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RSM Chief Economist Joseph Brusueras: Warsh delivered the right hawkish signals at the press conference and attempted to reinforce the Fed’s credibility in restoring price stability, while also enhancing his own credibility.U.S. stocks continued to decline after the Walsh press conference, with the S&P 500 falling 1%, its biggest drop since July 29, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.65%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.6%.On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to answer questions at a press conference regarding his interactions with US President Trump. Trump has been calling for lower interest rates in recent months. Warsh stated, "I have no comment on my discussions with the president." White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Christopher Phelan said on Tuesday that raising interest rates would be a "mistake."On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that he would not disclose details of future interest rate decisions by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). He said, "I am not responsible for providing forward guidance. Our decision today (to raise interest rates) is a carefully considered, serious, and responsible one. We have been preparing for and thinking about this decision for the past 110 or 120 days." Warsh also stated that this decision was not market-driven. He said, "Our decision today is based on our assessment of the current situation, our judgment of the employment trend, and our assessment of the strength of the economy. Sometimes, the market tries to anticipate our decisions. I watch market prices to see what information the market is sending. But todays decision is our own."On September 17th, Warsh stated that while the Federal Reserve cannot prevent price shocks in commodities such as oil on its own, the central bank can use policy tools to prevent further spread of inflationary pressures. Warsh said, "We cannot influence the price of any single commodity, such as oil or groceries." However, he pointed out, "We can and will ensure that any changes in relative prices do not spread further, and do not have second- or third-order effects on the economy. Thats our responsibility, and thats what were doing." Warsh made these remarks as U.S. diesel prices hit a record high due to the Iran war.

The ECB-BOJ policy is in the spotlight as the EUR/JPY shows a minor rebound from 140.00

Alina Haynes

Jul 19, 2022 12:03

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From the psychological support level of 140.00, the EUR/JPY pair has shown a less likely rebound. Following a brief recovery, the cross has found resistance at about 140.0. The asset is expected to undergo large price swings in the near term as investors shift their focus to this week's monetary policy statements by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ).

 

The ECB is expected to announce a rate rise in response to market speculation, ending its 11-year streak of maintaining the status quo. Households are experiencing price pressures as a result of a significant reduction in their real income, which has significantly affected their patterns of savings and consumption.

 

The European Central Bank (ECB) has already made the announcement that the Asset Purchase Program (APP) would come to an end in order to reduce the galloping inflation. The focus will now shift to an increase in interest rates in the quest for readily available cheap money on the market.

 

The most significant event of the week will be the publication of the eurozone consumer confidence index, aside from that. The initial estimate for the Consumer Confidence statistics for the eurozone is -24.5, down from the prior estimate of -23.6.

 

When announcing its interest rate decision, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is likely to keep things the same. Given that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) would likely boost global economic demand, it is expected that its governor, Haruhiko Kuroda, will take a dovish stance. The BOJ is concerned with keeping the inflation rate at 2%, and in order to do so, it must also raise labor expenses.