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South Korean customs: South Korea imported 10.8 million tons of crude oil in November, compared with 11.3 million tons in the same period last year.On December 14th, according to a report by Ukraines Interfax news agency, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that the US demand for a unilateral withdrawal of Ukrainian troops from eastern Ukraine and the establishment of a "free economic zone" there is "unfair," and Ukraine needs to realistically view the peace process. Zelenskyy told the media that according to the USs "compromise plan," Russian troops would not be allowed to enter parts of eastern Ukraine, while Ukrainian troops would withdraw from these areas and establish a "free economic zone." "I think this is unfair because there is no stipulation on who will manage the economic zone," Zelenskyy said. He added that if Ukrainian troops withdraw, Russian troops should also withdraw, a problem that currently "has no answer, but is very sensitive and thorny." If a "buffer zone" is established along the military contact line, with only police deployed to maintain order, and troops withdrawn, "then the problem becomes very simple."December 14 - According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, a magnitude 4.9 earthquake struck off the coast of the Noto Peninsula, Japan, at approximately 11:26 PM local time on December 14, with a depth of 10 kilometers. There is no risk of a tsunami.On December 14th, the Financial Times analysis pointed out that given ECB President Christine Lagardes view that the bank is in "good shape," investors unanimously expect the ECB to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2% next week, instead focusing on its economic forecasts. Lagarde stated this week that ratemakers may again raise their growth forecasts for the Eurozone at their meeting. These stronger growth forecasts, along with persistent inflation, have recently led traders to increase their bets on an ECB rate hike next year. However, as the potential shift in monetary policy direction remains controversial, and this change has only recently been reflected in swap market pricing, traders will pay particular attention to clues about the timing of rate hikes; any adjustments to policy signals are expected to be subtle. George Moran, a Eurozone economist at RBC Capital Markets, said he expects the ECB not to raise rates in 2026 because "cyclical tailwinds are likely temporary." He added that the ECB has "made it clear that it does not want to overreact to temporary deviations from its targets."On December 14th, according to the Ukrainian National News Agency, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy told the media that he had informed members of the Verkhovna Rada (parliament) to prepare contingency plans for a possible election soon. Zelenskyy said, "Most importantly, I will not cling to the presidency. I believe Ukraine should be prepared for any changes." He said he had asked partners for help in resolving election security issues, and he had also informed Verkhovna Rada members to prepare contingency plans for a possible election soon. Zelenskyy said he had received "signals" from the United States and President Trump regarding the Ukrainian presidential election, adding, "Whether these signals come only from the United States or also from Russia, I do not want to comment at this time."

A decrease in the AUD/USD rate toward 0.7100 is caused by weak Chinese data

Alina Haynes

Aug 15, 2022 14:53

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AUD/USD decreases near 0.7100, down 0.08% intraday to 0.7120 at press time, as Monday's Asian session's data dump from China proves to be poorer than expected and adds to the cautious market mood. Investors may be uneasy as a result of the minutes from the most recent monetary policy meeting of the Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) (Fed).

 

Retail sales in China plummeted to 2.7% from 5.0% expected and 3.1% previously, while industrial production (IP) fell to 3.8% from 3.9% previously and 4.0% expected by the market.

 

In an effort to deter bears, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) earlier in the day lowered the one-year medium-term lending facility (MLF) rates by 10 basis points (bps). The market's confidence was further increased by Japan's GDP growth numbers that were better than anticipated. However, the mood towards Sino-American relations is put into question by the growing number of US MPs visiting Taiwan concurrently with US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's tour to Taiwan.

 

The market's concerns about inflation were eased by weaker readings of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Producer Price Index (PPI) outside of the US. However, in order to manage inflation, Thomas Barkin, president of the Richmond Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank, declared on Friday that he plans to raise interest rates even more. "I'd love to see a period of persistent inflation control, and until that occurs, I believe we will have to boost rates into restrictive zone," Barkin reportedly said to CNBC, according to Reuters. The Fed hawks who continued to support higher interest rates included Presidents Mary Day of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Neel Kashkari of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, and Charles Evans of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

 

AUD/USD traders should concentrate on the August NY Empire State Manufacturing Index, which is predicted to be 8.5 versus the previous reading of 1.1, after observing the early market response to China's monthly data dump. The downside is elusive ahead of Tuesday's RBA Minutes, Wednesday's Australia Wage Price Index for the second quarter, and Thursday's Australian jobs report, despite the fact that lower US PMI data could put pressure on the AUD/USD bulls. Aside from the RBA Minutes, news about China and US ties will excite traders of the Aussie pair.

 

A sluggish RSI at the top suggests that AUD/USD bulls are losing steam as the 200-day simple moving average limits immediate AUD/USD gains around 0.7120. As of the time of publication, the price must continue above the last resistance level from late April, or 0.6990, for the bearish movements to materialize.