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On February 8th, a closed-door seminar on policy prospects for the National Peoples Congress and the Chinese Peoples Political Consultative Conference (NPC & CPPCC) was held at the Beijing Advanced Research Institute of Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics. The seminar was chaired by CPPCC member Yin Yanlin, and Vice President Li Chungen of Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics attended and delivered a speech. Experts at the seminar suggested the following: First, fiscal policy should play a greater regulatory role this year, with the deficit ratio higher than or at least no lower than last year, increasing the scale of national debt issuance, and expanding the overall expenditure. Second, given the current high actual financing costs, a substantial overall interest rate cut should be implemented to stimulate investment and consumption, at least 50 basis points throughout the year, while better utilizing the space for reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cuts. Third, the coordination between fiscal and monetary policies should be strengthened, the role of new financial policy tools should be better utilized, and their scale should be appropriately expanded to achieve a leverage effect on investment. Fourth, to stabilize investment, boost consumption, and restore the basic conditions for effective credit issuance as soon as possible, greater efforts are needed to stabilize the real estate market.February 8th - On February 7th, the closed-door meeting of the 2026 China All-Solid-State Battery Industry-University-Research Collaborative Innovation Platform Annual Meeting was held in Beijing. The meeting brought together representatives from government, industry, academia, and research institutions to conduct in-depth discussions on the progress of all-solid-state battery R&D, common strategic assessments, and common key technical issues. Platform Chairman Ouyang Minggao pointed out that major technological changes require accumulated experience, and solid-state batteries are a major strategic direction for the next generation of battery upgrades. Currently, my countrys all-solid-state battery R&D has made significant progress, but it also faces many practical challenges. High-energy-density sulfide all-solid-state batteries still need to overcome a series of key scientific challenges at multiple levels, including key materials, interfaces, composite materials, electrodes, and cells. Looking to the future, we must remain confident, overcome difficulties, and actively strive to maintain Chinas leading position in the global lithium battery market.Ukrainian President Zelensky: Russian energy infrastructure is a legitimate target of Ukraines attacks.Ukrainian President Zelensky: Ukraine will start drone production in Germany in mid-February.Renowned tech journalist Gurman predicts the new iPhone 17e will feature the A19 chip and MagSafe charging, as well as Apples latest in-house cellular and wireless chips. Apple plans to keep the price unchanged at $599.

The US Dollar Index is trying to regain 109 ahead of US Durable Goods Orders data from Jackson Hole

Alina Haynes

Aug 24, 2022 15:26

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As traders wait for the day's significant triggers amid a sluggish opening, the US Dollar Index (DXY) continues its rise toward the multi-year high established in July, adding bids to 108.60 in the Asian session on Wednesday.

 

The dollar index dropped from a multi-year high of 109.27 against the six major currencies the day before yesterday. While the present downturn in US data is driving the quote to retreat, the DXY bulls are supported by concerns of an economic slowdown and the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) quick rate hikes.

 

The president of the Minneapolis Fed, Neel Kashkari, was quoted by Reuters as saying that misreading the underlying inflation dynamics is the biggest worry. If the Fed sees inflation creeping closer to their target of 2%, they may slow their rate of rate hikes, according to the official.

 

However, traders in fed funds futures are pricing in a 52.5% chance of a rate hike of 75 basis points (bps) at the upcoming Fed meeting. On Monday, Reuters reported that a rate hike of 50 basis points in September was somewhat more likely than 50 percent.

 

Preliminary readings released on Tuesday by the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August showed a decline to 51.3 from 52.0 expected and 52.2 earlier, while the Services index plunged to 44.1 from 47.3 compared to 49.2 market expectations. As reported by S&P Global, the Composite PMI has fallen to 45, the lowest level in 27 months, signaling a potential crisis for the US economy.

 

In addition, the number of newly constructed homes sold in the United States dropped to 0.511 million in July, down from 0.585 million the previous month and 0.575 million the market had predicted. The US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index dropped to -8.0 in August from a reading of 0.0 the month before.

 

At press time, US 10-year Treasury rates were lingering at 3.05%, the highest level in a month, despite small advances for the day on Wall Street. S&P 500 Futures have been declining somewhat as of press time, which is notable.

 

DXY volatility may be constrained in the future by the light schedule preceding the North American session. Next, keep an eye on the US Durable Goods Orders for July, which are predicted to rise 0.6% after rising 2.0% in June. As markets try to predict the Fed's next move, Friday's speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole conference hosted by the Kansas City Fed will be crucial.

 

DXY bears are threatened by a rising support line that has been in place for two weeks near 108.00, but the buyers won't be convinced until the uptrend is confirmed above 109.30.