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On December 30th, crude oil futures recovered some of Fridays losses as the weekend meeting between Trump and Zelensky failed to resolve some key issues. Mizuho analyst Robert Yage stated, "Oil trading is based on the expectation that a ceasefire agreement will not be reached in the short term during the Russia-Ukraine peace process. There have been many discussions without an agreement, the continuation of the conflict will put pressure on Russian crude oil production, sanctions will test Russias ability to supply crude oil to international customers, and Ukraines attacks on refineries will challenge Russias ability to operate refineries at high utilization rates."On December 30, Cambodian Ministry of National Defense spokesperson Maria Sokheda denied a Thai statement on the evening of December 29 that "more than 250 drones were detected taking off from Cambodia, violating Thai sovereign territory." In a press release, Sokheda stated that the Cambodian Ministry of National Defense completely denies this claim. "Furthermore, the Ministry of National Defense and provincial governments, especially those in border areas, have issued strict instructions prohibiting the takeoff of all types of drones. We confirm that no such drone takeoff incidents have occurred."December 30th - Amidst the Federal Reserves effective interest rate cuts mitigating the risk of economic recession, a key indicator measuring volatility in the US bond market is heading for its largest annual decline since the global financial crisis. As of last Friday, the ICE BofA MOVE index (reflecting expected volatility in the bond market) had fallen to approximately 59, its lowest point since October 2024. This index, which has been steadily declining from around 99 at the end of 2024, is projected to record one of the most significant annual drops since data became available in 1988, second only to the crash of 2009.Hang Seng Index futures closed down 0.13% at 25,634 points in overnight trading, trading at a discount of 1 point.US President Trump: Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu can be difficult to deal with at times. He hopes Netanyahu will maintain friendly relations with Syria.

The USD/JPY exchange rate reaches 133.50 as the BOJ's summary of viewpoints bolsters the outlook for loose policy

Alina Haynes

Dec 28, 2022 10:59

USD:JPY.png 

 

After fluctuating around 133.50 during the Asian session, the USD/JPY pair has breached to the upside. The Japanese Yen is volatile due to expectations that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will retain its ultra-lax monetary policy.

 

The USD Index has maintained a range-bound performance near 103.80 despite the volatility of risk-sensitive assets. The selling pressure on the S&P 500 on Tuesday was caused by weakness in technology companies. In addition, a decline in economic activity, as recorded by the Trade Balance figures of the United States Census Bureau, caused uncertainty to US markets.

 

In November, the US international interest rate gap dropped by $15.5 billion, from $98.8 billion in October to $83.3 billion. The drop in the trade deficit is not attributable to a rise in exports, but rather to a general decline in economic activity. The United States economy has begun to feel the effects of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to boost interest rates to combat inflation.

 

In the interim, the decline in US Durable Goods Orders and household consumption spending has begun to raise red flags regarding the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy. The economists at ING anticipate that the recession will hasten inflation's reduction, allowing the Fed to reduce interest rates by the end of CY2023.

 

Reuters shared the Bank of Japan (BOJ) Summary of Opinions for the most recent monetary policy meeting, which underlined that the central bank must sustain its easy monetary policy because Japan is in a vital phase for achieving its price target. In addition, the economy is exhibiting signs of wage increases, which is a positive economic cycle; yet, it is prudent to maintain a loose monetary policy for the time being.