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July 20th - Morgan Stanley strategists stated in a report that the UK political risk premium has declined as Andy Burnham is set to become the new British Prime Minister on Monday. The strategists noted that geopolitical concerns continue to weigh on UK government bonds, but these concerns are easing. They expect UK bond yields to fall if tensions in the Middle East ease.Iranian President Pezechzian: Throughout my term, I have never had partisan or factional bias, and no one has been able to claim that anyone was hired or dismissed solely because of political leanings, party affiliation, or even nepotism.On July 20th, HSBC economists stated in a report that global trade growth could slow if AI-related demand weakens. They pointed out that global trade remains closely tied to the AI cycle, with related goods driving 80% of global export growth in nominal value. These goods account for approximately 80% of Taiwans total exports and 27% of the USs total imports. They noted that exports excluding technology products have been weaker, with export growth in other categories essentially stagnant since 2024. Furthermore, AI is also supporting growth in services trade. However, they believe that based on capital expenditure forecasts from major global hyperscale cloud service providers, even if AI investment growth slows next year, this AI boom is likely to continue for some time.British Prime Minister Keir Starmer formally resigned during a meeting with King Charles.British Prime Minister Keir Starmer went to Buckingham Palace to formally resign as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.

Two Trades to Watch: DAX, GBP/USD

Jimmy Khan

May 07, 2022 10:43


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The DAX is falling as industrial output declines.


After a slaughter on Wall Street that saw the Nasdaq finsh 5% down, European equities have begun in the red, extending losses from the previous day.


Fears of inflation, stagflation, and recession are weighing on the market as we approach the weekend. The DAX is expected to shed 1.4 percent this week, marking the fifth consecutive week of losses.


In March, German industrial output decreased -3.9 percent on a month-over-month basis, down from 0.2 percent in February and considerably below the -1 percent drop forecast. The negative report comes on the heels of a sharp drop in German manufacturing orders in March. The data represents the economic effect of the Russian conflict on Germany and the Eurozone as a whole.


Germany does not have any additional statistics due today. Sentiment and the US NFP announcement will affect European indexes.