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On July 30th, Eckhard Schulte, Chairman of the Board of MainSky Asset Management, stated in a report that Federal Reserve Chairman Warshs avoidance of providing any form of forward guidance makes it extremely difficult for the market to form a coherent analysis of Fed policy. The market will have to adapt to this communication style; the resulting high level of uncertainty will drag down stocks, long-term bonds, and the dollar. Warsh clearly stated that the Fed is serious about its 2% inflation target and intends to achieve it. However, he did not provide a coherent explanation for why the Fed did not heed the opinions of three dissenting members who advocated for interest rate hikes.According to monitoring of 500 county-level markets and collection points nationwide, in the fourth week of July (collection date July 23), prices of piglets, pork, eggs, chicken, commercial broiler chicks, mutton sheep, raw milk, and soybean meal increased week-on-week. Prices of live pigs, commercial layer chicks, live cattle, and broiler feed decreased week-on-week. Prices of beef, corn, fattening pig feed, and layer hen feed remained unchanged week-on-week. The national average price of piglets was 23.20 yuan/kg, up 1.3% from the previous week and down 34.9% year-on-year. The national average price of live pigs was 11.45 yuan/kg, down 0.4% from the previous week and down 22.9% year-on-year. The national average price of pork was 20.96 yuan/kg, up 0.1% from the previous week and down 17.4% year-on-year. The national average price of eggs was 10.96 yuan/kg, up 1.3% from the previous week and up 27.0% year-on-year. The national average price of corn was 2.48 yuan/kg, unchanged from the previous week and down 0.8% year-on-year.Saudi Arabias GDP fell 4.8% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2026. Non-oil activity fell 24.7% year-on-year in the second quarter.Shell (SHEL.N): It expects its combined natural gas production in the third quarter to be approximately 570,000 to 630,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day.The World Gold Council reported that Indian gold demand fell 6% year-on-year in the June quarter, primarily due to weak jewelry purchases. Indian gold demand is expected to recover in the second half of 2026, provided prices remain stable. Indias increased tariffs on gold imports have fueled smuggling and squeezed legitimate market participants.

Copper Beats Gold This Week With Fears of A Rate Rise

Haiden Holmes

Feb 17, 2023 11:44

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Gold prices declined on Friday as stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation statistics and hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials stoked fears of more interest rate rises, while copper prices outpaced commodity markets this week due to confidence towards China.


The U.S. producer price index inflation increased more than anticipated in January, according to statistics released on Thursday. This follows a report on the consumer price index that indicated inflation in the world's largest economy remained sticky.


James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, stated that the central bank might resume raising interest rates at a more rapid pace and raised the possibility of a 50 basis point increase in March.


Meanwhile, Loretta Mester, president of the Cleveland Fed, stated that interest rates would likely rise over 5% as the Fed fights inflation, and that the central bank should have increased rates by more than 25 basis points at its February meeting.


The dollar and Treasury rates soared in response to their remarks, as investors flocked to the greenback in anticipation of higher and safer returns. This caused a substantial outflow from gold markets.


Spot gold decreased 0.2% to $1,833.67 per ounce, whilst gold futures declined 0.5% to $1,843.75 per ounce. Prices of the yellow metal were projected to fall between 1% to 1.7% this week, marking the third consecutive week of declines.


The likelihood of rising U.S. interest rates is unfavorable for non-yielding assets such as gold, as it increases their opportunity cost. Increasing interest rates also cause investors to select the dollar as a safe-haven asset due to its higher yields.


Other precious metals declined on Friday. Platinum prices dropped 0.6% to $920.30 per ounce, a three-month low, while silver futures sank 1.2% to $21.448 per ounce, a two-and-a-half month low.


Copper prices declined on Friday but were expected to end the week in the black due to optimism on China and probable supply disruptions.


Copper futures slipped 0.2% to $4.1137 a pound and were expected to rise 2.4% this week, their highest weekly performance since the beginning of January.


Copper was also poised to end a streak of three consecutive weekly losses as China, the world's top copper importer, signaled further stimulus measures to bolster economic development. Earlier this year, China loosened the majority of anti-COVID policies, which bolstered hopes for the nation's economic recovery.


A deteriorating conflict between the government of Panama and international copper miners threatens to halt the country's copper exports, so limiting supply and driving up prices.