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June 17 – According to sources, European Council President António Costa has contacted the Kremlin in an attempt to push Russian President Vladimir Putin to discuss ending the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Sources indicate that Costas chief advisor has spoken twice with a senior Russian official close to Putin, aiming to pave the way for more substantive negotiations in the future. Last month, Costa stated, "We need to engage in dialogue with Russia at the appropriate time to address the security issues we both face." The three largest European economies – Germany, France, and the UK – have also discussed strategies for coordinating with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and encouraging Putins participation in peace talks. European officials believe that the current difficulties faced by Russian troops on the battlefield, Ukraines increased attacks on Russian territory, and the rising economic costs of the war have created an opportunity to bring Putin to the negotiating table. A senior European official stated that as the war enters a new phase, senior European officials are working to coordinate their positions and prepare for increased communication with the Kremlin in the future.June 17 - Iranian state television reported today (June 17) that three Iranian oil tankers carrying approximately 5 million barrels of crude oil have broken through the US maritime blockade and passed through the Strait of Hormuz, heading towards their destination.On June 17th, Bank of America analysts stated in a report that the Bank of England is unlikely to follow the European Central Bank in raising interest rates on Thursday, but this would not substantially damage market confidence in the pound. The market is currently concerned about a potential policy misstep by the ECB. Analysts said the "second-round effect" triggered by high energy prices will be closely scrutinized, which should support further rate hikes in the UK in the future. However, the market would welcome a more balanced stance from the Bank of England between high inflation risks and weak employment risks. If the price shock persists, the Bank of England might be seen as lagging behind, but this is not currently the case. Bank of America expects the Bank of England to keep interest rates unchanged on Thursday, but raise rates in July and September.June 17th - It was learned today that the State Administration for Market Regulation has revised and released three national standards: "General Technical Requirements for Bicycles," "Bicycle Assembly Requirements," and "Technical Requirements for Bicycle Testing Equipment and Instruments." These standards systematically regulate the technical performance, assembly process, and testing equipment and instruments for bicycles, providing solid standard support for improving the quality and performance of bicycle products in my country and promoting the high-quality development of the industry.Fitch Ratings: The outlook for more emerging market sectors has deteriorated due to the war in Iran.

Two Trades to Watch: DAX, GBP/USD

Jimmy Khan

May 07, 2022 10:43


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The DAX is falling as industrial output declines.


After a slaughter on Wall Street that saw the Nasdaq finsh 5% down, European equities have begun in the red, extending losses from the previous day.


Fears of inflation, stagflation, and recession are weighing on the market as we approach the weekend. The DAX is expected to shed 1.4 percent this week, marking the fifth consecutive week of losses.


In March, German industrial output decreased -3.9 percent on a month-over-month basis, down from 0.2 percent in February and considerably below the -1 percent drop forecast. The negative report comes on the heels of a sharp drop in German manufacturing orders in March. The data represents the economic effect of the Russian conflict on Germany and the Eurozone as a whole.


Germany does not have any additional statistics due today. Sentiment and the US NFP announcement will affect European indexes.