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On April 12, US President Trump issued a new threat to Iran, saying, "At the appropriate time, we will be fully ready and our military will end the remaining forces in Iran."April 12 - Explosions and gunfire were heard in Kabul, the capital of Afghanistan, on April 12 local time.The China Earthquake Networks Center officially reported that a magnitude 3.6 earthquake occurred at 21:27 on April 12 in Zizhong County, Neijiang City, Sichuan Province (29.67 degrees north latitude, 104.88 degrees east longitude), with a focal depth of 10 kilometers.1. Monday: ① Data: US March existing home sales (annualized); China March M2 money supply (annualized). ② Events: OPEC releases monthly oil market report; International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank hold spring meetings until April 17; Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda visits the US from April 13 to 18 to attend G20 and IMF meetings. ③ Earnings: Goldman Sachs. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: US March NFIB Small Business Confidence Index; US March PPI (year-on-year); US March PPI (month-on-month); China March trade balance (in USD); China March trade balance. ② Events: Federal Reserve Board hosts "Strengthening the US Economy through Rural Investment: Working Forum"; IEA releases monthly oil market report; IMF releases World Economic Outlook report. ③ Holiday: National Stock Exchange of India closed. ④ Earnings: JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API and EIA crude oil inventory data for the week ending April 10; final French March CPI month-on-month rate; Eurozone February industrial production month-on-month rate; Canadian February wholesale sales month-on-month rate; US April New York Fed Manufacturing Index, US March Import Price Index month-on-month rate, US April NAHB Housing Market Index. ② Events: The National Energy Administration releases total electricity consumption data around the 15th of each month; Bank of England Governor Bailey participates in a panel discussion at Columbia University; 2027 FOMC voting member and Chicago Fed President Goolsby participates in a panel discussion before the Semafor 2026 World Economic Conference; Fed Governor Barr delivers opening remarks at a working forum hosted by the Fed Board of Governors; Philadelphia Fed President Paulson, Richmond Fed President Barkin, Boston Fed President Collins, and Fed Governor Barr participate in a fireside chat at the Fed Board of Governors working forum; ECB President Lagarde delivers a speech. ③ Earnings Reports: Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, ASML. 4. Thursday: ① Data: Australias seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in March; Chinas first-quarter GDP year-on-year, Chinas March retail sales of consumer goods year-on-year, Chinas March industrial value-added year-on-year; UKs three-month GDP month-on-month in February, UKs February manufacturing output month-on-month, UKs seasonally adjusted goods trade balance in February, UKs February industrial production month-on-month; Eurozones final March CPI year-on-year rate, Eurozones final March CPI month-on-month rate; US initial jobless claims for the week ending April 11, US April Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, US March industrial production month-on-month, US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending April 10. ② Events: Federal Reserve Governor Bowman speaks at the Institute of International Finance Forum; the Federal Reserve releases its Beige Book on economic conditions; Bank of England Governor Bailey speaks on global economic imbalances on the sidelines of an IMF meeting; the National Bureau of Statistics releases its monthly report on residential sales prices in 70 major and medium-sized cities; the State Council Information Office holds a press conference on the operation of the national economy; FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President Williams speaks; the G20 finance ministers and central bank governors meeting is held. ③ Earnings Report: TSMC. 5. Friday: ① Data: Eurozone February seasonally adjusted current account, Eurozone February seasonally adjusted trade balance. 6. Saturday: ① Data: Total number of US oil rigs for the week ending April 17. ② Event: 2027 FOMC voting member and Richmond Fed President Barkin speaks.On April 12, local time, US President Trump posted on social media that the US-Iran talks had reached an agreement on "most issues," but failed to reach an agreement on the key issue of "nuclear weapons." Trump said the US had been briefed on the talks, which lasted approximately 20 hours, but Iran "was unwilling to give up its nuclear ambitions." Trump stated that the US would continue to push for negotiations, but was "fully prepared." He reiterated that Iran "will never possess nuclear weapons."

The Most Overlooked Trading Strategy: Sticking to the Strategy

Charlie Brooks

Mar 24, 2022 16:14

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Are you someone who has traded almost every forex strategy, method, and EA in existence... and yet you continue to lose money hand over fist? If it seems similar, I can assure you one thing: you are not alone. Most merchants of all skill levels were present.


What may surprise you is that it may not be the strategy that is failing you, but rather you.


You see, certain strategies work part of the time, while others work the majority of the time...


However, no strategy works 100% of the time. The capacity to sit through the downturn phase of any strategy will make or break any novice to the market on their path to being consistently successful.


The irony is that the first strategy you probably traded in your trading career is unlikely to perform as well as the strategy you traded yesterday. Except you've most likely moved on from both. Perhaps you became frustrated while waiting for the returns you had hoped or anticipated this trading strategy would offer. Perhaps you just did not want to deal with the agony of losing any more money.


But what if you discovered that all of the rule-based forex strategies available work? You'd probably be a touch pessimistic. However, if you only trade when your strategy instructs you to, in a mechanical manner, you will effectively eliminate the noise and anomalies that occur in the market.


After all, you should only – and I mean only — trade when you have a good technical setup that meets your entry criteria, right? Remember that no strategy consistently succeeds and generates profits. You can simply determine a strategy's success rate by observing how it performed over a certain time period or number of trades (eg. A sample of 20 trades).


However, as previously said, what makes a trader successful in trading their chosen forex strategy is their capacity to stick with it - even when faced with hardship.


However, for many market newcomers, this is little more than an uncomfortable fact. Many novices trade for the wrong reasons, and their expectations are often unsustainable. They often have an emotional tie to the result of the trade (ie; the euphoria of making money from a winning trade Vs the pain of giving money away to the market from a losing trade). As a result, in their quest for the silver bullet, they flutter from strategy to strategy like a dog chasing his tail.


Suffice it to say, they don't comprehend variance, which states that the frequency of both winning and losing trades is random. The inexperienced trader may have unintentionally begun trading a very lucrative strategy at the outset of its loss period. After two or three failed trades, they will move on to the "next best thing" — anything that will save them from losing additional money... Only to learn that by doing so, they have removed themselves from the flow of opportunity and from the running to profit from a streak of profitable trades.

Does this ring a bell?

Sure enough, their equity curve for that strategy may seem negative in comparison to someone else's extremely lucrative curve who has traded that strategy for months or years.

Summary

By adhering to a single trading strategy in "illness and in riches," you will maintain yourself in the opportunity flow and the resulting frequency of wins and losses.


Remember that winning and losing trades from any strategy are analogous to waiting for a city bus; sometimes they all come at the same time or there is a considerable delay.


It is our responsibility as professional traders to remain in this flow while observing the important "make or break" abilities of patience and discipline in order to create a long-term success of it.


Simply choose a strategy that fits your personality and trading availability and give it a fair hearing over a reasonable amount of time.