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August 29th - On August 28th local time, the U.S. Central Command stated that the United States continues its naval blockade of Iran. As of the 28th, U.S. Central Command forces had guided 82 merchant ships to change course, rendered 3 merchant ships incapable of navigation, and boarded and inspected 2 other merchant ships.The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) projects that U.S. oil production will average 13.83 million barrels per day in August, up slightly from 13.82 million barrels per day in July; September production is projected to average 13.77 million barrels per day.U.S. Central Command: 82 vessels were redirected in the Strait of Hormuz, 3 were interfered with, and 2 were boarded to ensure compliance.On August 29th, US President Trump announced on social media that the United States had reached an agreement with Venezuela, gaining "majority control" over more than 65 billion barrels of Venezuelas proven oil reserves. Trump stated that the US and Venezuela collaborated, through partnerships with private companies, to acquire "majority control" of over 65 billion barrels of Venezuelas proven oil reserves, with US taxpayers bearing no cost. Trump claimed that this deal "will more than double the US oil reserves, significantly increase oil supply, and significantly reduce US gasoline prices for a long time to come." However, Trump did not disclose the specific details of the agreement, and the White House has not yet released an official statement.On August 29th, NBC News, citing two sources familiar with the matter, reported that US Defense Secretary Peter Hegseth has been discussing the possibility of running for president in 2028 with close associates in recent months. Hegseth and his wife believe he shares some similarities with Trump, including a tough, confrontational style and conservative stances on social issues, which could garner support from the MAGA base. This month, Hegseth also traveled to Iowa to campaign for Republican lawmakers. Iowa has long been a key outpost in US presidential elections, further fueling speculation that he is preparing to run. If he does run, Hegseth could compete with Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Rubio, and others. However, a Pentagon spokesperson denied the claims, stating that "Secretary Hegseth will not run for president," and that his primary focus remains leading the Department of Defense. The report points out that the ongoing war with Iran could be a major political burden for Hegseth, with 18 US military personnel already killed and the average US gasoline price rising from less than $3 per gallon to slightly over $4.

Two Trades to Watch: DAX, GBP/USD

Jimmy Khan

May 07, 2022 10:43


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The DAX is falling as industrial output declines.


After a slaughter on Wall Street that saw the Nasdaq finsh 5% down, European equities have begun in the red, extending losses from the previous day.


Fears of inflation, stagflation, and recession are weighing on the market as we approach the weekend. The DAX is expected to shed 1.4 percent this week, marking the fifth consecutive week of losses.


In March, German industrial output decreased -3.9 percent on a month-over-month basis, down from 0.2 percent in February and considerably below the -1 percent drop forecast. The negative report comes on the heels of a sharp drop in German manufacturing orders in March. The data represents the economic effect of the Russian conflict on Germany and the Eurozone as a whole.


Germany does not have any additional statistics due today. Sentiment and the US NFP announcement will affect European indexes.