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On February 3rd, Li Xunlei, chief economist of Zhongtai Securities, recently shared his views on the impact of the housing and stock markets on consumption and key policy areas. He pointed out that rising housing prices can effectively boost consumption, while a bull market in stocks has a less significant effect on consumption. Li Xunlei analyzed that while it is often believed that a rising stock market will create a wealth effect, thereby promoting consumption, the actual impact is limited. Although the total number of stock accounts is approximately 130 million, the number of active accounts is only around 70 million, which is not high relative to my countrys population of 1.4 billion. In contrast, the housing market accounts for about 60% of total household assets and is linked to 20 to 30 upstream and downstream industries, with a long industrial chain and a significant multiplier effect. Therefore, once the housing market recovers, its impact on consumption and the overall economy is more pronounced. Li Xunlei emphasized that to achieve stable development of the housing market, fiscal and monetary policies must work together to provide strong support.European Commissioner Albuquerque: Europe must maintain control over the key technologies that underpin our economy.February 3rd - Hong Kong stocks opened slightly higher but then weakened throughout the day before recovering somewhat. At the close, the Hang Seng Index rose 0.22%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 1.07%. Optical communication stocks rose, with Huiju Technology (01729.HK) surging nearly 13% and Yangtze Optical Fibre and Cable (06869.HK) rising over 12%. Gold stocks rallied sharply in the afternoon, with Chifeng Gold (06693.HK) and Zijin Mining International (02259.HK) both rising over 7%. Power equipment stocks strengthened, with Harbin Electric (01133.HK) rising nearly 9%. Chip stocks rebounded, with GigaDevice (03986.HK) and ASMPT (00522.HK) both rising over 4%. In addition, non-ferrous metals, building materials and cement, heavy machinery, commercial aerospace, photovoltaic solar energy, logistics, and home appliances also saw gains throughout the day. Leading tech stocks have been declining for several days, with Kuaishou (01024.HK) falling over 4% and Baidu (09888.HK) dropping over 3%. In contrast, MINIMAX-WP (00100.HK) has been rising for several days, gaining over 10% intraday, while Zhipu (02513.HK) has risen over 8%.On February 3, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and eight other departments issued a notice regarding the "Guidelines for the Security of Cross-border Transfer of Automotive Data (2026 Edition)." Experts also stated that the "Guidelines for the Security of Cross-border Transfer of Automotive Data (2026 Edition)" applies to the provision of automotive data by automotive data processors to entities outside of my country, specifically encompassing three categories. The first category involves automotive data processors transferring data collected and generated during their operations in China to entities outside of China. The second category involves data that exists domestically but can be accessed, retrieved, downloaded, and exported by overseas institutions, organizations, or individuals. The third category includes other activities that comply with the relevant provisions of the "Personal Information Protection Law of the Peoples Republic of China," specifically processing the personal information of domestic natural persons overseas.Italys FTSE MIB index rose 1.00% on the day.

The USD/JPY exchange rate reaches 133.50 as the BOJ's summary of viewpoints bolsters the outlook for loose policy

Alina Haynes

Dec 28, 2022 10:59

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After fluctuating around 133.50 during the Asian session, the USD/JPY pair has breached to the upside. The Japanese Yen is volatile due to expectations that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will retain its ultra-lax monetary policy.

 

The USD Index has maintained a range-bound performance near 103.80 despite the volatility of risk-sensitive assets. The selling pressure on the S&P 500 on Tuesday was caused by weakness in technology companies. In addition, a decline in economic activity, as recorded by the Trade Balance figures of the United States Census Bureau, caused uncertainty to US markets.

 

In November, the US international interest rate gap dropped by $15.5 billion, from $98.8 billion in October to $83.3 billion. The drop in the trade deficit is not attributable to a rise in exports, but rather to a general decline in economic activity. The United States economy has begun to feel the effects of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to boost interest rates to combat inflation.

 

In the interim, the decline in US Durable Goods Orders and household consumption spending has begun to raise red flags regarding the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy. The economists at ING anticipate that the recession will hasten inflation's reduction, allowing the Fed to reduce interest rates by the end of CY2023.

 

Reuters shared the Bank of Japan (BOJ) Summary of Opinions for the most recent monetary policy meeting, which underlined that the central bank must sustain its easy monetary policy because Japan is in a vital phase for achieving its price target. In addition, the economy is exhibiting signs of wage increases, which is a positive economic cycle; yet, it is prudent to maintain a loose monetary policy for the time being.