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On December 29, the Eastern Theater Command of the Chinese Peoples Liberation Army organized destroyers, frigates, fighter-bombers, and other forces to conduct exercises in the sea and airspace east of Taiwan Island, including maritime strike, regional air superiority, and anti-submarine warfare, testing the sea-air coordination and precision targeting capabilities.December 29th - According to Kyodo News, the proportion of foreign residents in Japan is approaching the 10% threshold at a rate far exceeding official forecasts, with dozens of municipalities already surpassing this figure. One village reported that more than one-third of its residents are foreign nationals. In July of this year, then-Justice Minister Keisuke Suzuki stated that by around 2040, the foreign population in Japan is expected to exceed 10% of the total population. Japans labor shortage problem is projected to worsen.Sources say India is suing Reliance Industries and BP for $30 billion over insufficient production from its gas fields.On December 29, the Eastern Theater Command of the Chinese Peoples Liberation Army organized destroyers, fighter-bombers, drones, and other forces in the northern and southwestern sea and airspace of Taiwan Island, along with long-range firepower, to conduct training exercises including sea-air search and destruction, simulated land attack, and live-fire exercises against sea targets. The exercises tested the PLAs integrated coordination and capability to seize control.On December 29th, the fourth meeting of the Standing Committee of the First Non-Motor Property Insurance Professional Committee of the Insurance Association of China was held in Beijing. Representatives from 24 standing committee member units, including the committees chairman, PICC Property & Casualty Insurance, attended the meeting, which was chaired by Zhang Liang, member of the Party Committee and Vice President of the Insurance Association of China. The meeting reviewed and approved a proposal to promote research on model clauses and rates for corporate property insurance and employers liability insurance. The meeting believed that the committee should focus on key and difficult issues in the comprehensive governance and development of non-motor insurance, and take proactive measures through establishing working groups to strengthen industry self-regulation, formulate model clauses, deepen industry research, promote information sharing, and conduct publicity and exchange, thereby reshaping industry rules and image and serving the healthy and sustainable development of the non-motor insurance market. The meeting pointed out that the committee should strengthen its own construction, focusing on the associations overall goal of "serving the industry well, assisting in supervision well, and contributing well to society," anchoring its responsibilities, strengthening self-discipline and collaboration, improving the evaluation and supervision mechanism, and effectively playing the functional role of the committee.

The US Dollar Index is trying to regain 109 ahead of US Durable Goods Orders data from Jackson Hole

Alina Haynes

Aug 24, 2022 15:26

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As traders wait for the day's significant triggers amid a sluggish opening, the US Dollar Index (DXY) continues its rise toward the multi-year high established in July, adding bids to 108.60 in the Asian session on Wednesday.

 

The dollar index dropped from a multi-year high of 109.27 against the six major currencies the day before yesterday. While the present downturn in US data is driving the quote to retreat, the DXY bulls are supported by concerns of an economic slowdown and the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) quick rate hikes.

 

The president of the Minneapolis Fed, Neel Kashkari, was quoted by Reuters as saying that misreading the underlying inflation dynamics is the biggest worry. If the Fed sees inflation creeping closer to their target of 2%, they may slow their rate of rate hikes, according to the official.

 

However, traders in fed funds futures are pricing in a 52.5% chance of a rate hike of 75 basis points (bps) at the upcoming Fed meeting. On Monday, Reuters reported that a rate hike of 50 basis points in September was somewhat more likely than 50 percent.

 

Preliminary readings released on Tuesday by the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August showed a decline to 51.3 from 52.0 expected and 52.2 earlier, while the Services index plunged to 44.1 from 47.3 compared to 49.2 market expectations. As reported by S&P Global, the Composite PMI has fallen to 45, the lowest level in 27 months, signaling a potential crisis for the US economy.

 

In addition, the number of newly constructed homes sold in the United States dropped to 0.511 million in July, down from 0.585 million the previous month and 0.575 million the market had predicted. The US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index dropped to -8.0 in August from a reading of 0.0 the month before.

 

At press time, US 10-year Treasury rates were lingering at 3.05%, the highest level in a month, despite small advances for the day on Wall Street. S&P 500 Futures have been declining somewhat as of press time, which is notable.

 

DXY volatility may be constrained in the future by the light schedule preceding the North American session. Next, keep an eye on the US Durable Goods Orders for July, which are predicted to rise 0.6% after rising 2.0% in June. As markets try to predict the Fed's next move, Friday's speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole conference hosted by the Kansas City Fed will be crucial.

 

DXY bears are threatened by a rising support line that has been in place for two weeks near 108.00, but the buyers won't be convinced until the uptrend is confirmed above 109.30.