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February 6th - Takehiko Nakao, a former senior foreign exchange official in Japan, stated that while using foreign exchange reserves for currency intervention can have an immediate impact on the market, its effects will be more lasting if combined with sustained interest rate hikes. Nakao served as Vice Minister of Finance for International Affairs from 2011 to 2013. He said, "Using actual funds for intervention can have a strong impact on the market, but if the Bank of Japan simultaneously demonstrates a clear commitment to sustained interest rate hikes, its effects will be more lasting." The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 0.75% last December, but real borrowing costs remain deep in negative territory. Nakao attributed the yens weakness to the Bank of Japans continued dovish stance, stating that the slow pace of interest rate hikes has resulted in a significantly negative inflation-adjusted interest rate in Japan, and a widening interest rate differential between the US and Japan. He added, "Appropriately responding to inflation through interest rate hikes may also curb excessive jumps in long-term Japanese government bond yields." He warned that if the Bank of Japan delays raising interest rates, the yen could weaken further, and mentioned Warshs nomination as the next Federal Reserve Chairman. He stated, "Wash would likely believe that a strong and stable dollar is in the U.S. interest."February 6th - Counterpoint analyst Jeongku Choi stated in a report that soaring memory chip prices could dampen consumer demand for electronic devices. According to Counterpoint data, memory prices have surged 80%-90% quarter-on-quarter since the beginning of the first quarter, driven by a sharp increase in the price of dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) used in general-purpose servers. "This is a double blow for equipment manufacturers," the analyst said, adding that rising component costs and weakening consumer purchasing power could slow demand. He pointed out that equipment manufacturers should change their procurement patterns or focus on high-end models to pass on cost pressures.On February 6th, Alibabas Qianwen app officially launched a "3 Billion Yuan Free Orders for Chinese New Year" campaign, distributing free milk tea vouchers. Subsequently, the Qianwen app experienced minor system malfunctions in several regions across the country. In response, Alibaba stated, "We are urgently adding resources to ensure smooth operation."The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.9 earthquake struck Akto County, Kizilsu Kirghiz Autonomous Prefecture, Xinjiang, at 10:24 AM on February 6th, with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.February 6th - Today (February 6th), the Hainan Provincial Information Office held a press conference to introduce the "zero tariff" policy for imported goods for consumption by residents within the Hainan Free Trade Port and to answer reporters questions. The press conference announced that the first batch of five duty-free shops for daily consumer goods will be opened in the three prefecture-level cities of Haikou, Sanya, and Danzhou, with each shop scheduled to open on February 11th, the Southern Lunar New Years Eve.

Two Trades to Watch: DAX, GBP/USD

Jimmy Khan

May 07, 2022 10:43


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The DAX is falling as industrial output declines.


After a slaughter on Wall Street that saw the Nasdaq finsh 5% down, European equities have begun in the red, extending losses from the previous day.


Fears of inflation, stagflation, and recession are weighing on the market as we approach the weekend. The DAX is expected to shed 1.4 percent this week, marking the fifth consecutive week of losses.


In March, German industrial output decreased -3.9 percent on a month-over-month basis, down from 0.2 percent in February and considerably below the -1 percent drop forecast. The negative report comes on the heels of a sharp drop in German manufacturing orders in March. The data represents the economic effect of the Russian conflict on Germany and the Eurozone as a whole.


Germany does not have any additional statistics due today. Sentiment and the US NFP announcement will affect European indexes.