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1. All three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.34% to 49,240.99 points, the S&P 500 fell 0.84% to 6,917.81 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.43% to 23,255.19 points. Salesforce fell nearly 7%, and IBM fell more than 6%, leading the Dows decline. Walmart rose nearly 3%, pushing its market capitalization above $1 trillion. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index fell 1.62%, with Microsoft and Nvidia both falling nearly 3%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 0.94%, with Daqo New Energy and Bilibili both falling more than 4%. Investors sold off tech stocks, and the Nasdaq almost completely wiped out its year-to-date gains. The partial U.S. government shutdown will prevent the January jobs report from being released this Friday as scheduled. 2. European stock markets closed slightly lower. The German DAX index fell 0.07% to 24,781.38 points, the French CAC40 index fell 0.02% to 8,179.5 points, and the UK FTSE 100 index fell 0.26% to 10,314.59 points. A market correction was triggered by a sharp decline in global AI stocks, uncertainty surrounding the pace of the Federal Reserves interest rate cuts, fundamental problems in the European economy, high market valuations, and profit-taking pressure. 3. US Treasury yields were mixed. The 2-year Treasury yield rose 0.01 basis points to 3.570%, the 3-year Treasury yield rose 0.01 basis points to 3.643%, the 5-year Treasury yield fell 0.34 basis points to 3.832%, the 10-year Treasury yield fell 0.59 basis points to 4.266%, and the 30-year Treasury yield fell 1.76 basis points to 4.895%. 4. International precious metals futures generally closed higher. COMEX gold futures rose 6.83% to $4,970.50 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures rose 10.27% to $84.92 per ounce. Signals of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, the end of the US government shutdown, and progress on the US-India trade agreement, coupled with adjustments to risk control measures by exchanges, all boosted market sentiment and drove prices higher. 5. The main WTI crude oil contract closed up 2.83% at $63.9 per barrel; the main Brent crude oil contract rose 2.55% to $67.99 per barrel. Data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) showed that US crude oil inventories fell by 11.079 million barrels last week, far exceeding expectations, indicating a contraction in market supply and pushing up oil prices. 6. Most London base metals rose, with LME tin up 7.95% to $50,295.0/ton, LME copper up 4.02% to $13,410.0/ton, LME nickel up 3.38% to $17,395.0/ton, LME aluminum up 1.41% to $3,099.0/ton, LME zinc down 0.02% to $3,323.0/ton, and LME lead down 0.08% to $1,961.5/ton.Pony.ai-W (02026.HK) announced on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange that, based on a preliminary assessment of the Groups unaudited consolidated management accounts for the year ended December 31, 2025 and currently available information, the Group expects to record a net loss of approximately US$69 million to US$86 million for the reporting period.AMD (AMD.O) CEO Lisa Su: I do not believe the company will face supply constraints when it expands its AI chip production capacity in the second half of the year.Conflict Situation: 1. Kharkiv, Ukraine, has activated its emergency response mechanism. 2. Ukraines power company, DTEK, stated that last nights Russian airstrikes were the largest attack on the energy system since early 2026. 3. The mayor of Kharkiv stated that nearly 270,000 Kharkiv residents are still without heating after the Russian attacks. Peace Negotiations: 1. Ukraine agreed to a multi-tiered plan to implement a potential ceasefire agreement with Russia. 2. Zelensky: The UAE talks aimed to assess Russias willingness to compromise. Ukraine will remain open to similar proposals from the United States, such as a cessation of attacks. Other Developments: 1. Zelensky approved Ukraines new defense plan framework. 2. Zelensky: Ukraine is negotiating with the United States for more Patriot missiles. 3. NATO Secretary General: NATO military support will arrive in Ukraine immediately after a peace agreement is reached. 4. European Commission spokesperson: Ursula von der Leyen will visit Ukraine on the fourth anniversary of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. 5. Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Ryabkov stated that Russias nuclear triad modernization has reached a very advanced stage. February 4th - Barbara Hampton, CEO of U.S. Rare Earth Corporation, stated that the company has over $3 billion in potential funding to build a domestic rare earth and critical mineral supply chain. Hampton anticipates that the funding includes up to $1.6 billion in grants from the U.S. Department of Commerce, with the remainder coming from the private sector. She stated that this would enable the Round Top deposit to begin production by 2028. She said, "Our current communications indicate that the U.S. government is willing to make procurement commitments several years earlier to ensure supply stability." Following the governments announcement of a $12 billion critical mineral reserve plan, the companys stock price rose over 17% on Tuesday. It should be noted that federal funding is contingent on achieving phased goals, and private sector investments have not yet been finalized. However, Hampton emphasized that this funding will allow the company to accelerate its plans.

Two Trades to Watch: DAX, GBP/USD

Jimmy Khan

May 07, 2022 10:43


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The DAX is falling as industrial output declines.


After a slaughter on Wall Street that saw the Nasdaq finsh 5% down, European equities have begun in the red, extending losses from the previous day.


Fears of inflation, stagflation, and recession are weighing on the market as we approach the weekend. The DAX is expected to shed 1.4 percent this week, marking the fifth consecutive week of losses.


In March, German industrial output decreased -3.9 percent on a month-over-month basis, down from 0.2 percent in February and considerably below the -1 percent drop forecast. The negative report comes on the heels of a sharp drop in German manufacturing orders in March. The data represents the economic effect of the Russian conflict on Germany and the Eurozone as a whole.


Germany does not have any additional statistics due today. Sentiment and the US NFP announcement will affect European indexes.