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June 29th - A rare heatwave is sweeping across Europe. On the 27th local time, record high temperatures were broken in Germany, the Czech Republic, and other regions, while governments in Hungary, Poland, and other countries issued nationwide heatwave warnings. The high temperatures in many European countries have spurred demand for air conditioners, fans, and other related products. Driven by strong cross-border e-commerce channels, orders for cooling products made in China have increased significantly, becoming a new growth point for foreign trade exports this summer. Zheng Li, International Trade Director of a company in Ningbo, Zhejiang, stated that from January to May this year, the shipment volume of ice machines to Europe increased by over 70% compared to the same period last year, accounting for about 15% of total sales.① Iran 1. Iranian Foreign Minister: The Straits of Hormuz will be completely under Iranian control within the next 30 days; any intervention will delay the reopening of the Straits. 2. Iranian Foreign Minister calls for the establishment of a “security framework” with Gulf states. 3. Leaders of the Iranian and Lebanese parliaments spoke by phone minutes ago to discuss bilateral issues, particularly the situation in Lebanon. 4. Iran urges the United States to set a timetable for Israel’s “unconditional” withdrawal from Lebanon. ② United States 1. US Ambassador to the United Nations: Iran must choose responsibility or destruction. ③ Israel 1. Israeli Prime Ministers Office: The Israeli military has destroyed Hezbollah’s underground infrastructure in a village in southern Lebanon; Israel notified the United States of the attack in advance. The military will continue to destroy Hezbollah infrastructure to eliminate the threat to northern towns. ④ US-Iran Negotiations 1. Israeli i24NEWS reporter reports that the US-Iran negotiations scheduled for Sunday have been canceled. 2. Iranian officials say Iran did not participate in the technical negotiations scheduled for Sunday due to recent attacks and unfulfilled conditions. 3. Iraqi Foreign Minister: Willing to mediate between the US and Iran to end the war. 4. US media: The US and Iran have agreed to halt mutual attacks and will meet in Qatar this week to resolve the dispute over the Strait of Hormuz. ⑥ Other developments: 1. Israeli military: Hamas naval commander killed in Gaza attack. 2. According to the Associated Press: Pakistan claims it conducted ground operations and strikes in the Afghan border region, resulting in the deaths of 29 militants.June 29 (AP) -- Pakistani officials said security forces conducted an intelligence-based ground operation along the Pakistan-Afghanistan border on Sunday, followed by "precision strikes" on militant hideouts and shelters, killing 29 militants. Pakistani Information Minister Attra Talal said the operation was in response to multiple militant attacks across the country. The previous day, militants armed with guns and explosives attacked the regional headquarters of the paramilitary group Rangers in the southern port city of Karachi, killing three soldiers. Security forces killed three attackers and arrested another, identified by the military as a wounded Afghan national. The Pakistani Talibans separatist faction, the Free Peoples Party, claimed responsibility for the Karachi attack in a statement released Saturday evening.According to Axios: US officials revealed that the US and Iran have agreed to cease attacks and will meet this week.According to the Associated Press, Pakistan claims that it conducted ground operations and strikes in the Afghan border region, resulting in the deaths of 29 militants.

Stock Markets Take a Break Ahead of Non-Farm Payroll

Cory Russell

Aug 05, 2022 15:46

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As we swing back and forth between the Friday news, the S&P 500 has been trading a little sideways throughout the day.

Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

The S&P 500 fluctuated throughout the session on Thursday since we are barely below the 200 day moving average and, of course, we have to be concerned about the employment report on Friday.


Given that circumstance, I believe an explosive move is most likely only a matter of time. If everything remained the same, one may believe that this barrier should hold, but the S&P 500 might really take off if we were to break over the 4200 mark. Although that is not my worst-case situation, I must have it in the back of my mind when I trade this.


The 4100 level, in my opinion, is critical. A far deeper correction may be seen if we were to drop below that level. We drop another 100 points or so at that moment and start looking at the 50 Day EMA.


Unfortunately, whether or not the Federal Reserve will tighten monetary policy any more forcefully depends entirely on perception. While the Fed adamantly maintains its capacity to do so, the market does not believe it. It's highly likely that the stock markets will see a little decline if the American employment report on Friday is hotter than expected. Traders will view this as yet more justification for the Federal Reserve to closely monitor its monetary policy, perhaps leading it to tighten further. In any case, I believe we are a bit overdone in the near future, but always keep an eye out for the opposite side.

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