• English
  • 简体中文
  • 繁體中文
  • Tiếng Việt
  • ไทย
  • Indonesia
Subscribe
Real-time News
Shenzhen Stock Exchange: The list of securities eligible for the Hong Kong Stock Connect has been adjusted, with Naxin Microelectronics added and Wanguo Gold Group (old) removed, effective January 5.A chart summarizing the price trends of international spot platinum and palladium around New Years Day.The yield on Japans two-year government bonds rose 2.5 basis points to 1.195%.On January 5th, CICC pointed out that the RMBs appreciation against the US dollar has accelerated recently, driven by rising expectations of a Fed rate cut and the peak year-end foreign exchange settlement period in China. Under Trumps "Great Reset," with US monetary policy aligned with fiscal policy, it is believed that dollar liquidity will remain abundant, and the dollar is likely to be in a depreciation channel. In this situation, the motivation for previously accumulated foreign exchange reserves to be settled may support the RMB. A weak dollar is driving a global economic recovery, boosting domestic export growth and profits. Global monetary policy and liquidity are trending towards easing, pushing up the valuations of A-shares and Hong Kong stocks. At the same time, global funds are flowing more towards emerging markets with higher growth elasticity in search of higher returns. Catalyzed by a weak dollar and domestic policies, CICC believes that more overseas and long-term funds entering the market are expected to boost A-shares from the funding side. Structurally, the "new economy," represented by technology and overseas expansion, is expected to continue to perform well in terms of fundamentals and returns. Furthermore, driven by expanding domestic demand, anti-involution measures, and overseas demand, domestic corporate profits may improve, leading to a rebound in domestic demand sectors such as consumption.Both WTI and Brent crude oil prices reversed their earlier losses of over 1% and are now trading at $57.4 per barrel and $60.71 per barrel, respectively.

The US Dollar Index is trying to regain 109 ahead of US Durable Goods Orders data from Jackson Hole

Alina Haynes

Aug 24, 2022 15:26

截屏2022-08-24 上午10.16.07.png 

 

As traders wait for the day's significant triggers amid a sluggish opening, the US Dollar Index (DXY) continues its rise toward the multi-year high established in July, adding bids to 108.60 in the Asian session on Wednesday.

 

The dollar index dropped from a multi-year high of 109.27 against the six major currencies the day before yesterday. While the present downturn in US data is driving the quote to retreat, the DXY bulls are supported by concerns of an economic slowdown and the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) quick rate hikes.

 

The president of the Minneapolis Fed, Neel Kashkari, was quoted by Reuters as saying that misreading the underlying inflation dynamics is the biggest worry. If the Fed sees inflation creeping closer to their target of 2%, they may slow their rate of rate hikes, according to the official.

 

However, traders in fed funds futures are pricing in a 52.5% chance of a rate hike of 75 basis points (bps) at the upcoming Fed meeting. On Monday, Reuters reported that a rate hike of 50 basis points in September was somewhat more likely than 50 percent.

 

Preliminary readings released on Tuesday by the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August showed a decline to 51.3 from 52.0 expected and 52.2 earlier, while the Services index plunged to 44.1 from 47.3 compared to 49.2 market expectations. As reported by S&P Global, the Composite PMI has fallen to 45, the lowest level in 27 months, signaling a potential crisis for the US economy.

 

In addition, the number of newly constructed homes sold in the United States dropped to 0.511 million in July, down from 0.585 million the previous month and 0.575 million the market had predicted. The US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index dropped to -8.0 in August from a reading of 0.0 the month before.

 

At press time, US 10-year Treasury rates were lingering at 3.05%, the highest level in a month, despite small advances for the day on Wall Street. S&P 500 Futures have been declining somewhat as of press time, which is notable.

 

DXY volatility may be constrained in the future by the light schedule preceding the North American session. Next, keep an eye on the US Durable Goods Orders for July, which are predicted to rise 0.6% after rising 2.0% in June. As markets try to predict the Fed's next move, Friday's speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole conference hosted by the Kansas City Fed will be crucial.

 

DXY bears are threatened by a rising support line that has been in place for two weeks near 108.00, but the buyers won't be convinced until the uptrend is confirmed above 109.30.