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Japan plans to strengthen its scrutiny of foreign investment, following the example of the United States by establishing a new agency to enhance economic security. The new agency will be modeled after the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIB).February 24th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures rose in the previous trading day, preparing to test the resistance level of $72.00. Brent crude oil futures continue to trade above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA50), providing support for prices. Meanwhile, the main short-term bullish trend dominates, and prices are also moving along the trendline supporting this bullish channel. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shown a negative confluence signal after moving out of oversold territory, which may weaken its short-term upward momentum.The China Earthquake Networks Center automatically determined that an earthquake of approximately magnitude 4.7 occurred near Taiwan at 12:37 on February 24. The final result is subject to the official rapid report.February 24th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: WTI crude oil futures fell in a limited corrective move, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showed a negative signal, aiming to dampen previous momentum and re-establish a balance. This decline injected new buying momentum, paving the way for a return to the bullish trajectory, but did not change the main trend. Prices found strong dynamic support by trading steadily above the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA50), reinforcing the stability and dominance of the main bullish trend in the short term, especially as prices moved orderly along the trendline supporting this path. As long as prices hold these technical support levels, the bullish outlook remains valid, while a break below these support levels could indicate a deeper shift in the trend structure.February 24th - According to two sources familiar with the matter, White House officials are demanding commitments from tech companies that their data centers will not raise electricity prices or impose additional burdens on consumers. These measures include pressuring tech executives to sign non-binding agreements promising that their companies will cover the costs of building the necessary infrastructure to support their data centers. Sources indicate that Trump administration officials have already discussed signing such commitments with Microsoft, Google, and other companies.

The global energy crisis threatens supply, and U.S. oil has risen by 5% this week and once rose to the 80 mark

Eden

Oct 26, 2021 11:00

On Friday (October 8) U.S. crude oil rose 1.29 US dollars in late trading, or 1.65%, to close at 79.59 US dollars per barrel. The cumulative increase this week was 5.08%, marking the seventh consecutive week of gains, the longest consecutive week since December last year. rise. Oil prices rose by 0.63 US dollars, an increase of 0.77%, to close at 82.58 US dollars per barrel, a cumulative increase of 4.22% this week. US gasoline futures also closed at their highest level since October 2014. While the global energy crisis boosted demand, OPEC+ oil-producing countries still maintained tight supply. At the same time, the US Department of Energy stated that it has not announced immediate actions to lower oil prices, such as releasing strategic oil reserves. This further supports the oil market.

In the face of improving fuel demand, the energy market has tightened, and many people worry that the cold winter may further tighten the supply of natural gas. The rise in oil prices was stimulated by the soaring prices of natural gas in Europe, which prompted power generation companies to switch to oil for power generation. There are many signs this week that supply will still be restricted. Saudi Aramco said the global natural gas shortage has boosted crude oil demand for power generation and heating.

John Kilduff, a partner of Again Capital in New York, said that the fundamental background is tight supply, which will continue to push crude oil prices to rise steadily. The soaring natural gas price indicates a surge in demand for crude oil this winter.

On Friday, the call option premium exceeded the put option premium for the first time since October 2019. The bullish trade in the oil options market has been very active in recent weeks. Thousands of contracts were traded last week. If the oil price rises to US$100 or even US$200 per barrel, profits will be made. On Tuesday, WTI call options volume reached its highest level since March 2020. In the past 7 days, the open interest of call options with strike prices ranging from $90 to $95 has increased by approximately 23,000.

ICAP energy expert Scott Shelton said that severe winter weather "increased the upside potential of this market, and this skew will last for several months." The so-called call skew means that call options are more expensive than similar put options. The situation is extraordinary in the crude oil market. Generally, put options are more expensive, which partly reflects the tendency of producers to buy put options to hedge their output.

According to the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data, as of the week of October 5, the speculative net long position of WTI crude oil futures increased by 8,902 to 325,578. The Brent crude oil net long position held by speculators on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) increased by 3,723 contracts to 332,677 contracts, a record high in more than six months.

US Baker Hughes Oil Services said that as of October 8, the total number of wells drilled in the United States was 533, which is the fifth consecutive week of adding rigs. The total number of oil rigs was 433, an increase of 5 from last week.

(U.S. Oil Hour Chart)

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