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Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock will hold a monetary policy press conference in ten minutes.June 16 – The 68th meeting of the Standing Committee of the 14th National Peoples Congress (NPC) was held on the morning of June 16 at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing. Chairman Zhao Leji presided over the meeting. The meeting decided that the 23rd session of the Standing Committee of the 14th NPC will be held in Beijing from June 23 to 26. The meeting recommended that the 23rd session of the Standing Committee of the 14th NPC deliberate on the State Councils proposals regarding the draft revisions to the Bidding and Tendering Law, the draft Financial Law, the draft revisions to the Law of the Peoples Bank of China, and the draft decision authorizing the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region to exercise jurisdiction over the Hong Kong side of the Huanggang Port and related extended areas.The yield on Japans 5-year government bonds rose 5 basis points to 1.915%.The Central Bank of Ukraine projects foreign aid of $53 billion this year, $42 billion in 2027, and $22 billion in 2028.On June 16th, Takashi Fujiwara, Chief Fund Manager at Resona Asset Management, stated that the Bank of Japans (BOJ) statement explicitly indicated that short- and medium-term real interest rates are negative. This could mean the BOJ does not want ultra-long-term bond yields to rise further. Simultaneously, this could also be a signal from the BOJ that if short- and medium-term interest rates remain low, businesses can easily raise funds and potentially expand into higher-risk sectors. The BOJ discussed the economy and prices side-by-side in its statement. This could indicate the BOJs willingness to raise interest rates further. Even if the opening of the Strait of Hormuz slows price increases, the BOJ can still use economic growth as justification for raising interest rates.

The AUD/NZD exchange rate has dropped below 1.0300 on hawkish RBNZ bets

Alina Haynes

Aug 12, 2022 12:09

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The AUD/NZD exchange rate dropped from 1.0500 to 1.0400, and has since been trading sideways. For the asset to record a new weekly bottom, the kiwi bulls would have to push the cross below the immediate support of 1.0300. Bullish expectations for the New Zealand dollar were supported by the publication of a strong Business New Zealand PMI.

 

Greater than both the predicted 52.5 and the prior figure of 50, the Business NZ PMI has now reached 52.7. Because of this, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will be pleased with its efforts to reduce inflation. The RBNZ's monetary policy meeting next week will result in an interest rate announcement. The Official Cash Rate (OCR) is expected to be increased by Governor Adrian Orr for the fourth time in a row, by 50 basis points (bps). The OCR will go up to 3% after a comparable notification is made.

 

An OCR hike by the RBNZ to 4.00% by mid-2023 is predicted by a Reuters poll. It is forecasted that inflation will drop to levels below the 2%-3% target during the first half of 2023. At last, the RBNZ's goal of price stability appears to be within reach.

 

There was little relief for the Aussie bulls despite statistics showing that Australian consumers expect inflation to be lower than it actually is. The Reserve Bank of Australia will become less hawkish if the Australian Consumer Inflation Predictions, which reflect consumer predictions of future inflation over the next 12 months, fall.


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