no later than Election Day but delivered later.
