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On August 12, Bill Adams, chief U.S. economist at Fifth Third Commercial Bank, said: "The July CPI report barely met the threshold that would have prompted the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at its next meeting in September. Fed policymakers have already signaled in July that core inflation must improve between now and the September meeting in order to avoid raising interest rates."The document shows that the European Central Bank expects integration to be "challenging and enduring," noting the tensions and disagreements that exist within it.On August 12th, Karen Manna, Head of Fixed Income Investments at Federated Hermes, stated, "This expected CPI report didnt provide enough new information, nor did it give the Fed a compelling reason to change its policy direction. At the same time, the report also means that the possibility of a Fed rate hike in the fourth quarter remains. However, before taking that action, the Fed may need to see more evidence that inflation is accelerating again."On August 12, Chris Zacarelli, chief investment officer of Northlight Asset Management, said: "This CPI report was not surprising. All the data was in line with expectations. The biggest surprise was that inflation did not accelerate again. Coupled with the recent weak jobs report, this gives the Fed more time to wait and see."US-listed optical communications stocks rallied, with Lumentum up 5%, Coherent up 6%, and Marvell Technology (MRVL.O) and Corning (GLW.N) up about 5%.

Copper Beats Gold This Week With Fears of A Rate Rise

Haiden Holmes

Feb 17, 2023 11:44

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Gold prices declined on Friday as stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation statistics and hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials stoked fears of more interest rate rises, while copper prices outpaced commodity markets this week due to confidence towards China.


The U.S. producer price index inflation increased more than anticipated in January, according to statistics released on Thursday. This follows a report on the consumer price index that indicated inflation in the world's largest economy remained sticky.


James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, stated that the central bank might resume raising interest rates at a more rapid pace and raised the possibility of a 50 basis point increase in March.


Meanwhile, Loretta Mester, president of the Cleveland Fed, stated that interest rates would likely rise over 5% as the Fed fights inflation, and that the central bank should have increased rates by more than 25 basis points at its February meeting.


The dollar and Treasury rates soared in response to their remarks, as investors flocked to the greenback in anticipation of higher and safer returns. This caused a substantial outflow from gold markets.


Spot gold decreased 0.2% to $1,833.67 per ounce, whilst gold futures declined 0.5% to $1,843.75 per ounce. Prices of the yellow metal were projected to fall between 1% to 1.7% this week, marking the third consecutive week of declines.


The likelihood of rising U.S. interest rates is unfavorable for non-yielding assets such as gold, as it increases their opportunity cost. Increasing interest rates also cause investors to select the dollar as a safe-haven asset due to its higher yields.


Other precious metals declined on Friday. Platinum prices dropped 0.6% to $920.30 per ounce, a three-month low, while silver futures sank 1.2% to $21.448 per ounce, a two-and-a-half month low.


Copper prices declined on Friday but were expected to end the week in the black due to optimism on China and probable supply disruptions.


Copper futures slipped 0.2% to $4.1137 a pound and were expected to rise 2.4% this week, their highest weekly performance since the beginning of January.


Copper was also poised to end a streak of three consecutive weekly losses as China, the world's top copper importer, signaled further stimulus measures to bolster economic development. Earlier this year, China loosened the majority of anti-COVID policies, which bolstered hopes for the nation's economic recovery.


A deteriorating conflict between the government of Panama and international copper miners threatens to halt the country's copper exports, so limiting supply and driving up prices.