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September 6th - According to a CNBC report, data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday showed that of the 162,000 jobs added that month, women accounted for 158,000, or 98%. Men accounted for the remaining 4,000 net job gains, meaning they contributed almost 40 times less to overall job growth. The nonprofit Economic Security Project first pointed out this anomaly in Fridays data. Laura Ullrich, director of economic research at Indeed Recruiting Lab, said that with the release of Fridays nonfarm payroll report, the gap between women and men in employment has climbed to unprecedented levels. "We are in the midst of a transformation," Ullrich said. "This change is happening right before our eyes."September 6th - According to the Ministry of Water Resources, this morning (September 6th), the Ministry held a rolling consultation meeting to analyze and assess the national rainfall and flood situation and to arrange and deploy key defense work. As of 11:00 AM on September 6th, 10 rivers in Zhejiang, Jiangxi, Heilongjiang, and other areas remained above warning levels, with the largest exceeding the warning level by 1.04 meters. The peak of the first flood of the Ganjiang River in Jiangxi has passed the Zhangshu section, and it is expected that the entire main stream of the Ganjiang River will recede below the warning level within the next 24 hours.September 6th - Earlier today, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced the release of previously undisclosed surveillance footage and videos of actions against vessels violating regulations. The IRGC stated that its navy took decisive action and implemented effective control in the Strait of Hormuz; any suspicious activity will be targeted. The IRGC asserted that the United States is the greatest threat to the security and maritime trade of countries in the region; any claims of US support and escort are pure lies.Israel Defense Forces: Hezbollah fired two drones at Israeli soldiers, who shot down one of them. No Israeli casualties were reported.The Israeli military stated that Hezbollah had previously launched drone attacks on soldiers within Israels "safe zone," prompting Israel to launch attacks in southern Lebanon.

EUR/USD Struggles Below 1.0700 As US Data Fuel Hawkish Fed Predictions, Lagarde of the ECB Supports Higher Interest Rates

Daniel Rogers

Feb 16, 2023 14:51

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The EUR/USD pair approaches 1.0690 but struggles to prolong the recovery from late Wednesday to early Thursday. Notwithstanding, the major currency pair dropped the most in a week as US data bolstered Fed bets and pushed US Treasury bond yields and the US Dollar to multi-day highs. Christine Lagarde's recent hawkish comments on the European Central Bank (ECB) looked to have strengthened prices.

 

In spite of this, US 10-year Treasury bond yields surged to a fresh six-week high, and the US Dollar Index (DXY) also climbed to a 1.5-month high, as key US data suggested the Federal Reserve (Fed) may increase interest rates further.

 

As announced on Wednesday, January US Retail Sales growth increased to 3.0% from 1.8% expected and -1.0% earlier. In addition, Retail Sales excluding Automobiles grew by 2.3% during the same month, exceeding experts' projections of growth of 0.8%. Similarly, the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index for February increased to -5.8 from -18.0 and market forecasts of -32.9. Alternately, US Industrial Production reported 0.0% MoM figures for January, contrary to analysts' expectations of 0.5% and prior readings of -0.7%, but failed to quell hawkish attitude surrounding the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move.

 

According to Reuters' FEDWATCH tool, market wagers on the Fed's next moves indicate that US central bank rates will peak around 5.25 percent in July, as opposed to the Federal Reserve's December prediction of 5.10 percent.

 

Lagarde of the ECB, on the other hand, stated that despite the fact that the majority of indicators of longer-term inflation expectations are currently hovering around 2%, these indices require constant monitoring. The policymaker stated, "Price pressures remain elevated, and underlying inflation is elevated," while signaling her intent to increase rates by 50 basis points at the March meeting.

 

Wall Street benchmarks concluded the trading day with small increases, but S&P 500 Futures are reluctant to follow suit.

 

In the near future, the ECB's monthly speech and several ECB speakers will complement the secondary US housing market, industrial activity, and producer pricing data to create an intriguing day.


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