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June 16th, Futures News: Following the end of the Iran war, crude oil prices have fallen sharply, lowering cost support for fuel oil. Market participants, driven by bearish sentiment, are mostly adopting a wait-and-see approach, with cautious trading focused on small, immediate needs. Market activity is subdued, and refineries are facing increased difficulties in shipping. It is expected that todays negotiations for slurry oil and wax oil will remain stable with a slight downward trend. While fuel oil prices are supported by low supply levels, the decline is relatively moderate, but sluggish trading at higher levels also carries the risk of further price reductions.On June 16th, Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida will replace the hospitalized Governor Kazuo Ueda, responsible for explaining the Bank of Japans latest decisions and future policy direction. Investors will closely watch Uchidas remarks to gauge his views on the future path of interest rate hikes and the Bank of Japans bond-buying policy. He faces a delicate task: to project a sufficiently hawkish stance to prevent a sharp depreciation of the yen, while simultaneously considering Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis inclination towards pro-economic monetary policies. Some economists believe that if Uchida deviates from Uedas position, it could shake the entire situation. Others say that Uchidas style is more direct, differing from Uedas subtle and unbiased communication style. According to the chief economist at Daiwa Institute of Economics, Uchida is likely to draw on his experience in policy implementation to provide a very thoughtful explanation to help market participants better understand the Bank of Japans thinking, particularly regarding the normalization process.A fire broke out at an oil depot in Russias Krasnodar region due to a drone attack.Easing tensions in the Middle East have put pressure on international oil prices. A quick chart shows the pre-market conversion of domestic and international crude oil prices.June 16th - In SpaceXs $86.2 billion IPO, every customer of some of the largest retail brokerage firms in the US received at least one share, highlighting the initial design of the offering to allow retail investors to play a significant role. According to representatives of the companies, all eligible customers received a portion of the stock allocation after submitting stock subscription requests to platforms such as Robinhood, Charles Schwab, and Fidelity. It was reported that SpaceX ultimately allocated approximately 20% of its initial public offering proceeds to global retail investors. Sources indicated that due to demand exceeding $100 billion, many investors hoping for higher allocations were unsuccessful. On its second day of trading, SpaceXs stock price had already surged over 40%, reaching a market capitalization of $2.5 trillion.

Copper Beats Gold This Week With Fears of A Rate Rise

Haiden Holmes

Feb 17, 2023 11:44

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Gold prices declined on Friday as stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation statistics and hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials stoked fears of more interest rate rises, while copper prices outpaced commodity markets this week due to confidence towards China.


The U.S. producer price index inflation increased more than anticipated in January, according to statistics released on Thursday. This follows a report on the consumer price index that indicated inflation in the world's largest economy remained sticky.


James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, stated that the central bank might resume raising interest rates at a more rapid pace and raised the possibility of a 50 basis point increase in March.


Meanwhile, Loretta Mester, president of the Cleveland Fed, stated that interest rates would likely rise over 5% as the Fed fights inflation, and that the central bank should have increased rates by more than 25 basis points at its February meeting.


The dollar and Treasury rates soared in response to their remarks, as investors flocked to the greenback in anticipation of higher and safer returns. This caused a substantial outflow from gold markets.


Spot gold decreased 0.2% to $1,833.67 per ounce, whilst gold futures declined 0.5% to $1,843.75 per ounce. Prices of the yellow metal were projected to fall between 1% to 1.7% this week, marking the third consecutive week of declines.


The likelihood of rising U.S. interest rates is unfavorable for non-yielding assets such as gold, as it increases their opportunity cost. Increasing interest rates also cause investors to select the dollar as a safe-haven asset due to its higher yields.


Other precious metals declined on Friday. Platinum prices dropped 0.6% to $920.30 per ounce, a three-month low, while silver futures sank 1.2% to $21.448 per ounce, a two-and-a-half month low.


Copper prices declined on Friday but were expected to end the week in the black due to optimism on China and probable supply disruptions.


Copper futures slipped 0.2% to $4.1137 a pound and were expected to rise 2.4% this week, their highest weekly performance since the beginning of January.


Copper was also poised to end a streak of three consecutive weekly losses as China, the world's top copper importer, signaled further stimulus measures to bolster economic development. Earlier this year, China loosened the majority of anti-COVID policies, which bolstered hopes for the nation's economic recovery.


A deteriorating conflict between the government of Panama and international copper miners threatens to halt the country's copper exports, so limiting supply and driving up prices.