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January 30th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Spot gold prices retreated intraday after hitting overbought levels, influenced by a bearish (negative) signal from the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Simultaneously, spot gold prices are attempting to find higher lows, providing a foundation for regaining bullish momentum and resuming the upward trend. Despite the current weakness, gold prices have found strong dynamic support above the 50-day moving average (EMA50). This reinforces the solidity and dominance of the main bullish trend in the short term, making a recovery and continuation of the rebound in the near term still highly probable.Japans construction orders rose 20.2% year-on-year in December, up from 9.5% in the previous month.January 30th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Before the previous trading days decline, WTI crude oil futures prices touched the key resistance level of $65.75, which was the target level predicted in our previous report, and subsequently stabilized under pressure, initiating a corrective move. The market aims to find higher lows as support levels to help it regain upward momentum and resume its upward trend. This movement is mainly to digest the previous overbought pressure of the Relative Strength Index (RSI), especially with the emergence of negative signals from this indicator. However, in the short term, the overall bullish pattern remains unchanged, with prices still moving upward along the effective trend line, and the potential for a rebound in the near future remains valid.January 30th, Futures News: Economies.com analysts latest view: Brent crude oil futures prices fell in recent intraday trading, mainly due to the Relative Strength Index (RSI) releasing a negative signal after reaching overbought levels. The current price is attempting to find a higher low as a base to accumulate the necessary bullish momentum for a subsequent rebound. In the short term, the dominant trend remains bullish, with prices moving along the support trendline. It is also worth noting that the RSI has reached oversold levels that are significantly exaggerated compared to the price action.On January 30th, Xie Feng, the Chinese Ambassador to the United States, stated at an event in Philadelphia on the 28th that people-to-people exchanges should serve as a bridge, a medium, and a mirror to help China and the United States build a correct way of getting along in the new era. Speaking at an event jointly organized by the China National Tourist Office in New York and the Philadelphia Orchestra, Xie Feng said that China and the United States are currently exploring a correct way of getting along in the new era, a long and arduous task that requires both sides to continuously strengthen the bond of people-to-people exchanges and inject a continuous stream of positive energy into China-US relations. First, people-to-people exchanges should serve as a bridge to enhance friendship through artistic resonance; second, people-to-people exchanges should serve as a medium to promote mutually beneficial cooperation through two-way exchanges; and third, people-to-people exchanges should serve as a mirror to achieve mutual benefit and harmony through mutual learning. Chinese and American cultures are not opposing forces of zero-sum game, but rather complementary elements that can be exchanged, learned from, and used for common progress. Both sides should continue to expand the breadth and depth of China-US people-to-people exchanges, enhance understanding through mutual respect, build consensus through mutual appreciation, and promote both China and the United States to become better versions of themselves.

The US Dollar Index is trying to regain 109 ahead of US Durable Goods Orders data from Jackson Hole

Alina Haynes

Aug 24, 2022 15:26

截屏2022-08-24 上午10.16.07.png 

 

As traders wait for the day's significant triggers amid a sluggish opening, the US Dollar Index (DXY) continues its rise toward the multi-year high established in July, adding bids to 108.60 in the Asian session on Wednesday.

 

The dollar index dropped from a multi-year high of 109.27 against the six major currencies the day before yesterday. While the present downturn in US data is driving the quote to retreat, the DXY bulls are supported by concerns of an economic slowdown and the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) quick rate hikes.

 

The president of the Minneapolis Fed, Neel Kashkari, was quoted by Reuters as saying that misreading the underlying inflation dynamics is the biggest worry. If the Fed sees inflation creeping closer to their target of 2%, they may slow their rate of rate hikes, according to the official.

 

However, traders in fed funds futures are pricing in a 52.5% chance of a rate hike of 75 basis points (bps) at the upcoming Fed meeting. On Monday, Reuters reported that a rate hike of 50 basis points in September was somewhat more likely than 50 percent.

 

Preliminary readings released on Tuesday by the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for August showed a decline to 51.3 from 52.0 expected and 52.2 earlier, while the Services index plunged to 44.1 from 47.3 compared to 49.2 market expectations. As reported by S&P Global, the Composite PMI has fallen to 45, the lowest level in 27 months, signaling a potential crisis for the US economy.

 

In addition, the number of newly constructed homes sold in the United States dropped to 0.511 million in July, down from 0.585 million the previous month and 0.575 million the market had predicted. The US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index dropped to -8.0 in August from a reading of 0.0 the month before.

 

At press time, US 10-year Treasury rates were lingering at 3.05%, the highest level in a month, despite small advances for the day on Wall Street. S&P 500 Futures have been declining somewhat as of press time, which is notable.

 

DXY volatility may be constrained in the future by the light schedule preceding the North American session. Next, keep an eye on the US Durable Goods Orders for July, which are predicted to rise 0.6% after rising 2.0% in June. As markets try to predict the Fed's next move, Friday's speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole conference hosted by the Kansas City Fed will be crucial.

 

DXY bears are threatened by a rising support line that has been in place for two weeks near 108.00, but the buyers won't be convinced until the uptrend is confirmed above 109.30.