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On September 12, officials from the U.S. engineers union stated that Boeing (BA.N) and its union reached a provisional contract agreement on Friday. This four-year proposal includes a higher general wage increase than the first proposed plan. The first plan was overwhelmingly rejected by members of the Society of Professional Engineers in Aerospace Engineering (SPEEA) in a vote on August 21. If approved, approximately 17,000 members in SPEEAs professional and technical divisions would receive a 10% pay rise on October 16, followed by a 4% annual increase between 2027 and 2030, plus performance-based increases. Ben Nimgurt, Boeings vice president of production engineering and chief competency engineer, stated in a statement, "Our final contract addresses the primary concerns raised by employees and the SPEEA negotiating team, including immediate pay rises and a larger, guaranteed pay pool." According to the union, the latest proposal also includes adjustments to remote work policies and overtime restrictions for professional division members.On September 12th, a research report from Huatai Securities stated that the unexpectedly strong core inflation in August makes a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve a "must-have," further increasing the credibility risk of a September rate hike. Following the much stronger-than-expected non-farm payrolls in August and the escalating tensions in the Middle East pushing oil prices above $100, the August CPI data has become the core variable for the market pricing in whether the Fed will raise rates in September. The core CPI inflation in August rose more than expected, and the core services ex-housing component, which the Fed focuses on, did not show further signs of slowing down. Meanwhile, concerns about high oil prices due to low inventory levels, the transmission of AI price increases to downstream industries, and a new round of tariffs in certain regions could all disrupt the process of declining US inflation. Looking ahead, CPI data may push neutral voting members, represented by Walsh, to turn hawkish at the September FOMC meeting, reducing the resistance to a September rate hike due to internal divisions within the Fed; August data also cleared obstacles to a rate hike. If Walsh fails to deliver on his hawkish promises made at the August Jackson Hole meeting in September, the Feds credibility will be more challenged, and long-term Treasury yields will be more difficult to control.September 12 - The Democratic Republic of Congos Ministry of Health released an epidemic report on the 11th, showing that the countrys current Ebola outbreak has resulted in a total of 7,022 confirmed cases, including 3,398 deaths and 1,671 recoveries.Artificial Intelligence: 1. DeepSeek conducts gray-scale testing of AI voice dialogue, supporting four voice timbres. 2. The Kimi K2.8 Preview model from The Dark Side of the Moon is fully launched on Kimi Code, with overall performance approaching that of K3. 3. OpenAI confirms that its AI agent, currently under testing, launched a cyberattack on RubyGems in May of this year. 4. DeepSeek will continue to provide V4 Pro API call services: originally scheduled to be taken offline on September 14, the billing method remains unchanged. 5. Anthropic is reportedly in talks with Nvidia to become an anchor investor in its IPO, with Nvidia potentially investing up to $10 billion. Integrated Circuits (Chips): 1. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang reiterated that the company can achieve 70% year-on-year growth next year. 2. South Korean media reports that a new round of semiconductor contract manufacturing agreement negotiations between Qualcomm and Samsung Electronics has stalled due to disagreements on pricing. New Energy Vehicles: 1. Nine departments, including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, issued the "15th Five-Year Plan for the Development of the Intelligent Connected New Energy Vehicle Industry". Other: 1. Tianbing Technology: The failure of the maiden flight test of the Tianlong-3 Y1 carrier rocket has been resolved. 2. The Cyberspace Administration of China, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology jointly issued the "Action Plan for High-Quality Development of Digital Villages (2026-2030)".On September 12th, according to a report by The Wall Street Journal on Friday, OpenAI agent developers participated in a previously undisclosed cyberattack that overwhelmed RubyGems, the official manager of the Ruby language. The report stated that OpenAI confirmed its AI agents in testing used RubyGems to access the internet as part of a harmless task to obtain publicly available information during training. This incident occurred in May of this year, two months before another incident involving OpenAI agents and the AI platform HuggingFace. Security researchers dubbed the attack "GemStuffer," in which agents created a batch of RubyGems accounts every two to three minutes and downloaded hundreds of web pages collected from the internet. The scale of the test was so large that RubyGems was forced to suspend new account registrations for four days.

EUR/JPY Drops Below Weekly High of 138.00 as Japan Returns from Vacation

Alina Haynes

May 06, 2022 10:07

EUR/JPY strengthens bids to retest intraday highs near 137.60, edging closer to a weekly high during Friday's lively Asian session.

 

The cross-currency pair's recent advances could be attributed to rising US Treasury rates, which typically act as a drag on JPY pricing. Additionally, the difference in monetary policy between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan is likely to have helped EUR/JPY purchasers (BOJ).

 

It's worth mentioning that recent EUR/JPY gains have overlooked robust Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for April, which showed a 2.5 percent YoY increase versus the projected 1.9 percent and 1.3 percent previously. Additionally, the disappointment from German Factory Orders was thought to have weighed on the pair's upside, but did not. The European powerhouse's main industrial activity data fell by the most in five months the previous day, to -4.7 percent, compared to -1.1 percent projected and a corrected preceding release of -0.8 percent.

 

The S&P 500 Futures contract fell 0.33 percent, while US 10-year Treasury yields increased five basis points (bps) to 3.07 percent at the latest.

 

Moving forward, a light calendar in Europe and Japan may not disappoint EUR/JPY momentum traders, as the US employment report and risk catalysts are generating significant market movement.

Analyses Techniques

EUR/JPY continues oriented towards a late April swing bottom between 138.25-30 unless it breaks below the 21-DMA level near 137.00.

Significant Additional Levels

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