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February 2nd - With Kevin Warshs nomination as Federal Reserve Chairman, market focus has abruptly shifted from short-term interest rates to the Feds $6.6 trillion balance sheet and its fundamental role in the market. Zach Griffiths, Head of Investment Grade Bonds and Macro Strategy at CreditSights, noted, "He has consistently been a vocal critic of the Feds balance sheet expansion." Warsh hopes to fundamentally reverse the trend of asset expansion and push for other reforms. However, this move will face complex challenges, directly impacting not only long-term interest rates but also the core markets upon which large global financial institutions rely for daily interbank lending. If policymakers agree to shrink the balance sheet, the transmission effect in the market could lead to a conflict between the Feds and the governments goals of reducing long-term borrowing costs. This could force the Treasury or other US agencies to become more deeply involved in market management, which will face even greater challenges given the continued rise in total borrowing demand and the already over $30 trillion national debt. PGIM points out that if Warshs predictions are true, then the pressure to regulate will shift to the Treasury.February 2nd - On February 1st local time, Mexican President Sinbaum announced plans to send humanitarian aid to Cuba, including food and other basic necessities, while simultaneously seeking to resume oil shipments to Cuba "through all diplomatic channels" despite US restrictions. On the evening of January 31st, US President Trump publicly stated that he had asked Sinbaum to halt oil shipments to Cuba. On the same day, Mexican Foreign Minister De la Fuente responded that Mexico would not suspend humanitarian aid to Cuba.February 2nd - On February 1st local time, US President Trump, answering reporters questions about Iran at Mar-a-Lago, stated his hope that "a deal can be reached." Responding to Iranian Supreme Leader Khameneis warning that a US strike would trigger a regional war, Trump said that if a deal cannot be reached, "then well see if he (Khamenei) is right." Trump emphasized to reporters that the US has deployed "the worlds largest and most powerful ships" in the region. Earlier that day, Iranian Foreign Minister Araqchi stated that Iran "remains confident" of reaching an agreement with the US on the nuclear issue.Domestic News: 1. The State Taxation Administration clarified the threshold for value-added tax (VAT) collection and management. 2. Wang Yi held strategic communication with Sergei Shoigu, Secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation. 3. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC): Investors should closely monitor changes in precious metal prices and reasonably control their position size. 4. The first-month performance reports of emerging electric vehicle manufacturers in the new year are released. Xiaomi, Wenjie, and HarmonyOS performed well, while BYDs production and sales both declined. 5. Guotou Silver LOF: Trading will be suspended from the opening of the market on February 2nd until 10:30 am on the same day. The daily price fluctuation limit after resumption of trading will be 10%. 6. China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom announced: The scope of application of VAT on telecommunications services has been adjusted, and the tax rate has increased to 9%, which will affect the companys revenue and profits. International News: 1. The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament announced that the armies of European countries will be considered "terrorist organizations." 2. US media: The Speaker of the US House of Representatives said he is confident that the partial government shutdown will end by Tuesday. 3. Zelensky: A new round of trilateral talks between Ukraine, the US, and Russia will be held on February 4th and 5th. 4. Saudi stocks suffered their biggest drop since June last year due to geopolitical factors and a gold price plunge. 5. Indias budget: 400 billion rupees will be allocated to support the semiconductor manufacturing industry. 6. Indias stock market held a special trading session on Sunday due to the budget, with metal stocks and ETFs suffering heavy losses. 7. OPEC+ statement: Eight member countries will maintain their original plan to suspend increases in oil production in March. 8. US-Iran situation—① It is reported that high-ranking US and Israeli military officials held intensive talks this weekend to discuss a strike against Iran. ② Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei stated that if the US launches a war this time, it will trigger a regional conflict. ③ Iranian officials: Media reports about the Revolutionary Guard planning military exercises in the Strait of Hormuz are incorrect. ④ US media: The US military is strengthening its air defense deployment in the Middle East to prepare for potential action against Iran.OPEC+ Statement: The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) reiterated the importance of full compliance with oil production targets.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk's Late Disclosure of His Twitter Holdings May Irritate The SEC

Aria Thomas

Apr 06, 2022 09:45

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Musk stated on Monday that he had acquired a 9.2 percent interest in Twitter, making him the microblogging site's top stakeholder and sparking a more than 27 percent increase in the company's stock. According to the petition, the occurrence that necessitated the disclosure occurred on March 14, 2022.


Securities legislation in the United States mandates notification within ten days after purchasing 5% of a corporation, and Musk missed the 10-day deadline on March 24. According to Urska Velikonja, a legal professor at Georgetown University Law Center, a late report might result in a civil penalty of up to $207,183 per infringement.


That is a financial slap on the wrist for Musk, who Forbes estimates has a net worth of $302 billion, but analysts believe the SEC might investigate market manipulation claims around the Twitter stock purchase and pursue heavier punishment in an ongoing inquiry into his Tesla stock transactions.


"This is not a gray area at all. He obtained it but failed to file within ten days. This is an infraction. Thus, from the SEC's standpoint, this is a slam-dunk case," Adam C. Pritchard, a law professor at the University of Michigan Law School, said.


Additionally, Musk filed a "13G" disclosure form for investors who want to hold their shares passively, despite the fact that Musk will assume a seat on the Twitter board in order to press for reform at the firm on Tuesday.


This implies he should have submitted the "13D" form, which is used by activist investors, executives, and directors with the potential to influence an issuer's management and policies, according to multiple attorneys.


Eleazer Klein, co-chair of Schulte Roth & Zabel worldwide Shareholder Activism Group, said Musk's use of the 13G form was improper and that authorities may have grounds to investigate.


Musk revised his prior filing on Tuesday, submitting the 13D form to declare a change in his position from a passive investor to an active investor.


The SEC is already looking into Musk's Nov. 6, 2021, tweet in which he asked his followers whether he should sell 10% of his Tesla share.


Musk is also constrained by a 2018 SEC settlement, which compels him to acquire pre approval for certain statements after his tweet claiming to have "financing secured" to take Tesla private. According to the SEC, he cheated investors.


Musk claims that the SEC is pestering him in bad faith in an attempt to penalize him for criticizing the government, and he is trying to get the transaction canceled.


Pritchard said that the SEC might "advise a judge that he is a recidivist violation of the securities laws who requires severe punishment."


Tesla and the Securities and Exchange Commission did not reply to requests for comment.


Tesla's stock fell 4.7 percent on Tuesday.

"ACTUAL DANGERS"

Musk also made remarks regarding Twitter after his acquisition but before declaring his interest.


Musk tweeted a poll on March 25: "Free expression is critical to a functioning society." Do you feel Twitter sticks to this policy to the letter?"


A day later, Musk said that he was considering "seriously" developing a new social networking site.


"Musk is taking significant risks here," Velikonja of Georgetown Law stated. Musk was playing a game with SEC officials, she claimed, saying, "'Stop me if you can, but you can't." She added, "I do believe the SEC will look long and hard at whether they can bring manipulation charges in addition to the failure to file."


Musk has recently been critical of Twitter's regulations, accusing the business of violating free speech ideals.


"One may argue that his social media statements regarding prospective Twitter replacements are a type of market manipulation intended to impact the share price, but proving that is tough," said Howard Fischer, a former SEC counsel and partner at law firm Moses & Singer.


"The fact that the disclosure of Musk's ownership resulted in a price increase that increased the value of Musk's stock is something the SEC may investigate."


Twitter's stock has soared since Musk acquired a stake in the company in mid-March. The stake, which was valued at around $2.4 billion at the March 14 closing price, increased to $3.7 billion as of Monday's closing price.


Additionally, certain well-timed deals in Twitter options days before Musk disclosed his acquisition had options experts scratching their heads.


The SEC would almost certainly investigate if anybody who was aware of the purchase of the shares traded in advance of the filing, according to Jacob Frenkel, a former SEC enforcement attorney and head of Dickinson Wright's government investigations and securities enforcement practice.


"I believe that would be the emphasis instead than the delay," Frenkel said.