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On August 17th, Reuters claimed on the 15th to have obtained an "exclusive report," stating that according to a draft letter from the U.S. State Department and anonymous U.S. officials, the U.S. government plans to send letters to more than 30 countries that signed the Joint Statement on Partnership for Artificial Intelligence Opportunities in June, demanding that they "choose" sides in the U.S.-China artificial intelligence (AI) race. The U.S. also threatened that if these countries participate in the China-led AI framework, they will be excluded from the U.S.-led "AI alliance." Chinese experts stated that the U.S., by using the "Silicon Peace" initiative to woo more than 20 economies, is now forcing countries to choose sides, which smacks of technological bullying.On August 17, the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, together with the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the Ministry of Natural Resources, the Ministry of Water Resources, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the Supreme Peoples Court, and the Supreme Peoples Procuratorate, issued a "Notice on Further Strengthening the Prevention and Control of Wastewater Pollution Risks from Industry and Other Industries and Ensuring the Safety of Agricultural Irrigation Water." The notice requires the upgrading and transformation of centralized wastewater treatment facilities in industrial parks surrounding farmland, the investigation and rectification of water-related problems in industry and livestock farming, and the formulation and revision of local water pollutant emission standards for industrial enterprises whose characteristic pollutants may affect the safety of downstream agricultural irrigation water, strengthening emission control requirements.August 17th - Data released on Monday showed that Japans second-quarter real GDP grew by 0.3% quarter-on-quarter and 1.1% annualized quarter-on-quarter, compared to expectations of 0.5% and 2%, respectively. The lower-than-expected GDP growth complicates the process of further interest rate hikes by the Bank of Japan. Flat private consumption and a sharp contraction in capital spending in the second quarter indicate that the private sector remains cautious about spending, which could lead the Bank of Japan to adopt a more prudent stance at its next meeting, despite persistently high PPI and CPI continuing to pressure policymakers to take action. The yen may face renewed pressure due to the weak economic growth outlook, especially if the market lowers the probability of a September rate hike; meanwhile, government bond yields may decline as short-term tightening expectations weaken. While external demand partially offset this impact, it alone is unlikely to change the overall moderate economic trend.On August 17th, Futures News reported that the 7.7 magnitude earthquake on Flores Island, Indonesia, had a relatively small impact on the aluminum industry chain. In terms of production capacity distribution, bauxite, alumina, and the vast majority of electrolytic aluminum production capacity are concentrated in western Indonesia, generally more than 1400 kilometers from the epicenter. Even the nearest electrolytic aluminum plant—Huaqing Aluminum in Morowali, Sulawesi—is about 624 kilometers away, still outside the 300-kilometer damage radius. Coupled with the tsunami wave height of less than 0.4 meters, the actual supply impact was almost zero. In terms of prices, at most, there will be a short-term sentiment pulse of 0-1%, which is expected to be reversed within 1-3 days, without changing the medium-term trend.The Nikkei 225 index opened 115.75 points higher on Monday, August 17, a gain of 0.17%, to 68,829.55.

The AUD/NZD Exchange Rate Retests Its Monthly Low Below 1.0850 As Aussie Inflation and GDP Decline

Alina Haynes

Mar 01, 2023 11:53

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The AUD/NZD pair has been heavily offered by market players after the Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for the prior month experienced a sharp drop. Additional rate increases are anticipated even though RBA Governor Philip Lowe already increased the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 3.25 percent in an effort to curb sticky inflation. This is because it would be imprudent to proclaim success in the struggle against rising price pressures.

 

Other than the Aussie inflation statistics, the Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) estimates came in below expectations. The Australian Bureau of Statistics published a decrease in GDP (Q4) data from the consensus estimate of 0.8% and the Q3 number of 0.6% to 0.5%. When annualized, the Economy has met forecasts at 2.7%.

 

The New Zealand Dollar and the Australian Dollar will continue to trade despite the release of the Caixin Manufacturing PMI data. IHS Markit is expected to show an increase in economic data to 50.2 from 49.2 in the prior release.

 

While the consensus forecast called for a 1.5% rise, this week's New Zealand Retail Sales (Q4) figures showed a 0.6% decline. Future inflation in New Zealand is likely to be moderated by a decline in household demand because businesses will be compelled to give products and services at reduced rates to maintain present demand levels.