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July 10th - Last month, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) boosted its crude oil production to a record high. This powerfully demonstrates that Abu Dhabi has taken a bolder approach than any of its Persian Gulf neighbors in the face of supply disruptions caused by the conflict with Iran. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA) monthly report, the UAEs average daily production in June was 4.1 million barrels. This figure surpasses the peak production of 4 million barrels per day reached in 2020 during its brief price war with Saudi Arabia over OPEC+ policy. Abu Dhabis aggressive strategy has become increasingly apparent since the outbreak of the conflict, ranging from utilizing its vast fleet to chartering more vessels controlled by South Koreas Sinokor Group (which currently operates the worlds largest fleet of very large crude carriers). Many of these vessels operate in a "shadow" manner, turning off their digital transponders to transport crude oil out of the Persian Gulf undetected. The UAE announced its withdrawal from OPEC at the end of April to escape the organizations production restrictions and pursue its expansion plans. This strong resumption of production largely occurred before the surge of merchant ships in the Strait of Hormuz this week.According to Iranian reports, flight operations at Mashhad Airport in Iran are currently unaffected.The onshore yuan closed at 6.7784 against the US dollar at 16:30 on July 10, up 151 points from the previous trading day.Goldman Sachs expects the South African Reserve Bank to keep interest rates unchanged in July, following dovish comments from the bank.IEA Monthly Report: OPEC+ production is expected to increase by 5.3 million barrels per day in 2027.

Copper Beats Gold This Week With Fears of A Rate Rise

Haiden Holmes

Feb 17, 2023 11:44

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Gold prices declined on Friday as stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation statistics and hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials stoked fears of more interest rate rises, while copper prices outpaced commodity markets this week due to confidence towards China.


The U.S. producer price index inflation increased more than anticipated in January, according to statistics released on Thursday. This follows a report on the consumer price index that indicated inflation in the world's largest economy remained sticky.


James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, stated that the central bank might resume raising interest rates at a more rapid pace and raised the possibility of a 50 basis point increase in March.


Meanwhile, Loretta Mester, president of the Cleveland Fed, stated that interest rates would likely rise over 5% as the Fed fights inflation, and that the central bank should have increased rates by more than 25 basis points at its February meeting.


The dollar and Treasury rates soared in response to their remarks, as investors flocked to the greenback in anticipation of higher and safer returns. This caused a substantial outflow from gold markets.


Spot gold decreased 0.2% to $1,833.67 per ounce, whilst gold futures declined 0.5% to $1,843.75 per ounce. Prices of the yellow metal were projected to fall between 1% to 1.7% this week, marking the third consecutive week of declines.


The likelihood of rising U.S. interest rates is unfavorable for non-yielding assets such as gold, as it increases their opportunity cost. Increasing interest rates also cause investors to select the dollar as a safe-haven asset due to its higher yields.


Other precious metals declined on Friday. Platinum prices dropped 0.6% to $920.30 per ounce, a three-month low, while silver futures sank 1.2% to $21.448 per ounce, a two-and-a-half month low.


Copper prices declined on Friday but were expected to end the week in the black due to optimism on China and probable supply disruptions.


Copper futures slipped 0.2% to $4.1137 a pound and were expected to rise 2.4% this week, their highest weekly performance since the beginning of January.


Copper was also poised to end a streak of three consecutive weekly losses as China, the world's top copper importer, signaled further stimulus measures to bolster economic development. Earlier this year, China loosened the majority of anti-COVID policies, which bolstered hopes for the nation's economic recovery.


A deteriorating conflict between the government of Panama and international copper miners threatens to halt the country's copper exports, so limiting supply and driving up prices.