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July 4th - Micron Technology officially launched the expansion project of its western Japan factory, with a total investment of 1.5 trillion yen, for the production of advanced memory chips. This expansion is part of its global capacity expansion plan aimed at meeting the needs of the artificial intelligence industry; the Japanese government will provide subsidies of up to 500 billion yen to share the construction costs. This factory expansion will help Micron improve the energy efficiency and data transmission efficiency of chips required for artificial intelligence services and autonomous vehicles. The expanded production line is expected to be operational and shipping around the summer of 2028.July 4th - The National Data Administration announced today the issuance of the "Guidelines for Data Property Rights Registration (Trial)," which will promote the safe, compliant, and efficient circulation and use of data. The national data management department is responsible for the management of data property rights registration nationwide. Specific responsibilities include establishing and improving a unified national data property rights registration system; guiding and supervising data property rights registration activities nationwide; and constructing and managing the national data property rights registration service system. The national data property rights registration service system aggregates registration results and provides unified services nationwide, including publicizing data property rights registration information, querying and verifying registration results, and supporting the management of registration agencies.US President Trump: Iran is very keen to reach a deal; Iran was given a week off to hold Khameneis funeral.SK Hynix is reportedly considering paying a 0.5% fee on its massive ADR offering.July 4th - The Russian presidential website reported on the night of July 3rd that President Putin stated that large-scale strikes against Ukrainian military-industrial complexes and related facilities must continue. The report stated that Putin inspected an auxiliary command post of the Russian Joint Forces Group that day and held a military meeting with the head of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces and commanders of various units to discuss the current situation and recent combat developments in the special military operations area.

The global energy crisis threatens supply, and U.S. oil has risen by 5% this week and once rose to the 80 mark

Eden

Oct 26, 2021 11:00

On Friday (October 8) U.S. crude oil rose 1.29 US dollars in late trading, or 1.65%, to close at 79.59 US dollars per barrel. The cumulative increase this week was 5.08%, marking the seventh consecutive week of gains, the longest consecutive week since December last year. rise. Oil prices rose by 0.63 US dollars, an increase of 0.77%, to close at 82.58 US dollars per barrel, a cumulative increase of 4.22% this week. US gasoline futures also closed at their highest level since October 2014. While the global energy crisis boosted demand, OPEC+ oil-producing countries still maintained tight supply. At the same time, the US Department of Energy stated that it has not announced immediate actions to lower oil prices, such as releasing strategic oil reserves. This further supports the oil market.

In the face of improving fuel demand, the energy market has tightened, and many people worry that the cold winter may further tighten the supply of natural gas. The rise in oil prices was stimulated by the soaring prices of natural gas in Europe, which prompted power generation companies to switch to oil for power generation. There are many signs this week that supply will still be restricted. Saudi Aramco said the global natural gas shortage has boosted crude oil demand for power generation and heating.

John Kilduff, a partner of Again Capital in New York, said that the fundamental background is tight supply, which will continue to push crude oil prices to rise steadily. The soaring natural gas price indicates a surge in demand for crude oil this winter.

On Friday, the call option premium exceeded the put option premium for the first time since October 2019. The bullish trade in the oil options market has been very active in recent weeks. Thousands of contracts were traded last week. If the oil price rises to US$100 or even US$200 per barrel, profits will be made. On Tuesday, WTI call options volume reached its highest level since March 2020. In the past 7 days, the open interest of call options with strike prices ranging from $90 to $95 has increased by approximately 23,000.

ICAP energy expert Scott Shelton said that severe winter weather "increased the upside potential of this market, and this skew will last for several months." The so-called call skew means that call options are more expensive than similar put options. The situation is extraordinary in the crude oil market. Generally, put options are more expensive, which partly reflects the tendency of producers to buy put options to hedge their output.

According to the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data, as of the week of October 5, the speculative net long position of WTI crude oil futures increased by 8,902 to 325,578. The Brent crude oil net long position held by speculators on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) increased by 3,723 contracts to 332,677 contracts, a record high in more than six months.

US Baker Hughes Oil Services said that as of October 8, the total number of wells drilled in the United States was 533, which is the fifth consecutive week of adding rigs. The total number of oil rigs was 433, an increase of 5 from last week.

(U.S. Oil Hour Chart)

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