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RSM Chief Economist Joseph Brusueras: Warsh delivered the right hawkish signals at the press conference and attempted to reinforce the Fed’s credibility in restoring price stability, while also enhancing his own credibility.U.S. stocks continued to decline after the Walsh press conference, with the S&P 500 falling 1%, its biggest drop since July 29, the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 1.65%, and the Nasdaq Composite down 0.6%.On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh declined to answer questions at a press conference regarding his interactions with US President Trump. Trump has been calling for lower interest rates in recent months. Warsh stated, "I have no comment on my discussions with the president." White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Christopher Phelan said on Tuesday that raising interest rates would be a "mistake."On September 17th, Federal Reserve Chairman Warsh stated that he would not disclose details of future interest rate decisions by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). He said, "I am not responsible for providing forward guidance. Our decision today (to raise interest rates) is a carefully considered, serious, and responsible one. We have been preparing for and thinking about this decision for the past 110 or 120 days." Warsh also stated that this decision was not market-driven. He said, "Our decision today is based on our assessment of the current situation, our judgment of the employment trend, and our assessment of the strength of the economy. Sometimes, the market tries to anticipate our decisions. I watch market prices to see what information the market is sending. But todays decision is our own."On September 17th, Warsh stated that while the Federal Reserve cannot prevent price shocks in commodities such as oil on its own, the central bank can use policy tools to prevent further spread of inflationary pressures. Warsh said, "We cannot influence the price of any single commodity, such as oil or groceries." However, he pointed out, "We can and will ensure that any changes in relative prices do not spread further, and do not have second- or third-order effects on the economy. Thats our responsibility, and thats what were doing." Warsh made these remarks as U.S. diesel prices hit a record high due to the Iran war.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Hover

Skylar Shaw

Jan 11, 2023 15:04

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

During Tuesday's trading session, the E-mini S&P 500 contract slightly declined and fell below the 50-Day EMA as Jerome Powell took the podium to deliver a speech. Given that not much changed after his speech, it is perhaps not shocking to see that the market has reversed course and returned to its previous level. The issue of whether or not we can hold onto this region is very different, and it is fairly probable that the Thursday session will be far more significant since the CPI statistics will be out during that session.


You need to pay great attention to those data because they are significant at a time when the globe is still concerned about inflation. In the end, the market will continue to oscillate a lot, but for now, the 200-Day EMA, which is now at the 4000 level, is sandwiched between the 50-Day EMA and the 200-Day EMA signs. I feel that we should "fade the rallies," but because there has likely been a lot of loud activity in the meantime, I do believe that it will likely not be long before we must make a more significant choice.


Nevertheless, do not undervalue Wall Street's capacity for seeing the positive side of any situation. However, sooner or later, the wise money will arrive and put everyone on the defensive. The 200-Day EMA and the 4000 level are slightly above us, and we are also in a well defined channel.