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On July 7th, Daiwa Securities released a research report stating that the latest channel inspections show that the retail sales value (RSV) of the sporting goods industry slowed quarter-on-quarter in the second quarter of this year, and the monthly volatility of RSV increased, further reducing the short-term predictability of Xtep (01368.HK). Meanwhile, the transformation of Xteps core brand will disrupt its wholesale business and require upfront investment, potentially diluting Xteps short-term revenue and profit margins. Although the Saucony brand can continue to maintain high growth, the core Xtep brand may face challenges from slower growth and increased competition. The bank lowered its earnings per share forecast for Xtep this year by approximately 12%, and reduced its target price from HK$5.2 to HK$3.9, downgrading its rating from "Outperform" to "Hold".Indian government officials said India will supply Indonesia with BrahMos cruise missile systems and Astra air-to-air missiles.Japans May coincident economic index rose 0.4% month-on-month, down from 1.3% in the previous month.Bernstein: Launches coverage research on SpaceX (SPCX.O) with an "Outperform" rating and a target price of $239.On July 7th, Citigroup issued a report stating that Kingboard Laminates (01888.HK) announced a price increase. Given the larger-than-expected increase, Citigroup raised its earnings forecast and target price from HK$120 to HK$130, maintaining a "Buy" rating. Citigroup believes the recent share price pullback was mainly due to fund rotation from higher-valuation AI hardware stocks to non-technology sectors, Metas sale of excess computing power, and the reduction of shares by its largest shareholder, Hallgain. However, Citigroup views this pullback as a buying opportunity. The bank indicated that subsequent catalysts include a higher-than-expected average selling price of electronic fiberglass cloth, a potential for a better-than-expected first-half profit warning, and the markets expectation of upward revisions to financial forecasts after the first-half results are released. Citigroup raised its 2026-2028 earnings forecasts by 11-12%, to RMB 9.607 billion, RMB 14.275 billion, and RMB 19.523 billion, respectively. Furthermore, the stock had previously been added to Citigroups upside catalyst watch list, expiring on August 2nd.

The USD/JPY exchange rate reaches 133.50 as the BOJ's summary of viewpoints bolsters the outlook for loose policy

Alina Haynes

Dec 28, 2022 10:59

USD:JPY.png 

 

After fluctuating around 133.50 during the Asian session, the USD/JPY pair has breached to the upside. The Japanese Yen is volatile due to expectations that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will retain its ultra-lax monetary policy.

 

The USD Index has maintained a range-bound performance near 103.80 despite the volatility of risk-sensitive assets. The selling pressure on the S&P 500 on Tuesday was caused by weakness in technology companies. In addition, a decline in economic activity, as recorded by the Trade Balance figures of the United States Census Bureau, caused uncertainty to US markets.

 

In November, the US international interest rate gap dropped by $15.5 billion, from $98.8 billion in October to $83.3 billion. The drop in the trade deficit is not attributable to a rise in exports, but rather to a general decline in economic activity. The United States economy has begun to feel the effects of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to boost interest rates to combat inflation.

 

In the interim, the decline in US Durable Goods Orders and household consumption spending has begun to raise red flags regarding the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy. The economists at ING anticipate that the recession will hasten inflation's reduction, allowing the Fed to reduce interest rates by the end of CY2023.

 

Reuters shared the Bank of Japan (BOJ) Summary of Opinions for the most recent monetary policy meeting, which underlined that the central bank must sustain its easy monetary policy because Japan is in a vital phase for achieving its price target. In addition, the economy is exhibiting signs of wage increases, which is a positive economic cycle; yet, it is prudent to maintain a loose monetary policy for the time being.