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1. Monday: ① Data: Chinas July RatingDog Manufacturing PMI; Switzerlands July CPI (MoM); Frances July Manufacturing PMI (Final); Germanys July Manufacturing PMI (Final); Eurozones July Manufacturing PMI (Final); UKs July Manufacturing PMI (Final); US July S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Final); US July ISM Manufacturing PMI; US June Construction Spending (MoM). ② Holiday: Toronto Stock Exchange closed. 2. Tuesday: ① Data: US June Trade Balance; US June JOLTs Job Openings; US June Factory Orders (MoM). ② Event: FMS 2026 Flash Memory Summit held August 4-6, attended by storage giants such as Samsung and SK. 3. Wednesday: ① Data: US API crude oil inventories for the week ending July 31; Chinas July RatingDog Services PMI; Frances June industrial production month-on-month; Frances July services PMI final reading; Germanys July services PMI final reading; Eurozones July services PMI final reading; UKs July services PMI final reading; Eurozones June PPI month-on-month; US July ADP employment change; US July S&P Global Services PMI final reading; US July ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI; US EIA crude oil inventories for the week ending July 31; US EIA Cushing, Oklahoma crude oil inventories for the week ending July 31; US EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserves for the week ending July 31. ② Events: Saudi Aramco releases its official crude oil prices around the 5th of each month. ③ Earnings Reports: AMD, SpaceX (Tuesday after US stock market close). 4. Thursday: ① Data: Switzerlands July seasonally adjusted unemployment rate; Eurozones June retail sales month-on-month; US July Challenger job cuts; US initial jobless claims for the week ending August 1; US July global supply chain stress index; US June wholesale sales month-on-month; US EIA natural gas storage for the week ending July 31. ② Event: SoftBank Group releases its Q1 2026 earnings report. 5. Friday: ① Data: Frances Q2 ILO unemployment rate; Germanys June seasonally adjusted industrial production month-on-month; Germanys June seasonally adjusted trade balance; UKs July Halifax seasonally adjusted house price index month-on-month; Frances June trade balance; Switzerlands July consumer confidence index; Canadas July employment change; US July unemployment rate; US July seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls; US July average hourly earnings year-on-year; US July average hourly earnings month-on-month; US July New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations; Chinas July trade balance in US dollars; Chinas July foreign exchange reserves; Chinas July trade balance. ② Events: 2028 FOMC voting member and St. Louis Fed President Musaleem speaks on the US economy and monetary policy; 2027 FOMC voting member and Richmond Fed President Barkin speaks. 6. Saturday: ① Data: Total number of US oil rigs for the week ending August 7. 7. Sunday: ① Data: Chinas July CPI year-on-year rate.On August 2nd, Abdullah Bandar al-Etabi, Assistant Professor of International Affairs at Qatar University, stated that it is too early to judge the direction of the situation following Trumps latest statement regarding Iran. In this game, neither side has shown any sign of backing down on their respective positions. Taking the Strait of Hormuz as an example, Iran has not softened its stance, and the threat of a wider conflict remains. However, the latest developments have bought more time for diplomacy. There is now more time for Iran to cooperate with regional countries to reach some kind of arrangement on the Strait of Hormuz issue and get diplomacy back on track.On August 2nd, the Department of Urban Construction of the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development held a special meeting with relevant provincial and municipal officials to discuss the prevention of gas safety accidents. The meeting emphasized that gas safety is a matter of vital interest to the people, and the accidents exposed significant weaknesses in the gas safety work of the relevant provinces and cities. The relevant provinces and cities must learn profound lessons from these accidents, draw inferences from one instance to others, and take targeted measures to improve their local gas safety management. The meeting also required that relevant provinces and cities comprehensively strengthen the special campaign to rectify urban gas safety, expedite the implementation of systems such as bottled liquefied petroleum gas delivery to households and on-site safety inspections, and accelerate the elimination of safety hazards related to cylinders, pipes, stoves, and valves at the user end. They should continue to leverage the role of the special task force for urban gas safety rectification, further promote the comprehensive rectification of the entire gas safety "one-stop" service, and accelerate the establishment and improvement of a long-term mechanism for gas safety management.The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) has expressed concern over attacks on energy infrastructure.The OPEC+ Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) met on Sunday to emphasize the importance of protecting international sea lanes to ensure the continued flow of energy.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Hover

Skylar Shaw

Jan 11, 2023 15:04

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

During Tuesday's trading session, the E-mini S&P 500 contract slightly declined and fell below the 50-Day EMA as Jerome Powell took the podium to deliver a speech. Given that not much changed after his speech, it is perhaps not shocking to see that the market has reversed course and returned to its previous level. The issue of whether or not we can hold onto this region is very different, and it is fairly probable that the Thursday session will be far more significant since the CPI statistics will be out during that session.


You need to pay great attention to those data because they are significant at a time when the globe is still concerned about inflation. In the end, the market will continue to oscillate a lot, but for now, the 200-Day EMA, which is now at the 4000 level, is sandwiched between the 50-Day EMA and the 200-Day EMA signs. I feel that we should "fade the rallies," but because there has likely been a lot of loud activity in the meantime, I do believe that it will likely not be long before we must make a more significant choice.


Nevertheless, do not undervalue Wall Street's capacity for seeing the positive side of any situation. However, sooner or later, the wise money will arrive and put everyone on the defensive. The 200-Day EMA and the 4000 level are slightly above us, and we are also in a well defined channel.