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August 4th - The U.S. trade deficit narrowed in June as imports declined for the first time since the beginning of the year, with the decline affecting multiple sectors. Data released by the U.S. Commerce Department on Tuesday showed that the U.S. trade deficit in goods and services fell 5.6% in June from the previous month to $73.3 billion. Imports fell 1.8%, while exports fell 0.9%. Trade data shows that net exports continued to drag down economic growth this quarter. U.S. trade data has fluctuated significantly in recent months due to factors such as constantly changing tariff policies, supply chain disruptions caused by the Middle East war, and large-scale corporate investment in artificial intelligence. Although the U.S. Supreme Court rejected many import tariffs imposed by the Trump administration in the first quarter, the government is still seeking other ways to impose tariffs on imported goods. From 2025 to the beginning of this year, imports of computers, peripherals, and related components increased significantly as companies actively invested in artificial intelligence. However, the latest trade report shows that imports of computers and semiconductors slowed in June. Imports of broader capital goods categories, including related equipment, also declined for the first time since September of last year.Federal Reserves Paulson: He hopes to weigh the pros and cons of the FOMC meeting six times a year versus eight times a year.Federal Reserves Paulson: The economy is strong, but inflation is too high.Federal Reserves Paulson: Monetary policy is facing a complex moment.Federal Reserves Paulson: I hope to see more progress on underlying inflation.

Copper Beats Gold This Week With Fears of A Rate Rise

Haiden Holmes

Feb 17, 2023 11:44

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Gold prices declined on Friday as stronger-than-expected U.S. inflation statistics and hawkish statements from Federal Reserve officials stoked fears of more interest rate rises, while copper prices outpaced commodity markets this week due to confidence towards China.


The U.S. producer price index inflation increased more than anticipated in January, according to statistics released on Thursday. This follows a report on the consumer price index that indicated inflation in the world's largest economy remained sticky.


James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, stated that the central bank might resume raising interest rates at a more rapid pace and raised the possibility of a 50 basis point increase in March.


Meanwhile, Loretta Mester, president of the Cleveland Fed, stated that interest rates would likely rise over 5% as the Fed fights inflation, and that the central bank should have increased rates by more than 25 basis points at its February meeting.


The dollar and Treasury rates soared in response to their remarks, as investors flocked to the greenback in anticipation of higher and safer returns. This caused a substantial outflow from gold markets.


Spot gold decreased 0.2% to $1,833.67 per ounce, whilst gold futures declined 0.5% to $1,843.75 per ounce. Prices of the yellow metal were projected to fall between 1% to 1.7% this week, marking the third consecutive week of declines.


The likelihood of rising U.S. interest rates is unfavorable for non-yielding assets such as gold, as it increases their opportunity cost. Increasing interest rates also cause investors to select the dollar as a safe-haven asset due to its higher yields.


Other precious metals declined on Friday. Platinum prices dropped 0.6% to $920.30 per ounce, a three-month low, while silver futures sank 1.2% to $21.448 per ounce, a two-and-a-half month low.


Copper prices declined on Friday but were expected to end the week in the black due to optimism on China and probable supply disruptions.


Copper futures slipped 0.2% to $4.1137 a pound and were expected to rise 2.4% this week, their highest weekly performance since the beginning of January.


Copper was also poised to end a streak of three consecutive weekly losses as China, the world's top copper importer, signaled further stimulus measures to bolster economic development. Earlier this year, China loosened the majority of anti-COVID policies, which bolstered hopes for the nation's economic recovery.


A deteriorating conflict between the government of Panama and international copper miners threatens to halt the country's copper exports, so limiting supply and driving up prices.