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The EIAs Short-Term Energy Outlook report projects natural gas prices at $3.59 per barrel in 2026, down from a previous forecast of $4.17 per barrel.On January 14th, the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its Short-Term Energy Outlook report, which stated that it predicts electricity consumption will increase by 1% in 2026 and 3% in 2027. This would be the first consecutive four-year period of growth since 2005-07, and the strongest four-year period since the turn of the century. In its forecast, the increase in electricity consumption is primarily driven by growing electricity demand from the commercial and industrial sectors. Solar power will contribute the largest increase in generation during the forecast period. It expects an additional 69 gigawatts of solar capacity to be installed during the forecast period, driving a 21% increase in solar power generation in both 2026 and 2027. It expects natural gas power generation to remain flat in 2026 and increase by 1% in 2027. Coal-fired power generation is expected to decline by 9% in 2026, followed by a decline of less than 1% in 2027.The EIAs Short-Term Energy Outlook report projects global oil production at 107.7 million barrels per day in 2026, up from the previous forecast of 107.4 million barrels per day; and projects production at 108.2 million barrels per day in 2027.The EIAs Short-Term Energy Outlook report projects U.S. oil demand at 20.6 million barrels per day in 2026, unchanged from the previous forecast; and projects demand at 20.7 million barrels per day in 2027.The EIAs Short-Term Energy Outlook report projects global oil demand at 104.8 million barrels per day in 2026, down from the previous forecast of 105.2 million barrels per day; and projects demand at 106.1 million barrels per day in 2027.

Copper Beats Gold This Week With Fears of A Rate Rise

Haiden Holmes

Feb 17, 2023 11:44

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Gold prices declined on Friday as stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation statistics and hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials stoked fears of more interest rate rises, while copper prices outpaced commodity markets this week due to confidence towards China.


The U.S. producer price index inflation increased more than anticipated in January, according to statistics released on Thursday. This follows a report on the consumer price index that indicated inflation in the world's largest economy remained sticky.


James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, stated that the central bank might resume raising interest rates at a more rapid pace and raised the possibility of a 50 basis point increase in March.


Meanwhile, Loretta Mester, president of the Cleveland Fed, stated that interest rates would likely rise over 5% as the Fed fights inflation, and that the central bank should have increased rates by more than 25 basis points at its February meeting.


The dollar and Treasury rates soared in response to their remarks, as investors flocked to the greenback in anticipation of higher and safer returns. This caused a substantial outflow from gold markets.


Spot gold decreased 0.2% to $1,833.67 per ounce, whilst gold futures declined 0.5% to $1,843.75 per ounce. Prices of the yellow metal were projected to fall between 1% to 1.7% this week, marking the third consecutive week of declines.


The likelihood of rising U.S. interest rates is unfavorable for non-yielding assets such as gold, as it increases their opportunity cost. Increasing interest rates also cause investors to select the dollar as a safe-haven asset due to its higher yields.


Other precious metals declined on Friday. Platinum prices dropped 0.6% to $920.30 per ounce, a three-month low, while silver futures sank 1.2% to $21.448 per ounce, a two-and-a-half month low.


Copper prices declined on Friday but were expected to end the week in the black due to optimism on China and probable supply disruptions.


Copper futures slipped 0.2% to $4.1137 a pound and were expected to rise 2.4% this week, their highest weekly performance since the beginning of January.


Copper was also poised to end a streak of three consecutive weekly losses as China, the world's top copper importer, signaled further stimulus measures to bolster economic development. Earlier this year, China loosened the majority of anti-COVID policies, which bolstered hopes for the nation's economic recovery.


A deteriorating conflict between the government of Panama and international copper miners threatens to halt the country's copper exports, so limiting supply and driving up prices.