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July 14th - According to foreign media reports, South Koreas ruling party is pushing for amendments to relevant laws to make it easier for chipmaker SK Hynix to form joint ventures with external investors to build wafer fabs. Current law prohibits joint ventures between subsidiaries of subsidiaries. If the amendment is passed, SK Hynix will be able to attract external capital for its new wafer fab projects, provided it retains at least a 50% stake in the relevant joint venture. SK Hynix is a subsidiary of SK Square, which in turn is a subsidiary of the SK Group. The lawmakers proposing the amendment stated in the bills explanation that South Korea must "rapidly build wafer fabs to compete with other major countries and companies," as companies can no longer afford such massive investment costs through traditional financing methods alone. The lawmakers also stated that the amendment requires the headquarters or main offices of newly established joint ventures to be located outside the Seoul metropolitan area to align with the governments policy of promoting regional economic development.According to the Financial Times: As Brexit affects Gibraltar, starting this week, British citizens flying from the UK to Gibraltar will have to go through the EUs controversial new electronic border system.According to the Financial Times, U.S. small-cap stocks surged as investors turned their attention away from large-cap tech stocks.July 14th - According to foreign media reports, ahead of escalating tensions and the US announcement of a renewed blockade of Iranian ports, Iran has begun secretly transporting oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz in recent days. Ship tracking data shows that six Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) sanctioned by the US transited the Strait of Hormuz into the Gulf of Oman in the past week, with their Automatic Identification System (AIS) transponders turned off. These six tankers can collectively carry 12 million barrels of crude oil. These vessels, along with other ships linked to Iran, completed their voyages after the US revoked its temporary permit for Iranian crude oil sales on July 7th. In addition to the aforementioned six Iranian VLCCs, numerous other ships sanctioned by the US and linked to Tehran have also departed the Strait of Hormuz since July 7th. These vessels are part of the 57 million barrels of crude oil that Iran successfully exported between two rounds of US naval blockades.On July 14th, futures market news reported that yesterday, as tensions escalated, including the US continuing its attacks on Iran and reimposing a blockade on Iranian oil exports, oil prices surged. Currently, WTI crude oil has rebounded to around $80 per barrel, and Brent crude has climbed back above $85 per barrel, showing significant gains. Zhuochuang Information predicts that continued attention will be paid to the consequences of the renewed US-Iran attacks. Against the backdrop of heightened tensions, crude oil prices are generally expected to remain strong, but the possibility of Trump resuming peace talks also needs to be monitored. If talks are initiated, oil prices will likely fall rapidly. Therefore, overall volatility is expected to be high.

The EURGBP sustains modest gains over the mid-0.8700s, but lacks bullish conviction

Daniel Rogers

Nov 14, 2022 18:48

The EURGBP cross advances for a second day in a row on Monday and continues its modest intraday gains into the start of the European session. The cross is currently located above the middle of 0.87, but lacks bullish conviction and follow-through buying.

 

The common currency continues to receive some support from wagers on an aggressive policy tightening by the European Central Bank (ECB). In contrast, the negative economic projection for the United Kingdom devalues the British Pound. In reality, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) projects that the United Kingdom's fourth-quarter GDP growth would be flat and the likelihood of a recession remains high. It is thought that this will strengthen the EURGBP cross.

 

However, the chance that the Bank of England will increase interest rates further operates as a tailwind for the British pound. Aside from this, a slight US Dollar recovery from a near three-month low exerts some pressure on the Euro and, at least for the time being, limits any meaningful gain for the EURGBP cross. Ahead of this week's crucial UK macro data - the monthly jobs report on Tuesday and the CPI report on Wednesday - traders remain reluctant to place risky wagers.

 

The Monetary Policy Report Hearings at the Bank of England on Wednesday and the Autumn Statement by Chancellor Jeremy Hunt on Thursday will provide markets with extra advice. This will play a vital role in shaping the near-term GBP sentiment and the next leg of the EURGBP cross's directional move. In the lack of market-moving economic data from either the Eurozone or the United Kingdom, it is anticipated that spot prices would stabilize within a range.