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July 10th - Last month, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) boosted its crude oil production to a record high. This powerfully demonstrates that Abu Dhabi has taken a bolder approach than any of its Persian Gulf neighbors in the face of supply disruptions caused by the conflict with Iran. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA) monthly report, the UAEs average daily production in June was 4.1 million barrels. This figure surpasses the peak production of 4 million barrels per day reached in 2020 during its brief price war with Saudi Arabia over OPEC+ policy. Abu Dhabis aggressive strategy has become increasingly apparent since the outbreak of the conflict, ranging from utilizing its vast fleet to chartering more vessels controlled by South Koreas Sinokor Group (which currently operates the worlds largest fleet of very large crude carriers). Many of these vessels operate in a "shadow" manner, turning off their digital transponders to transport crude oil out of the Persian Gulf undetected. The UAE announced its withdrawal from OPEC at the end of April to escape the organizations production restrictions and pursue its expansion plans. This strong resumption of production largely occurred before the surge of merchant ships in the Strait of Hormuz this week.According to Iranian reports, flight operations at Mashhad Airport in Iran are currently unaffected.The onshore yuan closed at 6.7784 against the US dollar at 16:30 on July 10, up 151 points from the previous trading day.Goldman Sachs expects the South African Reserve Bank to keep interest rates unchanged in July, following dovish comments from the bank.IEA Monthly Report: OPEC+ production is expected to increase by 5.3 million barrels per day in 2027.

The AUD/JPY exchange rate fluctuates below 90.00 as investors await BoJ action

Alina Haynes

Jan 18, 2023 15:03

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In the early Asian session, the AUD/JPY currency pair is bouncing violently in a narrow range below the resistance level of 90.00. Before the Bank of Japan introduces its first monetary policy of CY2023, the risk barometer indicates a sideways auction (BoJ). The AUD/JPY exchange rate reflects the consolidation of the AUD/USD, indicating an uncertain risk profile.

 

Investors anticipate that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will not alter its policy stance on Friday, as doing so would increase financial market risk and hinder efforts to boost inflation. Previously, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) announced that the central bank will review the negative side effects of the decade-long ultra-loose monetary policy, generating the impression that the central bank is eager to abandon the easy policy.

 

The experts at Standard Charted expect the Bank of Japan to hold both the policy balance rate and the 10-year yield goal at their present levels of -0.1% and 0%, respectively. The recent decision to expand the 10-year JGB band to +/-50 bps (from +/-25 bps) will be evaluated by policymakers at the December meeting.

 

The replacement of current Governor of the Bank of Japan Haruhiko Kuroda will be widely followed. The next BoJ governor nominee is anticipated to be presented to the Japanese parliament on February 10, Reuters reported on Tuesday. Amamiya, Nakaso, and Yamaguchi are regarded as leading C.banking candidates.

 

Thursday is the expected publication date for Australian employment statistics, which investors are monitoring. The Unemployment Rate is expected to remain constant at 3.4%, according to the majority of economists. Aside from this, the Australian economy must have added 22,500 new jobs to the labor market in December, a down from the prior rises of 64K.

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