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Real-time News
January 15th - The Federal Reserves Beige Book showed that overall economic activity in eight of the 12 Federal Reserve districts increased at a slight to moderate pace, three districts reported no change, and one district reported a moderate decline. This is an improvement over the previous three reporting periods, when most districts reported little change in economic activity. The Beige Book indicated a slightly optimistic outlook for future activity, with most districts expecting modest to moderate growth in the coming months. The Beige Book also showed that most banks reported slight to moderate growth in consumer spending this period, primarily due to the holiday shopping season; recent employment conditions were largely unchanged, with eight of the 12 districts reporting no change in hiring activity; and prices increased at a moderate pace in the vast majority of districts, with only two districts reporting slight price increases. Cost pressures from tariffs were a common problem across all districts.Market news: A U.S. judge has refused to immediately grant Minnesotas request to block ICE enforcement operations in the state.According to the Wall Street Journal, senior European diplomats are “completely confused” about U.S. plans regarding Iran.A U.S. court said a judge will rule on Thursday via telephone hearing on the request for a temporary injunction against Statoils offshore wind farm.On January 15th, the Polish Foreign Ministry issued a statement on the evening of January 14th, urging Polish citizens to leave Iran immediately and advising against travel to Iran. That same evening, the Italian Foreign Ministry also issued a statement urging its citizens to leave Iran. Also that day, the Spanish Foreign Ministry announced that the Spanish government had formally advised all its citizens currently in Iran to leave the country as soon as possible. Reports also indicated that the UK had closed its embassy in Tehran. Previously, the United States, France, and other countries had issued similar security warnings.

Copper Beats Gold This Week With Fears of A Rate Rise

Haiden Holmes

Feb 17, 2023 11:44

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Gold prices declined on Friday as stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation statistics and hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials stoked fears of more interest rate rises, while copper prices outpaced commodity markets this week due to confidence towards China.


The U.S. producer price index inflation increased more than anticipated in January, according to statistics released on Thursday. This follows a report on the consumer price index that indicated inflation in the world's largest economy remained sticky.


James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, stated that the central bank might resume raising interest rates at a more rapid pace and raised the possibility of a 50 basis point increase in March.


Meanwhile, Loretta Mester, president of the Cleveland Fed, stated that interest rates would likely rise over 5% as the Fed fights inflation, and that the central bank should have increased rates by more than 25 basis points at its February meeting.


The dollar and Treasury rates soared in response to their remarks, as investors flocked to the greenback in anticipation of higher and safer returns. This caused a substantial outflow from gold markets.


Spot gold decreased 0.2% to $1,833.67 per ounce, whilst gold futures declined 0.5% to $1,843.75 per ounce. Prices of the yellow metal were projected to fall between 1% to 1.7% this week, marking the third consecutive week of declines.


The likelihood of rising U.S. interest rates is unfavorable for non-yielding assets such as gold, as it increases their opportunity cost. Increasing interest rates also cause investors to select the dollar as a safe-haven asset due to its higher yields.


Other precious metals declined on Friday. Platinum prices dropped 0.6% to $920.30 per ounce, a three-month low, while silver futures sank 1.2% to $21.448 per ounce, a two-and-a-half month low.


Copper prices declined on Friday but were expected to end the week in the black due to optimism on China and probable supply disruptions.


Copper futures slipped 0.2% to $4.1137 a pound and were expected to rise 2.4% this week, their highest weekly performance since the beginning of January.


Copper was also poised to end a streak of three consecutive weekly losses as China, the world's top copper importer, signaled further stimulus measures to bolster economic development. Earlier this year, China loosened the majority of anti-COVID policies, which bolstered hopes for the nation's economic recovery.


A deteriorating conflict between the government of Panama and international copper miners threatens to halt the country's copper exports, so limiting supply and driving up prices.