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On January 16, the worlds largest asset management company BlackRock (BLK.N) announced on Wednesday that its fourth-quarter profit jumped 21%, the stock market boom increased commission income, and its managed assets also hit a record high of $11.6 trillion. Its assets in the same period last year and the third quarter were $10.01 trillion and $11.48 trillion, respectively. BlackRocks long-term funds net inflows in the fourth quarter were $201 billion. The overall net inflow of funds reached $281.4 billion, higher than $95.6 billion in the same period last year.On January 16, CICCs research report stated that the month-on-month increase in the US core CPI in December slowed from 0.3% last month to 0.2%, and the year-on-year growth slowed from 3.3% to 3.2%, both lower than market expectations. The non-rental service inflation (supercore), which the Federal Reserve is most concerned about, has fallen, and core goods and rental inflation have remained mild, with no signs of re-acceleration. Despite strong non-farm payrolls last Friday, inflation continued to slow, indicating that the economy has not shown signs of overheating. This is good news. U.S. Treasury yields fell and U.S. stocks rebounded. Maintaining the previous judgment that the United States is expected to achieve a "Goldilocks" economy, the market may have overestimated the upside risks of U.S. inflation. The Federal Reserve is likely to skip the interest rate cut in January, and there is still a possibility of a rate cut in March. Maintain the view that there may still be two interest rate cuts in the first half of the year.SK Hynix shares rose 4.9%, tracking gains in U.S. chip stocks overnight.U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen: Trumps plan to impose new tariffs will lead to higher costs for U.S. goods and services.ECB board member Centeno: Interest rates will continue along the ideal track towards a level close to 2%.

Two Trades to Watch: DAX, GBP/USD

Jimmy Khan

May 07, 2022 10:43


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The DAX is falling as industrial output declines.


After a slaughter on Wall Street that saw the Nasdaq finsh 5% down, European equities have begun in the red, extending losses from the previous day.


Fears of inflation, stagflation, and recession are weighing on the market as we approach the weekend. The DAX is expected to shed 1.4 percent this week, marking the fifth consecutive week of losses.


In March, German industrial output decreased -3.9 percent on a month-over-month basis, down from 0.2 percent in February and considerably below the -1 percent drop forecast. The negative report comes on the heels of a sharp drop in German manufacturing orders in March. The data represents the economic effect of the Russian conflict on Germany and the Eurozone as a whole.


Germany does not have any additional statistics due today. Sentiment and the US NFP announcement will affect European indexes.