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March 24th - ING economists stated that the Bank of Japan may ignore the recent slowdown in inflation and focus instead on price risks. Initial wage negotiations were encouraging, and the Middle East conflict appears to have had little impact. The decline in the preliminary PMI reflects recent oil supply shocks and a decrease in new orders, which has indeed increased concerns about the outlook. However, the overall data remains above 50, indicating that businesses believe geopolitical risks are temporary. Stubborn core inflation, PMI data, and wage negotiations increase the likelihood of an April rate hike, but the specific timing remains uncertain. The Middle East situation will play a key role in the Bank of Japans decision-making. If the situation stabilizes and there are no signs of a decline in production or consumption, an April rate hike would be more likely.Philippine Economic Planning Secretary: If oil prices continue to rise, this years inflation rate may exceed the target range of 2% to 4%.US Critical Minerals Advisor Kroon: The US will continue to provide financing support for Australias strategic metals projects.Fitch: If oil prices rise to $128 per barrel in the second quarter of 2026 and to $100 per barrel for the whole of 2026, some sovereign countries in the Asia-Pacific region may face negative rating pressure.On March 24, Li Chenggang, Vice Minister of Commerce and International Trade Representative, met with Temasek Holdings Chairman Zhang Zhixian on March 23. The two sides exchanged views on Chinas economic development, the international situation, and China-Singapore economic and trade cooperation. Li Chenggang stated that the current world is fraught with uncertainty, with rising unilateralism and protectionism, and escalating geopolitical conflicts severely disrupting the international economic and trade order and impacting international economic and trade cooperation. China firmly supports multilateralism and free trade, upholds the multilateral trading system with the World Trade Organization at its core, promotes a more just and reasonable international economic and trade order, and achieves inclusive economic globalization. Li Chenggang pointed out that Chinas formulation and implementation of the 15th Five-Year Plan will further promote high-level opening-up, using the certainty of high-quality development to address various uncertainties. China will continue to embrace the global market, focusing on building a super-large domestic market to provide more opportunities for multinational corporations. Temasek is welcome to continue investing in China to achieve win-win cooperation.

The AUD/JPY exchange rate fluctuates below 90.00 as investors await BoJ action

Alina Haynes

Jan 18, 2023 15:03

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In the early Asian session, the AUD/JPY currency pair is bouncing violently in a narrow range below the resistance level of 90.00. Before the Bank of Japan introduces its first monetary policy of CY2023, the risk barometer indicates a sideways auction (BoJ). The AUD/JPY exchange rate reflects the consolidation of the AUD/USD, indicating an uncertain risk profile.

 

Investors anticipate that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will not alter its policy stance on Friday, as doing so would increase financial market risk and hinder efforts to boost inflation. Previously, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced that the central bank will review the negative side effects of the decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy, generating the impression that the central bank is eager to abandon the easy policy.

 

The experts at Standard Charted expect the Bank of Japan to hold both the policy balance rate and the 10-year yield goal at their present levels of -0.1% and 0%, respectively. The recent decision to expand the 10-year JGB band to +/-50 bps (from +/-25 bps) will be evaluated by policymakers at the December meeting.

 

The replacement of current Governor of the Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda will be widely followed. The next BoJ governor nominee is anticipated to be presented to the Japanese parliament on February 10, Reuters reported on Tuesday. Amamiya, Nakaso, and Yamaguchi are regarded as leading C.banking candidates.

 

Thursday is the expected publication date for Australian employment statistics, which investors are monitoring. The Unemployment Rate is expected to remain constant at 3.4%, according to the majority of economists. Aside from this, the Australian economy must have added 22,500 new jobs to the labor market in December, a down from the prior rises of 64K.