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Daiwa Capital Markets: Raised Teslas (TSLA.O) target price from $300 to $420.The three major U.S. stock index futures continued to rise, with Nasdaq futures up 1%, S&P 500 futures up 0.8%, and Dow futures up 0.6%.On October 27, overnight Shibor was at 1.4420%, up 12.20 basis points; 7-day Shibor was at 1.5420%, up 12.80 basis points; 14-day Shibor was at 1.5980%, up 3.50 basis points; January Shibor was at 1.5570%, unchanged from the previous trading day; March Shibor was at 1.5950%, up 0.10 basis points.The Communications Authority (CA) of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR) today (October 27) launched the Unmanned Aircraft System (UAS) (UAV) (UAV) Licence to support the development of the low-altitude economy. A CA spokesperson stated that under the UAV (Dedicated) Licence, licensees can be assigned dedicated spectrum in the 1430–1444 MHz band (1.4 GHz band) for the installation, maintenance, and operation of radiocommunication equipment used to operate UAVs. This provides an additional communication solution for drone activities, in addition to the current wireless local area network (WLAN) and fourth-generation or fifth-generation mobile communication networks for data transmission and operation. This further supports the safe and efficient operation of drones and fully supports the development of the low-altitude economy ecosystem through communication networks. Applications for the UAV (Dedicated) Licence are now open to participating institutions in the low-altitude economy "Regulatory Sandbox" pilot project.On October 27, Lyon published a report stating that the retail turnover of Li Ning (02331.HK)s sales points across the entire platform in the third quarter recorded a mid-single-digit decline year-on-year, with a slowdown in quarterly growth, failing to meet internal targets. By channel, online sales grew by a high single digit year-on-year, outperforming the offline channel, which recorded a high-single-digit decline. Inventory days climbed to 5 to 6 months, and discounts expanded by a low single digit compared to the same period last year. Since October, retail sales and discount pressures have continued to intensify. The bank said that although it maintains Li Nings 2025 fiscal year performance guidance, it believes that Li Ning will face challenges in recovering retail sales and maintaining a stable gross profit margin in the fourth quarter of 2025. Maintain a "hold" rating with a target price of HK$16.

The global energy crisis threatens supply, and U.S. oil has risen by 5% this week and once rose to the 80 mark

Eden

Oct 26, 2021 11:00

On Friday (October 8) U.S. crude oil rose 1.29 US dollars in late trading, or 1.65%, to close at 79.59 US dollars per barrel. The cumulative increase this week was 5.08%, marking the seventh consecutive week of gains, the longest consecutive week since December last year. rise. Oil prices rose by 0.63 US dollars, an increase of 0.77%, to close at 82.58 US dollars per barrel, a cumulative increase of 4.22% this week. US gasoline futures also closed at their highest level since October 2014. While the global energy crisis boosted demand, OPEC+ oil-producing countries still maintained tight supply. At the same time, the US Department of Energy stated that it has not announced immediate actions to lower oil prices, such as releasing strategic oil reserves. This further supports the oil market.

In the face of improving fuel demand, the energy market has tightened, and many people worry that the cold winter may further tighten the supply of natural gas. The rise in oil prices was stimulated by the soaring prices of natural gas in Europe, which prompted power generation companies to switch to oil for power generation. There are many signs this week that supply will still be restricted. Saudi Aramco said the global natural gas shortage has boosted crude oil demand for power generation and heating.

John Kilduff, a partner of Again Capital in New York, said that the fundamental background is tight supply, which will continue to push crude oil prices to rise steadily. The soaring natural gas price indicates a surge in demand for crude oil this winter.

On Friday, the call option premium exceeded the put option premium for the first time since October 2019. The bullish trade in the oil options market has been very active in recent weeks. Thousands of contracts were traded last week. If the oil price rises to US$100 or even US$200 per barrel, profits will be made. On Tuesday, WTI call options volume reached its highest level since March 2020. In the past 7 days, the open interest of call options with strike prices ranging from $90 to $95 has increased by approximately 23,000.

ICAP energy expert Scott Shelton said that severe winter weather "increased the upside potential of this market, and this skew will last for several months." The so-called call skew means that call options are more expensive than similar put options. The situation is extraordinary in the crude oil market. Generally, put options are more expensive, which partly reflects the tendency of producers to buy put options to hedge their output.

According to the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data, as of the week of October 5, the speculative net long position of WTI crude oil futures increased by 8,902 to 325,578. The Brent crude oil net long position held by speculators on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) increased by 3,723 contracts to 332,677 contracts, a record high in more than six months.

US Baker Hughes Oil Services said that as of October 8, the total number of wells drilled in the United States was 533, which is the fifth consecutive week of adding rigs. The total number of oil rigs was 433, an increase of 5 from last week.

(U.S. Oil Hour Chart)

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