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April 4th - The first meeting of the China-Canada Financial Working Group was held in Beijing on April 3rd. The meeting was co-chaired by Pan Gongsheng, Governor of the Peoples Bank of China, and François-Philippe Champagne, Minister of Finance of Canada. High-level representatives from the Peoples Bank of China, the State Financial Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and financial regulatory authorities from Canada, including the Ministry of Finance, the Bank of Canada, and the Financial Institutions Authority of Canada, attended the meeting. During the meeting, the financial regulatory authorities from both sides exchanged views on global macroeconomic conditions, monetary policy, financial regulation, financial market development, global financial governance, and addressing increasing uncertainty. Both sides agreed that strengthening communication between regulatory agencies and financial institutions would help create a stable and predictable business environment and promote bilateral trade and economic exchanges. Both sides recognized the important role of the financial sector in promoting economic growth and driving bilateral trade and investment, and believed that strengthening communication between their respective financial regulatory authorities was of positive significance.April 4th - According to a letter to the European Commission seen by Reuters on Saturday, finance ministers from five EU member states have called for taxes to be levied on the "excessive profits" energy companies have made due to rising fuel prices caused by the war with Iran. The finance ministers of Germany, Italy, Spain, Portugal, and Austria made this appeal in a joint letter, stating that this move would send a signal that "we are united and capable of taking action." It would also send a clear message that those who profit from the war must bear their due responsibility for alleviating the burden on ordinary people.According to Reuters, the finance ministers of Germany, Italy, Portugal, Austria, and Spain have called for a windfall profits tax on energy companies.April 4th - According to CNN, as the Middle East conflict enters its second month, the oil shortage crisis risks escalating into a worse situation – shortages of almost everything. The conflict has severely restricted oil and gas transport through the Strait of Hormuz, reducing global supply by about one-fifth. This disruption has not only driven up fuel prices but also squeezed the supply of petrochemical products needed to manufacture everyday items such as shoes, clothing, and plastic bags. As prices for materials like plastics, rubber, and polyester rise, this pressure is spreading to every corner of the consumer market. Asia is currently the most affected, home to more than half of the worlds manufacturing and heavily reliant on imported oil and other commodities. Dan Martin, co-head of business intelligence at Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, stated that this will very, very quickly impact all goods, such as beer, noodles, potato chips, toys, and cosmetics, because plastic bottle caps, shipping pallets, snack bags, and containers are becoming increasingly difficult to procure. Martin added that adhesives used in footwear and furniture, industrial lubricants for machinery, and solvents used in paints and cleaning processes also rely heavily on petroleum-derived products.On April 4th, the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) issued a statement saying that on April 3rd, the IDF conducted airstrikes on multiple targets in Tehran, the Iranian capital. The statement said the strikes targeted several key Iranian infrastructure sites, including an Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) air defense facility storing missiles used to engage aerial targets. The statement also said the IDF attacked a military base responsible for protecting Iranian weapons research and development facilities. Additionally, it struck a ballistic missile storage site and several weapons production and research facilities. Iran has not yet responded to the attacks.

The US Dollar Index is trying to regain 109 ahead of US Durable Goods Orders data from Jackson Hole

Alina Haynes

Aug 24, 2022 15:26

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As traders wait for the day's significant triggers amid a sluggish opening, the US Dollar Index (DXY) continues its rise toward the multi-year high established in July, adding bids to 108.60 in the Asian session on Wednesday.

 

The dollar index dropped from a multi-year high of 109.27 against the six major currencies the day before yesterday. While the present downturn in US data is driving the quote to retreat, the DXY bulls are supported by concerns of an economic slowdown and the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) quick rate hikes.

 

The president of the Minneapolis Fed, Neel Kashkari, was quoted by Reuters as saying that misreading the underlying inflation dynamics is the biggest worry. If the Fed sees inflation creeping closer to their target of 2%, they may slow their rate of rate hikes, according to the official.

 

However, traders in fed funds futures are pricing in a 52.5% chance of a rate hike of 75 basis points (bps) at the upcoming Fed meeting. On Monday, Reuters reported that a rate hike of 50 basis points in September was somewhat more likely than 50 percent.

 

Preliminary readings released on Tuesday by the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August showed a decline to 51.3 from 52.0 expected and 52.2 earlier, while the Services index plunged to 44.1 from 47.3 compared to 49.2 market expectations. As reported by S&P Global, the Composite PMI has fallen to 45, the lowest level in 27 months, signaling a potential crisis for the US economy.

 

In addition, the number of newly constructed homes sold in the United States dropped to 0.511 million in July, down from 0.585 million the previous month and 0.575 million the market had predicted. The US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index dropped to -8.0 in August from a reading of 0.0 the month before.

 

At press time, US 10-year Treasury rates were lingering at 3.05%, the highest level in a month, despite small advances for the day on Wall Street. S&P 500 Futures have been declining somewhat as of press time, which is notable.

 

DXY volatility may be constrained in the future by the light schedule preceding the North American session. Next, keep an eye on the US Durable Goods Orders for July, which are predicted to rise 0.6% after rising 2.0% in June. As markets try to predict the Fed's next move, Friday's speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole conference hosted by the Kansas City Fed will be crucial.

 

DXY bears are threatened by a rising support line that has been in place for two weeks near 108.00, but the buyers won't be convinced until the uptrend is confirmed above 109.30.