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Russian Ministry of Defense: Air defense system shot down 45 Ukrainian drones overnight.Silver prices have hit record highs recently. Data from the Korea Gold Exchange showed that on October 17th, the price of silver reached 2,467 won (approximately 12 yuan) per gram, a year-to-date increase of nearly 70%, exceeding the increase in gold over the same period. This surge in demand for silver among South Korean investors has led to tight market supply. So far this year, major South Korean commercial banks have generated cumulative silver bar sales of 10.4 billion won (approximately 52.08 million yuan), 13 times higher than the same period last year. Due to the shortage of silver bars in the market, South Korean commercial banks and major precious metals sales platforms have announced that they will suspend silver bar sales starting on the 20th of this month.1. October 24th – Federal employees, whether furloughed or working, will miss their first full paycheck, forcing lawmakers to act. They have already missed partial paychecks, placing significant financial strain on over 2 million employees and their families. 2. October 31st – The Trump administration this week deployed $8 billion in unused research and development funds from fiscal year 2025 to ensure 1.3 million active-duty military personnel receive their October 15th paycheck. However, whether this can be done again before Halloween (November 1st) remains uncertain. 3. October 31st and November 5th – Senate clerks will miss their first full paycheck on October 20th (paid on the 5th and 20th of each month). House clerks will miss their paychecks at the end of October (paid at the end of each month) and, if they do, will not receive their paychecks until after Thanksgiving, creating significant financial hardship. 4. November 1st – Open enrollment for the Affordable Care Act. Healthcare is a primary concern for the shutdown, with Democrats aiming to pressure Republicans to reach an agreement on strengthening subsidies for Obamacare before open enrollment begins. 5. November 21 – If the shutdown continues into late November, it could lead to TSA staffing shortages and air traffic control issues for Americans during the busy Thanksgiving travel week. Air traffic control chaos in early 2019 was a key factor in forcing the government to end the longest shutdown in history.On October 19th, local time, Pakistani Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Dar welcomed the ceasefire agreement reached between Pakistan and Afghanistan in Doha, Qatar, on the evening of the 18th on social media, calling it "the first step in the right direction." Dar also expressed hope that at the next round of meetings hosted by Turkey, a concrete and verifiable monitoring mechanism would be established to address the threat of attacks from Afghanistan into Pakistan. On the same day, Afghan government spokesman Zabiullah Mujahid issued a statement announcing that negotiations between Afghan and Pakistani representatives in Qatar had concluded with the signing of a bilateral agreement. Neither side will take any hostile actions against the other, nor will they support groups that attack the Pakistani government. Both sides will refrain from targeting each others security forces, civilians, or critical infrastructure. A mechanism will be established to review bilateral positions and ensure the effective implementation of the agreement, mediated by an intermediary.The General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces: In the past day, the Russian army lost about 1,000 soldiers, as well as 3 armored personnel carriers, 45 artillery systems and other equipment.

AUD/JPY bulls cheer China-inspired optimism; Japan data near 89.50 are mixed

Daniel Rogers

Dec 27, 2022 11:12

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The AUD/JPY pair creeps higher around 89.50 as bulls capitalize on the cautious Christmas market optimism. In doing so, despite the most recent dip, the cross-currency pair extends Friday's gains to hit weekly highs.

 

Nonetheless, the price increase may be linked to the risk-on market mentality, which was mostly driven by China, as well as lowering expectations of hawkish actions by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).

 

As on January 8, China no longer requires inbound travelers to undergo COVID quarantine. In addition to geopolitical concerns from Russia and North Korea, the news contributed to the market's cautious optimism. S&P 500 Futures advance intraday by 0.60 percent to 3,892, while 10-year US Treasury rates remain slow at roughly 3.74% as of press time.

 

After the central bank adjusted monetary policy last week, Governor Haruhiko Kuroda and Prime Minister Fumio Kishida of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and Prime Minister of Japan (PM) Fumio Kishida, respectively, attempted to calm hawkish expectations. According to Kuroda of the BOJ, however, the broadening of the yield band is not a forerunner to an easy policy exit. In a similar spirit, Japanese Prime Minister Kishida ruled out the BOJ and government amending the central bank statement.

 

In terms of the facts, Japan's Unemployment Rate declined to 3.5% in November compared to the 3.6% predicted previously, while the Jobs / Applicants Ratio for the same month was 1.35 compared to the market prediction of 1.35. In addition, year-over-year growth in Retail Trade fell to 2.6% from 2.8% anticipated and 4.0% earlier.

 

A quiet schedule ahead of Saturday's official China PMIs and year-end market inaction will restrict AUD/JPY movement moving forward.