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On January 9th, a research report from CITIC Securities stated that the Hang Seng Composite Index will undergo a new round of review on February 13th, with the adjustments officially taking effect on March 9th. The Hong Kong Stock Connect will also be adjusted accordingly. We expect 38 stocks to be included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect, with information technology, healthcare, materials, and consumer discretionary sectors having higher market capitalization weightings. A-shares and H-shares do not need to wait for periodic adjustments; they can be directly included in the Hong Kong Stock Connect after a price stabilization period. Therefore, one stock may have already been included before March 9th. We also suggest investors pay attention to timing opportunities between the Hang Seng Composite Index announcement date and the Hong Kong Stock Connect effective date. Furthermore, since some arbitrage funds may position themselves before the Hong Kong Stock Connect takes effect, while passive funds often adjust their positions on the trading day before the effective date, some less liquid stocks may experience a surge in trading volume at the end of the day.Market news: South Korean President Lee Jae-myung will visit Japan from January 13 to 14.US Treasury Secretary Bessenter: We will not force institutional investors to withdraw from real estate investments.According to the Wall Street Journal, Nvidia (NVDA.O) has hired Google veteran Alison Wagonfeld as its first chief marketing officer.On January 9th, German Chancellor Merz stated on January 8th that the proposed formation of a "multinational force" to be deployed to Ukraine after a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine would not be feasible without Russias consent. Merz made these remarks after attending a closed-door meeting of the Christian Social Union (CSU) in Bavaria, southern Germany. He noted that the leaders of Germany, France, and the United Kingdom agreed in December to sign a memorandum of understanding with Ukraine regarding the deployment of troops, but this involved security guarantees for Ukraine after a ceasefire agreement. Merz emphasized that a ceasefire must be achieved first, followed by security guarantees for Ukraine and a long-term agreement with Russia; this order must be followed. All of the above would be impossible without Russias consent.

EUR/JPY Drops Below Weekly High of 138.00 as Japan Returns from Vacation

Alina Haynes

May 06, 2022 10:07

EUR/JPY strengthens bids to retest intraday highs near 137.60, edging closer to a weekly high during Friday's lively Asian session.

 

The cross-currency pair's recent advances could be attributed to rising US Treasury rates, which typically act as a drag on JPY pricing. Additionally, the difference in monetary policy between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan is likely to have helped EUR/JPY purchasers (BOJ).

 

It's worth mentioning that recent EUR/JPY gains have overlooked robust Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April, which showed a 2.5 percent YoY increase versus the projected 1.9 percent and 1.3 percent previously. Additionally, the disappointment from German Factory Orders was thought to have weighed on the pair's upside, but did not. The European powerhouse's main industrial activity data fell by the most in five months the previous day, to -4.7 percent, compared to -1.1 percent projected and a corrected preceding release of -0.8 percent.

 

The S&P 500 Futures contract fell 0.33 percent, while US 10-year Treasury yields increased five basis points (bps) to 3.07 percent at the latest.

 

Moving forward, a light calendar in Europe and Japan may not disappoint EUR/JPY momentum traders, as the US employment report and risk catalysts are generating significant market movement.

Analyses Techniques

EUR/JPY continues oriented towards a late April swing bottom between 138.25-30 unless it breaks below the 21-DMA level near 137.00.

Significant Additional Levels

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