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The Federation of Indian Automobile Dealers Association (FADA): Passenger car retail sales in June increased by 4.84% year-on-year, and the country is cautiously optimistic about the short-term outlook. However, it is necessary to remain vigilant considering the shortage of rare earths, geopolitical tensions and the spillover effects of US tariffs.On July 7, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may be temporarily suspending its one-year interest rate cut cycle. Most economists predict that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will keep interest rates unchanged this week, while sending dovish signals to assess the effectiveness of economic recovery. The bank recently stated that interest rates have entered a neutral range, downplaying the urgency of further interest rate cuts and hinting that it may adopt a quarterly interest rate cut rhythm in the future, rather than adjusting at every policy meeting. It is worth noting that there were differences of opinion at the last interest rate meeting. Given that the current economic recovery momentum is still unstable, further interest rate cuts are still possible this year.Market News: Trump welcomed Netanyahu and expressed optimism about reaching an Israel-Hamas agreement "this week."On July 7, the 27th Senate election of the Japanese Diet was scheduled for voting on the 20th. The latest opinion poll conducted by Kyodo News from the 5th to the 6th showed that the opposition camp was more popular than the ruling coalition, and nearly half of the respondents hoped that the ruling coalition composed of the Liberal Democratic Party and the Komeito Party would not achieve the goal of more than half of the seats. The Japanese Senate is responsible for legislative review and government supervision. It has 248 seats. The term of office of members is six years, and half of them are re-elected every three years. This election will focus on 125 seats. In addition to 74 constituency seats and 50 proportional representation seats, there is also 1 by-election seat. According to Japanese media, the results of this Senate election will determine the fate of Shigeru Ishibas cabinet. If the ruling coalition wins less than 50 seats, Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba may resign or reorganize the ruling coalition.On July 7, Goldman Sachs said it expects the eight OPEC+ members to increase their oil production quotas by 550,000 barrels per day in September, thereby completely canceling the voluntary production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day. OPEC+ hopes to restore idle production capacity to normal as global oil demand shows resilience. Goldman Sachs said: "The decision to accelerate the pace of production increases announced on Saturday strengthens our confidence. We have pointed out since last summer that OPEC+ will shift to a more long-term balanced strategy, focusing on normalizing idle production capacity and market share, supporting internal cohesion, and strategically restricting US shale oil supply." Goldman Sachs expects that the crude oil production of the eight OPEC+ members will increase by 1.67 million barrels per day from March to September to 33.2 million barrels per day, of which Saudi Arabia accounts for more than 60% of the increase.

E-mini NASDAQ-100 Threatening to Turn Lower for the Week

Cameron Murphy

Apr 02, 2022 10:36


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Shortly after the mid-session on Friday, June E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index futures were trading lower. The likelihood of increasing interest rates, a difficult bond market recession indicator, and another decline in semiconductor stocks are the drivers for the weakness.


June E-mini NASDAQ-100 Index futures were trading at 14736.50 at 17:18 GMT, down 132.25 or -0.89%. The Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 ETF (QQQ) is currently trading at $359.00, down $3.54 or -0.98 percent from its previous close.


Investors are pondering the official March jobs report, which revealed that the US economy added 431,000 jobs. The result was lower than Dow Jones's aggregate prediction of 490,000, but higher than some of the lower end estimates. Nonetheless, the figures indicated that the US economy was resilient, sustaining the Federal Reserve's aggressive tightening program.


Stock market traders completely ignored a bond market recession signal that was triggered after the closing bell on Thursday and again on Friday morning. For the first time since 2019, the 2-year and 10-year Treasury rates reversed.


However, after the jobs report confirmed the assumption that the Fed will need to quickly boost rates to control surging inflation, U.S. Treasury yields soared and a frequently monitored portion of the yield curve reinverted.


Meanwhile, chip stocks sank again on Friday, with Intel down more than 4% and Advanced Micro Devices down 2.3 percent, owing to rising concerns about personal computer demand.

Technical Analysis of the Daily Swing Chart

According to the daily swing chart, the major trend is up. The return of the uptrend will be signaled by a trade through 15268.75. The major trend will turn to down if the price breaks through 12942.50.


Although this is exceedingly unlikely, a regular 50 percent to 61.8 percent correction of the recent 10-session surge is possible.


The minor trend is upwards as well. The minor trend will be changed to down if a deal is made through 14433.50. This will change the tide.


16700.00 to 12942.50 is the major range. Earlier this week, the index encountered resistance at 15264.50, which was the top of its retracement zone. At 14821.25, it is currently trading on the downside of the 50% barrier.


12942.50 to 15268.75 is the short-term range. The new downside target is 14105.40 to 13831.00, which is the retracement zone.

Technical Forecast for the Daily Swing Chart

The presence of sellers will be shown by a persistent move below 14821.25. Look for the selling to extend towards the minor bottom at 14433.50 if this move creates enough negative momentum.

If the index can overcome 14821.25 late in the session, it will be in a position to turn higher for the rest of the day.

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