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The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 506.51 points, or 0.97%, at 51,493.16 on Wednesday, June 17; the S&P 500 closed down 91.22 points, or 1.21%, at 7,420.13; and the Nasdaq Composite closed down 354.69 points, or 1.34%, at 26,021.66 on Wednesday, June 17.June 18th - On Wednesday, following a hawkish Federal Reserve meeting, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed lower. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.97%, the S&P 500 fell 1.2%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.3%. SpaceX (SPCX.O) closed down 5%, Nvidia (NVDA.O) fell 1%, and Western Digital (WDC.O) rose 4%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed down 1.1%, and Li Auto (LI.O) fell 3%.Apple (AAPL.O) is preparing to release the second-generation iPhone Air in the spring of 2027. The iPhone Air prototype will feature a second rear camera and an upgraded battery.June 18th – Warshs first press conference as Federal Reserve Chairman officially concluded, during which he previewed a series of reforms to be implemented at the Fed. One significant change is the establishment of several special working groups to explore more open data collection methods and study how to improve the Feds existing statistical indicator system. During the press conference, Warsh repeatedly emphasized that he would not provide any forward guidance and avoided all questions regarding the future path of interest rates. Furthermore, he did not submit his personal interest rate forecasts in this dot plot and stated that he would not comment on any price fluctuations that occurred in the market during the press conference. Overall, the core message conveyed by Warshs first press conference was: reduce policy guidance to the market, downplay pre-commitments to the interest rate path, and focus more on reforming the Feds systems, data structures, and communication framework.The market has fully priced in two Fed rate hikes by the end of the first quarter of 2027.

The chances of a bearish reversal for the USD/CHF rise as bears test the 200-EMA

Daniel Rogers

Jul 19, 2022 11:59

 截屏2022-07-19 上午10.03.58.png

 

The USD/CHF pair has gone sideways after exhibiting volatile volatility on Monday. The asset will likely trade sideways until volatility decreases since it hits resistance at 0.9780. As a result of failing to exceed the crucial resistance level of 0.09000, the asset saw a substantial fall.

 

A major negative reversal was foreseen by the formation of the Double Top chart pattern when the price failed to maintain its position above Tuesday's high at 0.9859. The aforementioned chart pattern frequently indicates waning demand at high levels. A negative reversal is now more likely as a result of the development of a selling tail around high levels.

 

Following the formation of a double top, the asset is forming an initiative selling structure, which points to the entry of those investors who start short positions after a bearish bias has been created. At 0.9767, the major is forming an initiative structure inside the 200-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) border, demonstrating that market participants are respecting the significant EMA.

 

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14), which signals an oncoming consolidation, has shifted into a range between 40.00 and 60.00. The asset will reach the July 5 top of 0.9705 with a sharp decrease below the July 13 low of 0.9758. If the latter barrier is breached, the asset will be more vulnerable to losses up to the 1. July high of 0.9642.

 

Alternatively, following Wednesday's violation of the 0.9827 high, the dollar bulls may defend the double top pattern. The asset will be propelled by this to its top on Thursday of 0.9886 and then encounter psychological resistance at 1.0000.