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On January 27th, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Kocher stated that given the unstable global situation, particularly regarding trade, the ECB needs to retain all feasible options regarding interest rates. While officials believe they are currently in a "good position," they still face "very high" uncertainty. He emphasized the importance of having sufficient options in both directions. Monetary policy must be able to respond quickly and decisively to any emerging risks. Kocher expressed a desire to be able to react swiftly to any unforeseen circumstances. "We saw this last week when there was an additional threat of tariffs. So we must be cautious. This could have some consequences and could also impact European economic development."SMIC: The company will disclose its fourth quarter 2025 results after the trading session on February 10, 2026.EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Karas: I have asked my Indian counterparts to engage in dialogue with Russia and to pressure Russia on the peace process in Ukraine.January 27th - Nick Timiraos, the "Federal Reserve mouthpiece," reports that Federal Reserve officials are expected to keep interest rates unchanged this week for the first time since three consecutive rate cuts in September. The question is, what would prompt the Fed to cut rates again? The answer depends on which risk materializes first: a collapse in the labor market, or a significant drop in inflation towards the 2% target. Neither has occurred since the last meeting in December. As a result, the committee remains on the sidelines despite significant political pressure from the White House. Most officials still believe a rate cut is possible later this year, but there is disagreement on when data will support it.January 27th - With only six months remaining until July 1st, 2026, the implementation of Article 75 of the National Medical Products Administrations "Special Provisions on the Registration Management of Traditional Chinese Medicines" is entering its final window. This provision, known in the industry as the "life-or-death clause" for traditional Chinese medicines, clearly states that after three years from July 1st, 2023, any traditional Chinese medicine whose instructions still indicate "not yet clear" will not be approved for re-registration. This means that over 70% of the approximately 57,000 valid approval numbers for traditional Chinese medicines currently in use in China, due to safety information labeling issues, will face elimination. A regulatory-driven, in-depth cleanup of the traditional Chinese medicine industry has officially entered its crucial stage. The core of this new regulatory policy is to completely end the long-standing era of "not yet clear" instructions for traditional Chinese medicines, forcing drug holders to address the shortcomings in post-market safety data.

The USD/JPY exchange rate reaches 133.50 as the BOJ's summary of viewpoints bolsters the outlook for loose policy

Alina Haynes

Dec 28, 2022 10:59

USD:JPY.png 

 

After fluctuating around 133.50 during the Asian session, the USD/JPY pair has breached to the upside. The Japanese Yen is volatile due to expectations that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will retain its ultra-lax monetary policy.

 

The USD Index has maintained a range-bound performance near 103.80 despite the volatility of risk-sensitive assets. The selling pressure on the S&P 500 on Tuesday was caused by weakness in technology companies. In addition, a decline in economic activity, as recorded by the Trade Balance figures of the United States Census Bureau, caused uncertainty to US markets.

 

In November, the US international interest rate gap dropped by $15.5 billion, from $98.8 billion in October to $83.3 billion. The drop in the trade deficit is not attributable to a rise in exports, but rather to a general decline in economic activity. The United States economy has begun to feel the effects of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to boost interest rates to combat inflation.

 

In the interim, the decline in US Durable Goods Orders and household consumption spending has begun to raise red flags regarding the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy. The economists at ING anticipate that the recession will hasten inflation's reduction, allowing the Fed to reduce interest rates by the end of CY2023.

 

Reuters shared the Bank of Japan (BOJ) Summary of Opinions for the most recent monetary policy meeting, which underlined that the central bank must sustain its easy monetary policy because Japan is in a vital phase for achieving its price target. In addition, the economy is exhibiting signs of wage increases, which is a positive economic cycle; yet, it is prudent to maintain a loose monetary policy for the time being.