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ECB Governing Council member Simkus: The economic environment is extremely fragile.ECB Governing Council member Simkus: Interest rates are at a neutral level, and economic growth is close to its potential level.February 9th - Analysts point out that gold prices rebounded above $5,000 per ounce, influenced by a weaker dollar and traders awaiting key US data releases later this week. ANZ analysts stated, "Investors have reaffirmed their long-term bullish view on precious metals." Research data shows that despite recent sell-offs, large institutional investors remain optimistic about gold, a view echoed by the Peoples Bank of China, which increased its gold holdings for the 15th consecutive month in January. Traders are currently awaiting US non-farm payroll data and the Consumer Price Index for further clues regarding the path of interest rate cuts.February 9th Futures News: The following are the warehouse receipts and changes for various commodities traded on the Shanghai Futures Exchange: 1. International copper futures warehouse receipts: 12,564 tons, a decrease of 103 tons from the previous trading day; 2. Alumina futures warehouse receipts: 242,626 tons, an increase of 242,626 tons from the previous trading day; 3. Low-sulfur fuel oil warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 23,140 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 4. Zinc futures warehouse receipts: 31,264 tons, an increase of 176 tons from the previous trading day; 5. Medium-sulfur crude oil futures warehouse receipts: 3,464,000 barrels, unchanged from the previous trading day; 6. Stainless steel warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 53,463 tons, an increase of 5,723 tons from the previous trading day; 7. Lead futures warehouse receipts: 40,773 tons, an increase of 4,968 tons from the previous trading day; 8. Pulp warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 131,447 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 9. 10. Pulp mill futures warehouse receipts: 15,000 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 112,570 tons of natural rubber futures warehouse receipts, an increase of 500 tons from the previous trading day; 243,776 tons of hot-rolled coil futures warehouse receipts, an increase of 23,197 tons from the previous trading day; 6,337 tons of tin futures warehouse receipts, a decrease of 379 tons from the previous trading day; 51,004 tons of TSR20 rubber futures warehouse receipts, unchanged from the previous trading day; 318,546 kg of silver futures warehouse receipts, a decrease of 31,354 kg from the previous trading day; 104,052 kg of gold futures warehouse receipts, unchanged from the previous trading day; 32,270 tons of butadiene rubber futures warehouse receipts, an increase of 32,270 tons from the previous trading day; 17. Fuel oil futures warehouse receipts: 0 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 18. Petroleum asphalt plant warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 26,490 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 19. Petroleum asphalt warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 13,580 tons, unchanged from the previous trading day; 20. Aluminum futures warehouse receipts: 164,512 tons, an increase of 8,979 tons from the previous trading day; 21. Nickel futures warehouse receipts: 51,721 tons, an increase of 447 tons from the previous trading day; 22. Rebar warehouse futures warehouse receipts: 15,710 tons, a decrease of 305 tons from the previous trading day; 23. Copper futures warehouse receipts: 157,128 tons, a decrease of 3,044 tons from the previous trading day.ECB Governing Council member Simkus: The probability of the next rate hike or cut is 50/50.

The AUD/JPY Rebounds to Near 93.00 Ahead of the RBA's Monetary Policy Statement

Daniel Rogers

May 06, 2022 10:01

The AUD/JPY pair has recovered significantly following strong bids near 92.30. The risk barometer fell precipitously earlier this month in the aftermath of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) surprise rate hike on May 3.

 

RBA Governor Philip Lowe announced a 25 basis point (bps) rate raise to 0.35 percent, exceeding the initial prediction of 15 bps. The higher-than-expected rate hike was prompted by Australia's increasing inflation. Previously, the Australian Bureau of Statistics announced annual inflation in Australia at 5.1 percent, far higher than forecasts of 4.6 percent and the prior print of 3.5 percent. Price pressures have compelled the RBA to adopt a hawkish tone and include a rate hike in its policy statement. Investors will now be watching for the issuance of the RBA's monetary policy statement (MPS), which will detail the rationale for the rate hike decision. Additionally, it will provide an update on the present state of crucial economic indicators.

 

Meanwhile, the Japanese yen is underperforming following the conclusion of its pullback season. Bank of Japan's (BOJ) ultra-loose monetary policy will continue to torment yen bulls. The BOJ is projected to provide additional assistance in the future, as the Japanese economy has not yet recovered to pre-pandemic levels. Tokyo's Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in at 2.5 percent, far higher than the 1.9 percent expected and the 1.3 percent prior reading. This may compel the BOJ to adopt a more neutral tone.

AUD/JPY

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