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Market news: Amazon (AMZN.O) founder Jeff Bezos sold $4.07 billion worth of stock.Conflict Situation 1. Israel – ① The Israeli parliament approved an extension of the emergency mobilization order for the armed forces. 2. Iran – ① Revolutionary Guard: An MQ-9 drone was intercepted and shot down by the Revolutionary Guards Aerospace Forces advanced air defense system over the Strait of Hormuz. ② Military advisor to Irans Supreme Leader: We possess missiles and have the capability for self-defense. Even if the United States sends warships into the Strait of Hormuz through unauthorized routes, we will strike them. US-Iran Negotiations 1. Iran – ① Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Bagae: (Regarding negotiations with the US) There are no plans to receive a (US) delegation or send an Iranian delegation "in recent days". 2. United States – ① Trump: The duplicitousness of the Iranian leadership is unbelievable. They requested a meeting, negotiations have begun, and more talks are scheduled for the coming days, proceeding in two phases. ③ US officials: There are currently no plans to hold new Iran negotiations. 3. Others – ① Sources: US and Iranian negotiators have no plans to meet in Islamabad for at least the next 24 hours. The date and location for the resumption of direct negotiations have not yet been finalized. ② Swiss Foreign Ministry: Switzerland is in contact with all relevant countries and is prepared to provide necessary assistance if both sides are willing. ③ Report: There is cautious optimism regarding the prospects for a breakthrough in the US-Iran negotiations; the mediators need some time to reach an agreement on the upcoming ceasefire declaration. ④ Sources: The Pakistani Interior Minister plans to visit Iran in the next day or two. Strait of Hormuz 1. United States—① US military: Continues maritime blockade of Iran, has changed the routes of 44 merchant ships. ② Trump: The conflict with Iran is progressing very well; the Strait of Hormuz is controlled by the US Navy. Nothing can enter Iran without US approval; Iran will not be allowed to collect passage fees in the Strait of Hormuz; the Strait of Hormuz may reopen no later than tomorrow. 2. Iran—① Iranian Foreign Ministry: Currently not in dialogue with the US; dialogue with Oman is focused on the Straits agreement. ② Iran: Has discussed opening new shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz with Oman. ③ Senior Iranian official: Will not allow the US to open non-Iranian shipping routes in the Strait of Hormuz. ④ Iranian sources: Tehran rejected the latest US proposal, insisting that the Strait of Hormuz will not be fully reopened before the end of the war. Other developments: 1. Irans Economy Minister: An economic resilience plan of at least two years has been formulated. 2. Tanker activity surges at Saudi Yanbu port, Red Sea oil routes regain activity. 3. Gaza Peace Committee: Israeli forces will withdraw beyond the "Yellow Line" after Hamas completes its disarmament. 4. Israel states it will not withdraw from its existing positions in the Gaza Strip and will continue to thwart any threats to its citizens and soldiers. 5. Former Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif warned that if Iran fails to reach a final agreement with the United States within the proposed 60-day negotiation period, it may face further economic difficulties, domestic unrest, or a new round of military strikes.Market news: Japanese IT services provider NTT Data is considering investing approximately $9 billion in Japans data center sector.August 4th - According to Nikkei, the Japanese governments proposal to reduce the food consumption tax to 1% starting next April for a period of two years was approved by the ruling partys main committee on Monday, taking a step closer to fulfilling its campaign promise, although the source of funding remains uncertain. Itsunori Onodera, chairman of the Tax System Committee, stated that the Liberal Democratic Partys Tax System and Social Security Committee has passed the draft. It is expected to be submitted to the partys highest decision-making body for deliberation as early as Wednesday. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichis government hopes to obtain cabinet approval at the beginning of the month and submit the relevant bill to the extraordinary session of the Diet in the autumn. The proposal aims to lower the tax rate from 8% to 1% starting in April. Starting in June, approximately 600 billion yen (about US$3.82 billion) in cash subsidies will be distributed annually to low- and middle-income families, with the amount fluctuating according to income levels. Takaichi has not yet specified the specific source of funding to fill the consumption tax revenue gap. The government plans to utilize non-tax revenue, tax revenue growth, and funds saved from reviewing tax incentives and subsidy policies.According to Nikkei: Japans ruling party is close to lowering the food tax rate from 8% to 1%.

Copper Beats Gold This Week With Fears of A Rate Rise

Haiden Holmes

Feb 17, 2023 11:44

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Gold prices declined on Friday as stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation statistics and hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials stoked fears of more interest rate rises, while copper prices outpaced commodity markets this week due to confidence towards China.


The U.S. producer price index inflation increased more than anticipated in January, according to statistics released on Thursday. This follows a report on the consumer price index that indicated inflation in the world's largest economy remained sticky.


James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, stated that the central bank might resume raising interest rates at a more rapid pace and raised the possibility of a 50 basis point increase in March.


Meanwhile, Loretta Mester, president of the Cleveland Fed, stated that interest rates would likely rise over 5% as the Fed fights inflation, and that the central bank should have increased rates by more than 25 basis points at its February meeting.


The dollar and Treasury rates soared in response to their remarks, as investors flocked to the greenback in anticipation of higher and safer returns. This caused a substantial outflow from gold markets.


Spot gold decreased 0.2% to $1,833.67 per ounce, whilst gold futures declined 0.5% to $1,843.75 per ounce. Prices of the yellow metal were projected to fall between 1% to 1.7% this week, marking the third consecutive week of declines.


The likelihood of rising U.S. interest rates is unfavorable for non-yielding assets such as gold, as it increases their opportunity cost. Increasing interest rates also cause investors to select the dollar as a safe-haven asset due to its higher yields.


Other precious metals declined on Friday. Platinum prices dropped 0.6% to $920.30 per ounce, a three-month low, while silver futures sank 1.2% to $21.448 per ounce, a two-and-a-half month low.


Copper prices declined on Friday but were expected to end the week in the black due to optimism on China and probable supply disruptions.


Copper futures slipped 0.2% to $4.1137 a pound and were expected to rise 2.4% this week, their highest weekly performance since the beginning of January.


Copper was also poised to end a streak of three consecutive weekly losses as China, the world's top copper importer, signaled further stimulus measures to bolster economic development. Earlier this year, China loosened the majority of anti-COVID policies, which bolstered hopes for the nation's economic recovery.


A deteriorating conflict between the government of Panama and international copper miners threatens to halt the country's copper exports, so limiting supply and driving up prices.