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On December 11th, OPEC stated in its monthly report that OPEC+ slightly increased crude oil production in November as eight member countries continued to pursue their planned production increases. OPEC also maintained its forecasts for global oil demand growth in 2025 and 2026, noting that the global economy remains on a solid track. The report showed that OPEC+ crude oil production in November was 43.06 million barrels per day, an increase of 43,000 barrels per day from October. Looking ahead, OPEC+ crude oil demand is projected to average 42.6 million barrels per day in the first quarter of 2026, with an annual average demand of 43 million barrels per day, indicating a basic balance between supply and demand in the market. Furthermore, the organization did not adjust its forecasts for global oil demand growth in 2025 and 2026, reflecting continued confidence in the energy consumption outlook.According to CNBC, U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter will push for looser regulations and a more liberal approach.1. Algerias crude oil production increased by 10,000 barrels per day (bpd) in November to 965,000 bpd. 2. Congos crude oil production decreased by 10,000 bpd in November to 254,000 bpd. 3. Guineas crude oil production decreased by 3,000 bpd in November to 45,000 bpd. 4. Gabons crude oil production decreased by 8,000 bpd in November to 217,000 bpd. 5. Irans crude oil production decreased by 19,000 bpd in November to 3,221,000 bpd. 6. Iraqs crude oil production decreased by 21,000 bpd in November to 4,077,000 bpd. 7. Kuwaits crude oil production increased by 13,000 bpd in November to 2,565,000 bpd. 8. Libyas crude oil production increased by 4,000 bpd in November to 1,285,000 bpd. 9. Nigerian crude oil production decreased by 11,000 barrels per day (bpd) in November to 1.486 million bpd. 10. Saudi Arabian crude oil production increased by 54,000 bpd in November to 10.053 million bpd. 11. The UAEs crude oil production increased by 16,000 bpd in November to 3.378 million bpd. 12. Venezuelan crude oil production decreased by 27,000 bpd in November to 934,000 bpd. 13. OPECs crude oil production decreased by 1,000 bpd in November to 28.48 million bpd.OPEC Monthly Report: OECD oil inventories fell by 32 million barrels in October to 2.83 billion barrels.OPECs monthly report maintains its 2025 and 2026 Eurozone economic growth forecast at 1.2%.

The USD/JPY exchange rate reaches 133.50 as the BOJ's summary of viewpoints bolsters the outlook for loose policy

Alina Haynes

Dec 28, 2022 10:59

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After fluctuating around 133.50 during the Asian session, the USD/JPY pair has breached to the upside. The Japanese Yen is volatile due to expectations that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will retain its ultra-lax monetary policy.

 

The USD Index has maintained a range-bound performance near 103.80 despite the volatility of risk-sensitive assets. The selling pressure on the S&P 500 on Tuesday was caused by weakness in technology companies. In addition, a decline in economic activity, as recorded by the Trade Balance figures of the United States Census Bureau, caused uncertainty to US markets.

 

In November, the US international interest rate gap dropped by $15.5 billion, from $98.8 billion in October to $83.3 billion. The drop in the trade deficit is not attributable to a rise in exports, but rather to a general decline in economic activity. The United States economy has begun to feel the effects of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) decision to boost interest rates to combat inflation.

 

In the interim, the decline in US Durable Goods Orders and household consumption spending has begun to raise red flags regarding the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy. The economists at ING anticipate that the recession will hasten inflation's reduction, allowing the Fed to reduce interest rates by the end of CY2023.

 

Reuters shared the Bank of Japan (BOJ) Summary of Opinions for the most recent monetary policy meeting, which underlined that the central bank must sustain its easy monetary policy because Japan is in a vital phase for achieving its price target. In addition, the economy is exhibiting signs of wage increases, which is a positive economic cycle; yet, it is prudent to maintain a loose monetary policy for the time being.