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December 30th - To improve the management of export licenses for automobiles and motorcycles, in accordance with the "Notice on Further Regulating the Export Order of Automobiles and Motorcycles" (Shang Chan Fa [2012] No. 318) issued by the Ministry of Commerce, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the General Administration of Customs, the former General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine, and the former Certification and Accreditation Administration of China, and the "Notice on Doing a Good Job in the Application for Export Licenses for Automobiles and Motorcycles in 2026" (Shang Ban Mao Han [2025] No. 408) issued by the General Office of the Ministry of Commerce, the Ministry of Commerce, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and the State Administration for Market Regulation have confirmed the list of enterprises that meet the conditions for applying for export licenses for automobiles and motorcycles in 2026, and it is hereby announced.On December 30th, Didi Chuxing predicted that due to the combined travel demands from commuting, New Years Eve gatherings, travel, and intercity travel for family and friends, the evening rush hour for ride-hailing on December 31st would begin earlier at 3 PM and last until 8 PM, with the highest demand occurring between 5 PM and 7 PM. Domestic ride-hailing demand is expected to exceed 80 million on that day. Furthermore, Didis call volume is projected to remain higher than that of New Years Day 2025 from 9 AM to 5 PM on January 1st, 2026, with a year-on-year increase of 18% from 10 AM to 12 PM.Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi: We need to increase company revenue through strategic financing.Saudi Arabia has stated that the UAE should accept the call from the chairman of the Yemeni Presidential Leadership Council for the withdrawal of its troops from Yemen.Fitch: Indonesian businesses face consumer recovery and regulatory risks in 2026.

The US Dollar Index is trying to regain 109 ahead of US Durable Goods Orders data from Jackson Hole

Alina Haynes

Aug 24, 2022 15:26

截屏2022-08-24 上午10.16.07.png 

 

As traders wait for the day's significant triggers amid a sluggish opening, the US Dollar Index (DXY) continues its rise toward the multi-year high established in July, adding bids to 108.60 in the Asian session on Wednesday.

 

The dollar index dropped from a multi-year high of 109.27 against the six major currencies the day before yesterday. While the present downturn in US data is driving the quote to retreat, the DXY bulls are supported by concerns of an economic slowdown and the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) quick rate hikes.

 

The president of the Minneapolis Fed, Neel Kashkari, was quoted by Reuters as saying that misreading the underlying inflation dynamics is the biggest worry. If the Fed sees inflation creeping closer to their target of 2%, they may slow their rate of rate hikes, according to the official.

 

However, traders in fed funds futures are pricing in a 52.5% chance of a rate hike of 75 basis points (bps) at the upcoming Fed meeting. On Monday, Reuters reported that a rate hike of 50 basis points in September was somewhat more likely than 50 percent.

 

Preliminary readings released on Tuesday by the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August showed a decline to 51.3 from 52.0 expected and 52.2 earlier, while the Services index plunged to 44.1 from 47.3 compared to 49.2 market expectations. As reported by S&P Global, the Composite PMI has fallen to 45, the lowest level in 27 months, signaling a potential crisis for the US economy.

 

In addition, the number of newly constructed homes sold in the United States dropped to 0.511 million in July, down from 0.585 million the previous month and 0.575 million the market had predicted. The US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index dropped to -8.0 in August from a reading of 0.0 the month before.

 

At press time, US 10-year Treasury rates were lingering at 3.05%, the highest level in a month, despite small advances for the day on Wall Street. S&P 500 Futures have been declining somewhat as of press time, which is notable.

 

DXY volatility may be constrained in the future by the light schedule preceding the North American session. Next, keep an eye on the US Durable Goods Orders for July, which are predicted to rise 0.6% after rising 2.0% in June. As markets try to predict the Fed's next move, Friday's speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole conference hosted by the Kansas City Fed will be crucial.

 

DXY bears are threatened by a rising support line that has been in place for two weeks near 108.00, but the buyers won't be convinced until the uptrend is confirmed above 109.30.