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1. Monday: ① Data: Switzerlands June seasonally adjusted unemployment rate; Eurozones July Sentix investor confidence index, Eurozones May PPI month-on-month rate, Eurozones May retail sales month-on-month rate; US June S&P Global Services PMI final reading, US June ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, US June Global Supply Chain Stress Index. ② Events: Speeches by Fed Governor Waller, ECB Executive Board member Schnabel, ECB Governing Council member Winsch, and Swedish Central Bank Deputy Governor Seim. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: Germanys May seasonally adjusted industrial production month-on-month rate; UKs June Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index month-on-month rate; Frances May trade balance; US ADP employment change week-on-week for the week ending June 20, US May trade balance; Chinas June foreign exchange reserves. ② Events: Turkey hosts the NATO summit until July 8; the US Trade Representatives Office holds a public hearing to consider a proposal to impose additional tariffs on 60 economies worldwide. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API crude oil inventories for the week ending July 3; Japans May trade balance; New Zealands RBNZ interest rate decision for the week ending July 8; US May wholesale sales month-on-month; US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending July 3; US EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week ending July 3; US EIA strategic petroleum reserves for the week ending July 3. ② Events: EIA releases its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report; RBNZ Governor Brehman holds a monetary policy press conference. 4. Thursday: ① Data: US 10-year Treasury auction - winning yield for the week ending July 8; US 10-year Treasury auction - bid-to-cover ratio for the week ending July 8; Chinas June CPI year-on-year rate; Germanys May seasonally adjusted trade balance; US initial jobless claims for the week ending July 4; US June existing home sales (annualized); US EIA natural gas inventories for the week ending July 3. ② Events: The Federal Reserve releases the minutes of its monetary policy meeting; the European Central Bank releases the minutes of its June monetary policy meeting; FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams delivers a speech. 5. Friday: ① Data: Germanys final June CPI month-on-month rate; Frances final June CPI month-on-month rate; Switzerlands June consumer confidence index; Canadas June employment change; Chinas June M2 money supply year-on-year rate. ② Events: SK Hynixs American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) are tentatively scheduled to list on Nasdaq on July 10; 2026 FOMC voting member and Dallas Fed President Logan delivers a speech; the IEA releases its monthly oil market report. ③ Holiday: The New Zealand Stock Exchange is closed. 6. Saturday: ① Data: Total number of US oil rigs for the week ending July 10.Two Iraqi oil officials said that Iraqs total oil exports in June amounted to approximately 24.5 million barrels.July 5th - George Gonsalves, head of U.S. macro strategy at Mitsubishi UFJ Securities Americas, said that Warshs concise style makes the June meeting minutes more significant than usual, providing a valuable perspective on the differing positions among Federal Reserve officials. "The minutes will become even more important because, until now, we didnt know what the Fed was thinking," Gonsalves said. "It will be very enlightening to see how they debated and what they focused on." He added that some investors have questioned Warshs "hands-off" approach, and many want greater transparency. Many market participants are not used to reduced information and remain quite skeptical about how long the Fed can maintain this stance. Now we can only try to decipher the meaning between the lines.On July 5th, local time, Russian Presidential Press Secretary Dmitry Peskov stated in a broadcast that Ukrainian armed forces have intensified their attacks on Russian infrastructure due to the deteriorating situation on the front lines. The Russian military is establishing a secure buffer zone along the border, and concrete results are already visible. He also stated that Russian troops are steadily advancing according to plan in special military operations areas. Peskov stated that the EUs transformation into a military-political bloc has further exacerbated the Ukraine issue. Russia hopes the EU will not undermine the prospects for peace negotiations. Peskov also stated that Russia remains open to peace negotiations and looks forward to the US playing a mediating role. Russia has always welcomed visits from US Presidential Envoy Witkov and Trumps son-in-law Jared Kushner. Even with their extended absence, Russia continues to maintain contact with the US through existing channels.July 5 - According to sources from the Yemeni military and medical departments, Houthi rebels launched an attack on Hodeidah province on the Red Sea coast on July 4, killing at least 14 Yemeni government soldiers and injuring several others.

Copper Beats Gold This Week With Fears of A Rate Rise

Haiden Holmes

Feb 17, 2023 11:44

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Gold prices declined on Friday as stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation statistics and hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials stoked fears of more interest rate rises, while copper prices outpaced commodity markets this week due to confidence towards China.


The U.S. producer price index inflation increased more than anticipated in January, according to statistics released on Thursday. This follows a report on the consumer price index that indicated inflation in the world's largest economy remained sticky.


James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, stated that the central bank might resume raising interest rates at a more rapid pace and raised the possibility of a 50 basis point increase in March.


Meanwhile, Loretta Mester, president of the Cleveland Fed, stated that interest rates would likely rise over 5% as the Fed fights inflation, and that the central bank should have increased rates by more than 25 basis points at its February meeting.


The dollar and Treasury rates soared in response to their remarks, as investors flocked to the greenback in anticipation of higher and safer returns. This caused a substantial outflow from gold markets.


Spot gold decreased 0.2% to $1,833.67 per ounce, whilst gold futures declined 0.5% to $1,843.75 per ounce. Prices of the yellow metal were projected to fall between 1% to 1.7% this week, marking the third consecutive week of declines.


The likelihood of rising U.S. interest rates is unfavorable for non-yielding assets such as gold, as it increases their opportunity cost. Increasing interest rates also cause investors to select the dollar as a safe-haven asset due to its higher yields.


Other precious metals declined on Friday. Platinum prices dropped 0.6% to $920.30 per ounce, a three-month low, while silver futures sank 1.2% to $21.448 per ounce, a two-and-a-half month low.


Copper prices declined on Friday but were expected to end the week in the black due to optimism on China and probable supply disruptions.


Copper futures slipped 0.2% to $4.1137 a pound and were expected to rise 2.4% this week, their highest weekly performance since the beginning of January.


Copper was also poised to end a streak of three consecutive weekly losses as China, the world's top copper importer, signaled further stimulus measures to bolster economic development. Earlier this year, China loosened the majority of anti-COVID policies, which bolstered hopes for the nation's economic recovery.


A deteriorating conflict between the government of Panama and international copper miners threatens to halt the country's copper exports, so limiting supply and driving up prices.