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September 8th - Analyst Robert Howard stated that the US August CPI data could determine whether the Federal Reserve will favor raising or maintaining interest rates at next weeks decision, and will also impact the dollars performance. According to the median forecast in a Reuters poll, the overall CPI is expected to rise 0.4% month-on-month and 3.4% year-on-year; core CPI is expected to rise 0.2% month-on-month and 2.4% year-on-year. If the data is higher than expected, hawkish voices will rise, calling for a rate hike by the Fed in September, potentially boosting the dollar. Conversely, if the data is weak, doves will advocate for maintaining interest rates unchanged for the sixth consecutive time, which could be detrimental to the dollar. The market currently sees a 57% probability of a Fed rate hike this month, after strong non-farm payroll data last Friday led to a shift in expectations towards a hawkish stance. This shift occurred 24 hours after Fed Governor Waller made dovish comments, which had previously pressured the dollar; seven days earlier, Fed Chairman Warshs hawkish guidance at Jackson Hole had boosted the dollar.September 8 - The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen stated today (September 8) that Houthi rebels attacked civilian and economic facilities in Abha, Khamis Mushait, Najran, and Jizan in southwestern Saudi Arabia, injuring 73 people. The coalition stated that it will respond firmly to the Houthi attacks.The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen says the Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia have seriously escalated the situation.The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen said it would respond firmly to the Houthi attacks.The Saudi-led coalition in Yemen claims that Houthi rebels attacked civilian and economic entities in Saudi Abaha, Khamis Mushait, Najran, and Jazan.

The USD/JPY exchange rate reaches 133.50 as the BOJ's summary of viewpoints bolsters the outlook for loose policy

Alina Haynes

Dec 28, 2022 10:59

USD:JPY.png 

 

After fluctuating around 133.50 during the Asian session, the USD/JPY pair has breached to the upside. The Japanese Yen is volatile due to expectations that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will retain its ultra-lax monetary policy.

 

The USD Index has maintained a range-bound performance near 103.80 despite the volatility of risk-sensitive assets. The selling pressure on the S&P 500 on Tuesday was caused by weakness in technology companies. In addition, a decline in economic activity, as recorded by the Trade Balance figures of the United States Census Bureau, caused uncertainty to US markets.

 

In November, the US international interest rate gap dropped by $15.5 billion, from $98.8 billion in October to $83.3 billion. The drop in the trade deficit is not attributable to a rise in exports, but rather to a general decline in economic activity. The United States economy has begun to feel the effects of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to boost interest rates to combat inflation.

 

In the interim, the decline in US Durable Goods Orders and household consumption spending has begun to raise red flags regarding the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy. The economists at ING anticipate that the recession will hasten inflation's reduction, allowing the Fed to reduce interest rates by the end of CY2023.

 

Reuters shared the Bank of Japan (BOJ) Summary of Opinions for the most recent monetary policy meeting, which underlined that the central bank must sustain its easy monetary policy because Japan is in a vital phase for achieving its price target. In addition, the economy is exhibiting signs of wage increases, which is a positive economic cycle; yet, it is prudent to maintain a loose monetary policy for the time being.