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On September 19th, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Stournaras stated that the ECB must be wary of upward inflation risks but should not act hastily. He noted that while a second-round effect through channels such as wages has not yet materialized, this situation cannot be taken for granted. "We are seeing a series of ongoing supply-side shocks that cannot be simply ignored. At the same time, there are strong demand factors due to fiscal expansion and the AI investment boom. We must remain vigilant." With more than a month until the next policy decision, Stournaras said he has not yet made a decision, and the various economic outlook forecasts prepared by the ECB may provide some guidance. "If inflation surges in September, or if rising energy costs clearly put us in an adverse scenario, then a rate hike in October cannot be ruled out. But if there are some doubts, we will not take any action but will wait for the next round of forecasts." Stournaras emphasized that this weeks Fed rate hike also helped the ECB, stating, "The Feds rate decision enhanced its credibility and also enhanced the credibility of global monetary policy, because the Fed and the dollar play a central role."September 19th - The French government stated that its draft budget for 2027 will meet EU recommendations, despite the countrys debt burden being projected to exceed 120% of economic output. The French Budget Ministry stated in a statement on Saturday that the budget plan projects net primary spending to increase by 0.7%, while the European Commission recommends an increase of no more than 1.2%. France is struggling to control its public finances amid weak economic growth and rising interest costs. On Thursday, the government announced that this years fiscal trajectory has deviated from its target, with the budget deficit projected to rise to 5.4% of GDP, while the previous fiscal law aimed to slightly narrow the deficit to 5%. The French Budget Ministry stated that the draft budget submitted to the public finance oversight body aims to reduce spending as a percentage of economic output to 56.9% by 2027, from 57.1% in 2026. On the same basis, tax revenue will account for 44.2%. Under this plan, Frances debt ratio is projected to rise from 119.3% this year and 115.7% in 2025 to 121.7% of economic output in 2027.On September 19, a spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce answered a reporters question regarding the US signing the "Graham Act of 2026 on Sanctions Against Russia and Iran" into law. China has consistently opposed unilateral sanctions lacking UN authorization and a basis in international law, and opposes so-called secondary sanctions against other countries based on the involvement of third parties. China has always conducted normal economic and trade cooperation with all countries in the world on the basis of equality and mutual benefit. Such cooperation is neither targeted at any third party nor subject to interference or coercion from any third party. We will continue to closely monitor subsequent US actions and reserve the right to take all necessary measures to firmly safeguard Chinas national sovereignty and development interests, as well as the legitimate rights and interests of its enterprises. We hope the US will work with China to maintain stable economic and trade relations through dialogue and consultation, and make greater contributions to maintaining world trade order and the security and stability of global supply chains.On September 19, the General Office of the Peoples Government of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region recently issued the "15th Five-Year Plan for the Development of Guangxis Financial Industry." The plan states that by 2030, the overall strength of the financial industry will be significantly enhanced, the quality and efficiency of financial services to the real economy will be comprehensively improved, the function of Guangxi as a financial gateway to ASEAN will be fully upgraded, artificial intelligence and the financial industry will be deeply integrated, the financial market service system will be further optimized, financial governance capabilities and risk prevention and control levels will be significantly improved, the system and mechanism for the Partys leadership over financial work will be further improved, and a modern financial system that matches the positioning of "one region, two places, one park, and one channel" and adapts to the requirements of Guangxis chapter in Chinas modernization will be established.September 19th - At 18:50 Beijing time on September 19, 2026, my country successfully launched the Zhuzhou Space PIESAT-2 13-16 satellites into their predetermined orbit using a Long March-2D carrier rocket from the Taiyuan Satellite Launch Center. The launch mission was a complete success. This mission marked the 668th flight of the Long March series carrier rockets.

The AUD/JPY exchange rate fluctuates below 90.00 as investors await BoJ action

Alina Haynes

Jan 18, 2023 15:03

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In the early Asian session, the AUD/JPY currency pair is bouncing violently in a narrow range below the resistance level of 90.00. Before the Bank of Japan introduces its first monetary policy of CY2023, the risk barometer indicates a sideways auction (BoJ). The AUD/JPY exchange rate reflects the consolidation of the AUD/USD, indicating an uncertain risk profile.

 

Investors anticipate that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will not alter its policy stance on Friday, as doing so would increase financial market risk and hinder efforts to boost inflation. Previously, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced that the central bank will review the negative side effects of the decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy, generating the impression that the central bank is eager to abandon the easy policy.

 

The experts at Standard Charted expect the Bank of Japan to hold both the policy balance rate and the 10-year yield goal at their present levels of -0.1% and 0%, respectively. The recent decision to expand the 10-year JGB band to +/-50 bps (from +/-25 bps) will be evaluated by policymakers at the December meeting.

 

The replacement of current Governor of the Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda will be widely followed. The next BoJ governor nominee is anticipated to be presented to the Japanese parliament on February 10, Reuters reported on Tuesday. Amamiya, Nakaso, and Yamaguchi are regarded as leading C.banking candidates.

 

Thursday is the expected publication date for Australian employment statistics, which investors are monitoring. The Unemployment Rate is expected to remain constant at 3.4%, according to the majority of economists. Aside from this, the Australian economy must have added 22,500 new jobs to the labor market in December, a down from the prior rises of 64K.