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① Iran 1. Iranian Parliament Speaker: Iran and the US should jointly safeguard Lebanons territorial integrity. 2. Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson: Tehrans interactions with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will require approval from the Iranian parliament and a decision from the Supreme National Security Council. 3. Acting Iranian Defense Minister: The armed forces are on high alert; any new provocations or miscalculations by aggressors will be met with a stronger response than ever before. ② US 1. Vance: A de-escalation mechanism for the Lebanese conflict has been established. 2. Vance stated that Iran has agreed to invite IAEA inspectors for a return visit, which was refuted by Iran. 3. Trump stated that Iran will agree to accept weapons inspections to ensure its long-term "nuclear integrity." 4. US officials stated that the US has established a "monitoring mechanism" for the situation in Lebanon. 5. Trump: If Iran does not comply with the agreement, I will take necessary measures. ③ Israel 1. Israel stated that it will continue to take action to destroy military facilities in southern Lebanon. 2. Israeli Prime Minister: The Israel Defense Forces can operate freely in southern Lebanon to counter threats. ④ Ceasefire Negotiations 1. Qatar and Pakistan Joint Statement: The first round of high-level talks between the US and Iran has concluded, and all parties have finalized a 60-day roadmap. 2. Iranian Foreign Ministry: Technical talks between Iran and the US have begun in Switzerland. 3. Irans chief negotiator: An agreement on unfreezing $12 billion in Iranian assets has been finalized. 4. Vance said the Swiss negotiations were productive, but warned, "Dont trust anyone." 5. Iranian President: Iran will never yield to excessive demands. ⑤ Strait of Hormuz 1. British media: More than 400 ships waited in the Strait of Hormuz during the Iran-US consultations. 2. Iranian Parliament Speaker: The Strait of Hormuz will be managed according to the mechanism established by Iran. 3. Joint Maritime Information Center (JMIC): The maritime security threat level in the Strait of Hormuz has been downgraded to "moderate." 4. Irans chief negotiator: An agreement has been reached to establish communication channels regarding the passage of ships in the Strait of Hormuz. ⑥ Other Circumstances 1. The Iranian President will visit Pakistan on Tuesday. 2. The U.S. Treasury Department issued a 60-day temporary general license authorizing Iran to sell oil. 3. It is reported that Iran exported 30 million barrels of crude oil in the week before the U.S. sanctions waiver. 4. Hezbollah leader: Will respond to any Israeli aggression. Federal Reserves Goolsby: Federal Reserve Chairman Warshs approach is to reduce speculation on interest rates and reduce forward guidance; I quite agree with this approach.Federal Reserves Goolsby: In my view, we need to determine whether this inflation will continue.Federal Reserves Goolsby: Evidence is needed to prove that this inflation is temporary; inflation in the services sector is slightly worrying.Federal Reserves Goolsby: We have not yet experienced a stagflation shock, and the labor market has remained stable.

Copper Beats Gold This Week With Fears of A Rate Rise

Haiden Holmes

Feb 17, 2023 11:44

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Gold prices declined on Friday as stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation statistics and hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials stoked fears of more interest rate rises, while copper prices outpaced commodity markets this week due to confidence towards China.


The U.S. producer price index inflation increased more than anticipated in January, according to statistics released on Thursday. This follows a report on the consumer price index that indicated inflation in the world's largest economy remained sticky.


James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, stated that the central bank might resume raising interest rates at a more rapid pace and raised the possibility of a 50 basis point increase in March.


Meanwhile, Loretta Mester, president of the Cleveland Fed, stated that interest rates would likely rise over 5% as the Fed fights inflation, and that the central bank should have increased rates by more than 25 basis points at its February meeting.


The dollar and Treasury rates soared in response to their remarks, as investors flocked to the greenback in anticipation of higher and safer returns. This caused a substantial outflow from gold markets.


Spot gold decreased 0.2% to $1,833.67 per ounce, whilst gold futures declined 0.5% to $1,843.75 per ounce. Prices of the yellow metal were projected to fall between 1% to 1.7% this week, marking the third consecutive week of declines.


The likelihood of rising U.S. interest rates is unfavorable for non-yielding assets such as gold, as it increases their opportunity cost. Increasing interest rates also cause investors to select the dollar as a safe-haven asset due to its higher yields.


Other precious metals declined on Friday. Platinum prices dropped 0.6% to $920.30 per ounce, a three-month low, while silver futures sank 1.2% to $21.448 per ounce, a two-and-a-half month low.


Copper prices declined on Friday but were expected to end the week in the black due to optimism on China and probable supply disruptions.


Copper futures slipped 0.2% to $4.1137 a pound and were expected to rise 2.4% this week, their highest weekly performance since the beginning of January.


Copper was also poised to end a streak of three consecutive weekly losses as China, the world's top copper importer, signaled further stimulus measures to bolster economic development. Earlier this year, China loosened the majority of anti-COVID policies, which bolstered hopes for the nation's economic recovery.


A deteriorating conflict between the government of Panama and international copper miners threatens to halt the country's copper exports, so limiting supply and driving up prices.