EUR/USD 1.13774
-0.075%
Gold 4017.49
-0.274%
Oil 83.283
6.323%
USD/JPY 163.781
-0.048%
GBP/USD 1.32823
-0.043%
GBP/JPY 217.545
-0.077%
Browse More
  • English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
July 29th - Despite some speculation that the Federal Reserve might unexpectedly raise interest rates on Wednesday, Fundstrat Global Advisors market strategist Tom Lee believes this is unlikely, primarily based on recent progress on inflation. The latest inflation data shows that housing costs and other key components are slowing, giving the Fed room to keep rates unchanged. Therefore, it would be surprising if the Fed, which always emphasizes data collection, concluded that inflationary pressures remain strong based solely on surface observations. Admittedly, inflation has not yet returned to 2%, but the impact of tariffs and rising oil prices are distorting these figures. However, the Fed may consider further reducing its asset holdings on its balance sheet.TSMC (TSM.N): Raw material supply is normal.On July 29th, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093.HK) announced in Hong Kong that its Phase II clinical trial (SYH2062-003) for the treatment of essential hypertension in adults, developed by the Group, has been officially launched at its first center in China. This product specifically silences the angiotensinogen (AGT) gene, inhibits the expression of the corresponding protein, and alleviates excessive activation of the renin-angiotensin system (RAAS), thereby exerting an effective pathway inhibition and long-term blood pressure control effect.On July 29, CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (01093.HK) announced in Hong Kong that CRB-701 (SYS6002), which the Group licensed to Corbus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. for development, has been approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration to initiate a registration clinical trial (trial code: TEMPO-1) for second-line treatment of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma.Italian oil company Eni: Refineries will operate at maximum capacity in the third quarter.

US DOLLAR FUNDAMENTAL FORECAST: BULLISH

Alice Wang

Jul 18, 2022 15:20

微信截图_20220718151704.png


After a US inflation data boosted expectations for a Federal Reserve rate rise this week, the US dollar increased and reached levels not seen since September 2002. In June, the consumer price index (CPI) increased by 9.1% as compared to the same month a year before, above the consensus estimate of 8.8%. Core inflation, which excludes the cost of gasoline and food, increased more than was predicted.


According to Fed Funds futures, this raised the likelihood of a 100 basis-point rate rise at the July 27 FOMC meeting to above 50%. These wagers decreased over the weekend but were still larger than they were before to the CPI report. Before the FOMC blackout period started on July 16, representatives from the Federal Reserve assisted in lowering such expectations.


According to the CFTC's most recent Commitments of Traders report, traders reduced their long bets on the US dollar for a second consecutive week. Despite the two-week fall, traders' net long positions in the USD have mainly not changed. The reference period for the data concluded on July 12, leaving markets in the dark about post-CPI positioning.

Suggestion