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March 9th - The de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted shipping, forcing Saudi Arabia to divert its crude oil shipments to the Red Sea. Saudi Aramco recently launched a rare tender to supply approximately 4.6 million barrels of crude oil for immediate delivery, encompassing ultra-light, heavy, and its flagship Arab Light grade. This tender in the spot market reflects the pressure it faces. Because it typically sells only through long-term contracts, Saudi Aramco is unable to sell most of its oil through conventional channels and is instead transporting a record volume of crude to Yanbu port on the Red Sea via pipeline. Bloomberg vessel tracking data shows that its western terminal shipments have surged to approximately 2.3 million barrels per day this month, about 50% higher than any month since the end of 2016. Traders say the prices in these tenders represent a premium over the official selling prices for their respective grades in March. These official prices were set a month ago, well before the current Middle East conflict began.March 9th - According to foreign media reports, Saudi Aramco has provided spot crude oil supplies through a series of rare tenders due to the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz forcing cargoes to be diverted via the Red Sea. According to informed traders, the company recently offered approximately 4.6 million barrels of crude oil across three grades – Arab Extra Light, Arab Heavy, and Arab Light.Market news: Saudi Aramco has provided immediate crude oil supplies through a series of rare tenders.March 9th - As the escalating conflict in the Middle East pushes up global oil prices, the South Korean government has taken emergency measures. South Korean President Lee Jae-myung, at an emergency economic meeting on Monday, called for the "swift introduction and bold implementation of a maximum oil price system" to curb excessive price increases. Lee made these remarks as international oil prices approached $120 per barrel, a new high since 2022. Production cuts by Middle Eastern oil-producing countries, the continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, and the USs threats to escalate the conflict have put continuous pressure on the energy market. South Korea relies almost entirely on energy imports, with approximately 70% of its oil transported through the Strait of Hormuz. This proposed oil price cap mechanism would be the first time South Korea has used such measures in nearly 30 years, aiming to mitigate the impact of geopolitical instability on its domestic energy supply chain.March 9th - According to the Financial Times, G7 finance ministers will hold an emergency meeting on Monday to discuss the possibility of jointly releasing emergency oil reserves under the coordination of the International Energy Agency (IEA). This meeting aims to address the surge in oil prices following the conflict in the Gulf region. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that the G7 finance ministers and IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol will hold a teleconference at 8:30 AM New York time (8:30 PM Beijing time) to discuss the impact of the war with Iran. Sources also indicated that three G7 countries, including the United States, have so far expressed support for the idea. The 32 member countries of the IEA hold strategic reserves as part of a collective emergency system established to address the oil price crisis. One source stated that some US officials believe a joint release of 300 to 400 million barrels of oil reserves would be appropriate, equivalent to 25% to 30% of the total reserves of 1.2 billion barrels.

The USD/JPY exchange rate reaches 133.50 as the BOJ's summary of viewpoints bolsters the outlook for loose policy

Alina Haynes

Dec 28, 2022 10:59

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After fluctuating around 133.50 during the Asian session, the USD/JPY pair has breached to the upside. The Japanese Yen is volatile due to expectations that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will retain its ultra-lax monetary policy.

 

The USD Index has maintained a range-bound performance near 103.80 despite the volatility of risk-sensitive assets. The selling pressure on the S&P 500 on Tuesday was caused by weakness in technology companies. In addition, a decline in economic activity, as recorded by the Trade Balance figures of the United States Census Bureau, caused uncertainty to US markets.

 

In November, the US international interest rate gap dropped by $15.5 billion, from $98.8 billion in October to $83.3 billion. The drop in the trade deficit is not attributable to a rise in exports, but rather to a general decline in economic activity. The United States economy has begun to feel the effects of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to boost interest rates to combat inflation.

 

In the interim, the decline in US Durable Goods Orders and household consumption spending has begun to raise red flags regarding the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy. The economists at ING anticipate that the recession will hasten inflation's reduction, allowing the Fed to reduce interest rates by the end of CY2023.

 

Reuters shared the Bank of Japan (BOJ) Summary of Opinions for the most recent monetary policy meeting, which underlined that the central bank must sustain its easy monetary policy because Japan is in a vital phase for achieving its price target. In addition, the economy is exhibiting signs of wage increases, which is a positive economic cycle; yet, it is prudent to maintain a loose monetary policy for the time being.


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