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The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note fell to a six-month low of 3.6550% and was last at 3.6611%.On April 4, local time on April 3, U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Robert Kennedy Jr. said that about 20% of the layoffs in the Department of Government Efficiency were wrong and needed to be corrected. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services laid off about 10,000 people on the 1st. Kennedy said that people who should not have been laid off were laid off, and the department is restoring their positions. Kennedy said that canceling the entire lead poisoning prevention and monitoring department of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention was one of the mistakes. At present, it is unclear what other projects Kennedy may plan to restore.Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Will consider the impact of food costs on consumers.On April 4, local time on the 3rd, the automobile company Stellantis said that due to the impact of the US import automobile tariff policy, the company decided to lay off 900 employees in its five US factories and suspend production operations at two assembly plants in Canada and Mexico. Antonio Filosa, Chief Operating Officer of Stellantis Americas, said that the US factories that were laid off were powertrain and stamping parts factories, which produced spare parts for two assembly plants in Canada and Mexico. According to the plan, the assembly plant in Canada will stop production for two weeks, and the assembly plant in Toluca, Mexico will suspend production throughout April. Filosa said the company is "continuing to evaluate the medium- and long-term impact of tariffs on operations."Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda: Non-weather factors may push up food prices.

The Australian dollar shrinks gains against the US dollar, but the outlook remains negative

Oct 26, 2021 11:04

After meeting resistance above 0.7300 on Thursday (October 7), the Australian dollar against the US dollar reduced its gains in the European market, despite the rebound in market risk appetite.


The latest round of decline in the Australian dollar may be related to the overall slight rebound of the US dollar. The alleviation of the energy crisis, the progress of the US debt ceiling issue, and market optimism have all restricted attempts to hedge the dollar upwards.

On the other hand, the Australian dollar continued to look for support from the recent surge in natural gas prices, and US natural gas prices soared by 40% on Wednesday. Australia is a net exporter of natural gas and a major exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the world.

Later, the market will pay attention to the number of initial jobless claims in the United States to seek further hints from Friday's non-agricultural employment data, especially after the strong ADP employment data almost confirms that the Fed will begin to reduce the scale of debt purchases in November. Traders are also waiting for Friday's Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) monetary policy statement.

AUD/USD technical outlook


Karen Jones, head of fixed income technical analysis at Commerzbank, said that as long as the exchange rate is below the 0.7370 area, the outlook for the Australian dollar against the US dollar is expected to remain negative.

Karen Jones said that the recent strength of the Australian dollar against the US dollar is seen as a corrective rebound. The market’s recent upward move is constrained by the 4-month downward trend line at 0.7370, and we will retain the negative bias. Initial resistance is located at the 50-day moving average of 0.7307.

We expect the Australian dollar to fall to the August low of 0.7106. The key support level remains at 0.7062/0.6991. This represents the lows of September and November 2020. A break below 0.6991 will trigger a further fall to the 0.6760 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the 2020-2021 volatility.

(Australian dollar against the dollar daily chart)

At 18:47 GMT+8, the Australian dollar was quoted at 0.7289 against the US dollar.