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September 8th - The New York Federal Reserve Banks Microeconomic Data Center released its August 2026 Consumer Expectations Survey today. The results show that household inflation expectations have slightly declined in the medium term, while remaining unchanged in the short and long term. Gasoline price growth expectations rose again in August. Labor market expectations are mixed: unemployment and employment expectations have worsened, while unemployment and job loss expectations have improved. Expectations for an increase in the unemployment rate have reached their highest level since April 2020. The survey was conducted from August 3rd to 31st. Regarding inflation, one-year inflation expectations fell from 3.63% to 3.58%, and the median expectation for home price growth fell by 0.2 percentage points to 3.0%, driven by residents in the Northeast. In terms of commodities, one-year gasoline price expectations rose by 1.7 percentage points to 4.6%, food by 0.3 percentage points to 5.3%, and medical care by 0.2 percentage points to 9.1%; college education costs rose by 0.3 percentage points to 6.1%, and rent rose by 0.7 percentage points to 6.6%. Regarding the labor market, the median expectation for one-year income growth rose slightly by 0.1 percentage points to 2.9%. The unemployment rate is expected to rise by an average of 1.6 percentage points to 44.4%, the highest since April 2020, with increases across all age groups, education levels, and income levels.BondBloxx Investment Management stated that the Federal Reserves September interest rate decision was like "flipping a coin."U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessenter: The economy is expected to attract more people back to the labor market.U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio concluded his remarks.The EU and Canada plan to reach a broad agreement to strengthen their cooperative relationship.

The Oil Market Shrugs Off A Spike in U.S. Inventories And Edges Up

Charlie Brooks

Feb 16, 2023 10:43

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Oil prices rose in early Asian trade on Thursday as the market brushed off a massive increase in U.S. oil inventories and the International Energy Agency upgraded its demand forecast.


By 01:31 GMT, Brent crude prices increased by 26 cents to $85.64 per barrel, whereas U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures advanced by 34 cents to $78.


The Energy Information Administration (EIA) said that U.S. crude oil inventories increased by 16.3 million barrels last week to reach 471.4 million barrels, the largest level since June 2021. The larger-than-anticipated increase was mostly attributable to a data adjustment, which analysts said mitigated the impact on oil prices. [EIA/S]


The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimated that oil demand will climb by 2 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2023, an increase of 100,000 bpd from last month's estimate, reaching a record 101.9 million bpd, with China accounting for 900,000 bpd of the increase.


Upon easing COVID-19 restrictions, China will account for over half of 2023 oil demand increase, according to the IEA.


The U.S. currency, which normally moves inversely with crude prices, also helped oil.