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June 17th - According to foreign media reports on the 16th, the memorandum of understanding reached between the United States and Iran includes a $300 billion private fund aimed at stimulating investment in Iran, with more than half of the amount already pledged. The report, citing sources, stated that the fund aims to "provide economic incentives for both sides to facilitate a final agreement," and is a "private investment vehicle" that does not include any government funds or grants. Currently, companies headquartered in the United States, Gulf states, and Asia, South America, and Africa have pledged funds, covering sectors such as energy, logistics, manufacturing, and transportation.① Iran 1. The Central Headquarters of the Iranian Armed Forces, Hatem-Anbia, accused Israel of violating the Lebanese ceasefire agreement 84 times in the past two days and warned that Iran would respond militarily if the violations continued. 2. The Iranian Revolutionary Guard: Hezbollah in Lebanon has performed very strongly in the recent war, and Hezbollah will never be destroyed. ② United States 1. Israeli media: Some US refueling aircraft have begun to withdraw from Israel. 2. Reports indicate that the US military is secretly transshipping Gulf oil following Irans model. 3. Reports indicate that the US will allow Iran to immediately resume oil export sales. 4. Trump: We are not in a hurry to acquire (Irans) nuclear materials. When the time is right, we will destroy Irans nuclear materials. ③ Israel 1. Israel Defense Forces: The Air Force intercepted rockets launched from Lebanon. 2. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu: Iran will not acquire nuclear weapons regardless of whether an agreement is reached. ④ Strait of Hormuz 1. Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister: The US has lifted its blockade against Iran to some extent. 2. US intelligence agencies: Iran still has the capability to close the Strait of Hormuz again. 3. Iranian Vice President: Tehran will maintain control of the Strait of Hormuz. ⑤ Ceasefire Negotiations 1. Trump says US-Iran agreement negotiations have entered the second phase. 2. Saudi media releases the terms of the 14-point US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding. 3. Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf states that Israel must withdraw its troops from Lebanon. 4. US Vice President Vance: No US funds will be provided to Iran. 5. Israeli media: Israel requested to see the US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding documents but was refused. 6. The US-Iran framework agreement proposes a $300 billion private fund, which will not involve government funds. 7. Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokespersons Advisor: Irans missile program and its support for regional allies are not negotiable. 8. Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister: Ghalibaf will attend the signing ceremony of the US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding. The next phase of negotiations will discuss nuclear issues including uranium enrichment, nuclear stockpiles, and Irans nuclear needs. 9. Trump: The Lebanon conflict is a small war and will not affect the Iran agreement; the Iran agreement explicitly prohibits Iran from possessing nuclear weapons; the full text of the agreement will be released soon, and he may even read it word for word on camera. 10. Hezbollahs media liaison office stated that Hezbollah has received a commitment from Iran that Iran will not sign a final nuclear agreement with the United States unless Israel withdraws its troops from Lebanon. 11. Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi: We will discuss the nuclear issue in the final stage of negotiations. The end of the Lebanon war is a necessary condition for the end of the war with Iran.Market news: ExxonMobil will supply liquefied natural gas to South Africa to help the country reduce its reliance on coal.According to sources familiar with the matter, Amazon (AMZN.O) may face a lawsuit from the U.S. Federal Trade Commission for allegedly misleading advertisers, and could face billions of dollars in civil penalties.U.S. API crude oil production for the week ending June 12 decreased by 17,000 barrels per day, compared to 262,000 barrels per day in the previous week.

NZDUSD consolidates near 0.6100, closing below Friday's two-month peak

Alina Haynes

Nov 14, 2022 18:54

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The NZDUSD pair struggles to capitalize on last week's breakthrough momentum through the 100-day Simple Moving Average, bouncing between moderate gains and slight losses throughout Monday's early European session. The pair is currently trading slightly below the 0.6100 level, practically flat on the day, and remains close to Friday's two-month high.

 

A convergence of variables permits the US Dollar to stabilize at its lowest level since mid-August, acting as a headwind for the NZDUSD pair. In response to Christopher Waller's more hawkish remarks on Sunday, U.S. Treasury bond yields rise. It is expected that this, along with a softer tone on equity markets, will benefit the safe-haven dollar and exert some downward pressure on the risk-averse New Zealand dollar.

 

Waller indicated during a conversation in Sydney, Australia, that the markets had overreacted to October's weaker-than-expected consumer price inflation numbers. Waller stated that the Federal Reserve was not lessening its fight against inflation and that a string of moderate CPI readings would be required for the US central bank to soften its approach. This increases US Treasury bond yields and helps support USD demand, notwithstanding the lack of confidence in the intraday rise.

 

A greater possibility that the Federal Reserve will slow the pace of its policy tightening discourages USD bulls from placing risky trades. Moreover, optimism surrounding a likely rollback of COVID-19 measures in China supports the NZD/USD pair and restricts its downside. Therefore, the subdued intraday price movement can be characterized as a bullish consolidation phase, meaning that any significant pullback is likely to be purchased and remain confined.

 

The United States is not slated to provide any market-moving economic data on Monday, leaving the USD at the mercy of US bond yields. Traders will also consider Lael Brainard's anticipated Fed governor address. Together with the broader risk sentiment, this will be analyzed for short-term trading opportunities in the NZDUSD pair prior to the release of Chinese economic data on Tuesday.

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