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On June 10th, Futures News reported that Trump stated a peace agreement with Iran was expected to be signed within two or three days, and US Energy Secretary Wright indicated a "significant increase" in ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz. During Asian trading hours, oil prices continued their decline from Monday, with WTI falling below the $90 mark, briefly approaching $85, a drop of over 10% from its high in two trading days. In the early morning, oil prices rebounded sharply after Trump declared a response to the downing of a US military aircraft by Iran, narrowing the losses by the close. Crude oil prices have seen significantly increased volatility this week, and many uncertainties remain. Foreign media statistics show that US President Trump has declared an agreement "imminent" 37 times, but no agreement has been reached to date. Besides geopolitical factors, supply and demand are also negatively impacting the market. Oil prices have already fallen back to around $90, and the potential for further significant declines in the short term is relatively limited. If US-Iran negotiations do not proceed smoothly, oil prices still have a high probability of rebounding.1. U.S. stock indexes closed mixed. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.17% to 50,872.11 points, the S&P 500 fell 0.26% to 7,386.65 points, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.97% to 25,678.82 points. Home Depot and Sherwin-Williams rose more than 3%, leading the Dow Jones gains. The Wind U.S. Tech Big Seven Index fell 1.24%, with Apple falling more than 3% and Tesla falling 3%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index fell 0.39%, with Daqo New Energy falling more than 7% and Jinko Solar falling nearly 7%. 2. European stock indexes closed mixed. The German DAX fell 0.74% to 24,433.06 points, the French CAC40 rose 0.05% to 8,203.43 points, and the UK FTSE 100 fell 1.41% to 10,227.33 points. 3. The WTI crude oil futures contract closed down 2.85% at $88.7 per barrel; the Brent crude oil futures contract fell 2.57% to $91.83 per barrel. 4. International precious metals futures generally closed lower, with COMEX gold futures down 1.80% to $4284.80 per ounce and COMEX silver futures down 4.56% to $65.46 per ounce.Sources say SpaceX has informed investors that it aims to begin testing orbital AI computing in 2027.According to Iranian state media, the situation has now calmed down following the US attack on southern Iran.According to the Wall Street Journal, the Trump administration has asked AI testing organizations to stop publishing public reports, reflecting the White Houses increased control over AI models.

The USD/JPY exchange rate reaches 133.50 as the BOJ's summary of viewpoints bolsters the outlook for loose policy

Alina Haynes

Dec 28, 2022 10:59

USD:JPY.png 

 

After fluctuating around 133.50 during the Asian session, the USD/JPY pair has breached to the upside. The Japanese Yen is volatile due to expectations that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will retain its ultra-lax monetary policy.

 

The USD Index has maintained a range-bound performance near 103.80 despite the volatility of risk-sensitive assets. The selling pressure on the S&P 500 on Tuesday was caused by weakness in technology companies. In addition, a decline in economic activity, as recorded by the Trade Balance figures of the United States Census Bureau, caused uncertainty to US markets.

 

In November, the US international interest rate gap dropped by $15.5 billion, from $98.8 billion in October to $83.3 billion. The drop in the trade deficit is not attributable to a rise in exports, but rather to a general decline in economic activity. The United States economy has begun to feel the effects of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to boost interest rates to combat inflation.

 

In the interim, the decline in US Durable Goods Orders and household consumption spending has begun to raise red flags regarding the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy. The economists at ING anticipate that the recession will hasten inflation's reduction, allowing the Fed to reduce interest rates by the end of CY2023.

 

Reuters shared the Bank of Japan (BOJ) Summary of Opinions for the most recent monetary policy meeting, which underlined that the central bank must sustain its easy monetary policy because Japan is in a vital phase for achieving its price target. In addition, the economy is exhibiting signs of wage increases, which is a positive economic cycle; yet, it is prudent to maintain a loose monetary policy for the time being.