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August 16th - Despite a significant rebound in the stock market from the panic triggered by the plunge in chip and AI-related stocks, data shows that short selling is still on the rise. According to data released by the Korea Exchange on Sunday, as of Tuesday, the outstanding short position in the South Korean stock market was approximately 19 trillion won (about $13.4 billion), an increase of 2.27 trillion won, or 14%, from 16.73 trillion won at the end of last month. At the end of February this year, the short position was 15 trillion won, briefly fell to 12 trillion won in early March, and then rose again to 23 trillion won in early June. So far this month, the benchmark KOSPI index has risen by 6%, while the tech-heavy KOSDAQ index has surged by 20%. Last month, the South Korean stock market experienced a sharp drop due to market concerns about the profitability of AI-related investments (which could weaken chip demand). However, investors remain concerned about the rapid short-term gains and are uncertain whether the chip industry has peaked.On August 16, Libyas National Electricity Corporation announced that an explosion occurred near the Zawiya power station in western Libya on August 15. The explosion caused multiple power plants to shut down, paralyzed the power grid, and resulted in power outages in the capital Tripoli and large areas of western Libya. In a statement, the company said that maintenance teams were working to resolve the fault and power supply to the affected areas was being gradually restored. Technical teams have begun investigating the cause and technical details of the explosion.According to Al Arabiya satellite television: Libyan sources say the Al-Hashah power station in Zawara was attacked by drones.On August 16th, local time, police in Virginia, USA, arrested a 19-year-old man suspected of involvement in a shooting that day that injured five people. No one was killed in the shooting, but one victim is in critical condition. Chesterfield County Sheriffs Office announced the arrest of Camron Harris, from Henrico, Virginia. Authorities stated that he is not a student at the school. Police said they have issued eight felony warrants for the man, including charges of intentional assault and use of a firearm during a felony. Although the shooting occurred on school grounds, only one of the five injured was a student at the school. Authorities stated that the other four victims are between 17 and 23 years old.Conflict Updates: 1. The UAE reports an attack on a ship in the Strait of Hormuz. 2. Lebanon condemns Israeli attacks on southern Lebanon as a violation of the framework agreement. 3. Israeli airstrikes in Lebanon kill 11. 4. Lebanon condemns Israeli attacks on southern Lebanon as a violation of the framework agreement. 5. The UAE Foreign Ministry condemns Irans attack on an ADNOC vessel. 6. Israeli airstrikes on the southern Lebanese town of Deir Zahrani kill 4 and injure 17. 7. Irans Communications Minister: Over 500 telecommunications sites have been attacked during the war, and some facilities were hit again after being repaired and service restored. 8. According to Saudi Arabias Al Arabiya TV: The Yemeni military vowed a strong response to the Houthi attack on the port city of Mocha. 9. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: Hezbollah violated the ceasefire agreement in Lebanon and attacked our fighters within the "yellow line." In response, the Israel Defense Forces attacked the Hezbollah command post that issued the order for the attack. Strait of Hormuz: 1. A maritime accident occurred in the Strait of Hormuz; a bulk carrier was hit by an unidentified flying object. 2. Iran and Oman have reached an agreement on shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz. 3. Iranian Foreign Minister: The United States must meet (Irans) conditions before shipping through the Strait of Hormuz can resume. 4. Iranian Foreign Minister: Qatar and Pakistan are exchanging information with us, but this is not a negotiation. The talks between Iran and Oman are being conducted independently, focusing on sea routes through the Strait of Hormuz. Other Matters: 1. US media: Trumps demands are putting pressure on the US Navy. 2. Iranian Foreign Minister: Iran has not yet decided whether to resume negotiations with the United States. 3. Bandar Abbas International Airport resumes flight operations today. 4. Iran and Tajikistan sign a long-term oil cooperation agreement. 5. Head of Mocha Port, Yemen: The port of Mocha in Yemen ceased operations after the Houthi attack. 6. US media: The root cause of the US aircraft carrier predicament lies in the attack on the logistics hub of the Bahrain base in the early stages of the war. 7. According to Iranian media Fars News: Iranian military officials say three Iranian Air Force personnel went missing after an operation targeting US bases in March and are currently being held in Qatar. 8. The head of Irans Energy Optimization Organization: As part of three ongoing proposals to manage Irans gasoline supply, Iran is considering a proposal to allocate 30 liters of gasoline per person per month, and that this quota be transferable and tradable.

US Dollar Index Recovers From Weekly Low Due To Weak US Inflation And Hawkish Federal Reserve Bets

Daniel Rogers

Feb 15, 2023 14:41

US Dollar Index.png 

 

During early Wednesday trade, the US Dollar Index (DXY) maintains a defensive stance at 103.30, following a comeback from a one-week low, as dollar bulls await fresh evidence to reverse a two-day decline.

 

US inflation numbers initially failed to excite US Dollar bulls, forcing the dollar's index against six major currencies to drop to its lowest level in a week the previous day. The US Treasury bond yield and the DXY, however, were later buoyed by the Fed's hawkish remarks.

 

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) exceeded market expectations with a 6.4% year-over-year (YoY) increase, although it was the worst YoY growth since 2021, when it fell below 6.5%. Importantly, the CPI excluding food and energy, often known as the Core CPI, rose by 5.6% compared to market forecasts of 5.5% and prior readings of 5.5%.

 

In spite of the fact that the United States inflation failed to meet expectations for a "pleasant surprise," the majority of Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers supported more rate hikes after reviewing the data. The yields on US Treasury bonds and the US Dollar were driven by the same factor. Lorie Logan, president of the Dallas Fed, highlighted, however, that they must be prepared to continue rate hikes for a longer period of time than initially anticipated. John Williams, president of the New York Federal Reserve Bank, reiterated this attitude, noting that the task of containing high inflation is not yet accomplished. In addition, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Patrick Harker, stated that they are not yet through (increasing interest rates), but are likely close.

 

As a result, US 10-year Treasury bond rates vary around 3.75%, up three basis points (bps) after reaching a six-week high, while the two-year equivalent reached its highest level since early November 2022 by reaching 4.60%. Similarly, Wall Street's losses towards the conclusion of the day boosted the DXY's increase.

 

US Retail Sales and Industrial Production data for January, as well as the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index for February, should be closely monitored by traders of the US Dollar Index on Wednesday in order to validate the Fed's hawkish lean and continue the recovery's momentum.


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