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June 12th - In May, the total amount of cross-border RMB settlement under current account items was RMB 1.67 trillion, of which goods trade, services trade and other current account items were RMB 1.28 trillion and RMB 0.39 trillion respectively; the total amount of cross-border RMB settlement for direct investment was RMB 0.58 trillion, of which outward direct investment and foreign direct investment were RMB 0.22 trillion and RMB 0.36 trillion respectively.June 12th - At the end of May, the outstanding balance of domestic and foreign currency loans was 284.79 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.4%. The outstanding balance of RMB loans at the end of May was 281.02 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.5%. RMB loans increased by 9.11 trillion yuan in the first five months. By sector, household loans decreased by 631.4 billion yuan, of which short-term loans decreased by 694.2 billion yuan and medium- and long-term loans increased by 62.8 billion yuan; loans to enterprises and institutions increased by 9.63 trillion yuan, of which short-term loans increased by 3.77 trillion yuan, medium- and long-term loans increased by 4.99 trillion yuan, and bill financing increased by 699.9 billion yuan; loans to non-bank financial institutions decreased by 279.7 billion yuan. At the end of May, the outstanding balance of foreign currency loans was 553.2 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 2.6%. Foreign currency loans increased by 8.2 billion US dollars in the first five months.June 12th - At the end of May, the balance of domestic and foreign currency deposits reached 352.38 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%. The balance of RMB deposits at the end of May was 344.45 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%. In the first five months, RMB deposits increased by 15.77 trillion yuan. Among them, household deposits increased by 5.63 trillion yuan, non-financial enterprise deposits increased by 1.26 trillion yuan, fiscal deposits increased by 1.91 trillion yuan, and deposits of non-bank financial institutions increased by 5.64 trillion yuan. At the end of May, the balance of foreign currency deposits reached 1.16 trillion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 17.5%. In the first five months, foreign currency deposits increased by 103.2 billion US dollars.June 12th - Preliminary statistics show that the total social financing scale for the first five months of 2026 reached 17.48 trillion yuan, 1.16 trillion yuan less than the same period last year. Specifically, RMB loans to the real economy increased by 9 trillion yuan, 1.38 trillion yuan less than the same period last year; foreign currency loans to the real economy increased by 115.3 billion yuan (equivalent to RMB), 211.6 billion yuan more than the same period last year; entrusted loans decreased by 103.1 billion yuan, 91.8 billion yuan more than the same period last year; trust loans increased by 5.7 billion yuan, 57 billion yuan less than the same period last year; undiscounted bank acceptance bills decreased by 17.2 billion yuan, 151.4 billion yuan more than the same period last year; net financing of corporate bonds reached 1.67 trillion yuan, 757.7 billion yuan more than the same period last year; net financing of government bonds reached 5.67 trillion yuan, 634 billion yuan less than the same period last year; and domestic equity financing of non-financial enterprises reached 230.5 billion yuan, 79.9 billion yuan more than the same period last year.June 12th - Preliminary statistics show that as of the end of May 2026, the outstanding amount of total social financing was 458.81 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.7%. Specifically, outstanding RMB loans to the real economy totaled 277.4 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.5%; outstanding foreign currency loans to the real economy (converted to RMB) totaled 1.14 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.3%; outstanding entrusted loans totaled 11.22 trillion yuan, unchanged year-on-year; outstanding trust loans totaled 4.67 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%; outstanding undiscounted bank acceptance bills totaled 2.13 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.2%; outstanding corporate bonds totaled 35.69 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.4%; outstanding government bonds totaled 100.6 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.1%; and outstanding domestic shares of non-financial enterprises totaled 12.43 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.7%.

The USD/JPY exchange rate reaches 133.50 as the BOJ's summary of viewpoints bolsters the outlook for loose policy

Alina Haynes

Dec 28, 2022 10:59

USD:JPY.png 

 

After fluctuating around 133.50 during the Asian session, the USD/JPY pair has breached to the upside. The Japanese Yen is volatile due to expectations that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will retain its ultra-lax monetary policy.

 

The USD Index has maintained a range-bound performance near 103.80 despite the volatility of risk-sensitive assets. The selling pressure on the S&P 500 on Tuesday was caused by weakness in technology companies. In addition, a decline in economic activity, as recorded by the Trade Balance figures of the United States Census Bureau, caused uncertainty to US markets.

 

In November, the US international interest rate gap dropped by $15.5 billion, from $98.8 billion in October to $83.3 billion. The drop in the trade deficit is not attributable to a rise in exports, but rather to a general decline in economic activity. The United States economy has begun to feel the effects of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to boost interest rates to combat inflation.

 

In the interim, the decline in US Durable Goods Orders and household consumption spending has begun to raise red flags regarding the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy. The economists at ING anticipate that the recession will hasten inflation's reduction, allowing the Fed to reduce interest rates by the end of CY2023.

 

Reuters shared the Bank of Japan (BOJ) Summary of Opinions for the most recent monetary policy meeting, which underlined that the central bank must sustain its easy monetary policy because Japan is in a vital phase for achieving its price target. In addition, the economy is exhibiting signs of wage increases, which is a positive economic cycle; yet, it is prudent to maintain a loose monetary policy for the time being.