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AirAsia X founder: We will have to cut some capacity because we don’t expect to be able to cover fuel costs on those routes. We will have to raise fares and cut costs.Israel Defense Forces: The Israel Defense Forces recently launched a new round of strikes against Iranian regime targets in Tehran.According to the China Cotton Information Centers weekly report on the Chinese cotton market on April 6th, the following points were observed: 1. Price Dynamics: The average settlement price of the Zhengzhou cotton futures main contract for the week of March 30th-April 3rd was 15,331 yuan/ton, basically unchanged from the previous week. The average settlement price of the New York cotton futures main contract was 70.47 cents/lb, up 2.10 cents/lb from the previous week, a rise of 3.1%. Domestic cotton prices were 3,244 yuan/ton higher than international cotton prices, with the price difference narrowing by 382 yuan/ton compared to the previous week. The average market price of domestic C32S carded yarn was 22,285 yuan/ton, up 92 yuan/ton from the previous week, a rise of 0.4%. 2. Macroeconomic Situation: The escalating situation in the Middle East exacerbated concerns about global stagflation, with New York crude oil futures breaking $110 for the first time in four years. A report from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development showed that the average daily ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz plummeted by 95% month-on-month in March. Domestically, the manufacturing PMI returned to expansion territory in March to 50.4%, indicating a slight recovery in economic activity. 3. Supply and Demand Situation: The International Cotton Advisory Committees April report increased its global cotton production forecast for 2026/27 by 100,000 tons to 24.9 million tons. The USDAs intended cotton planting area in March was 9.64 million acres, a 3.9% year-on-year increase, but drought conditions currently affect 90% of major producing areas. As of April 2nd, the national cotton sales rate was 81.3%, a 16.7 percentage point increase year-on-year. New orders for downstream textile companies have weakened slightly, and some companies have seen a decline in operating rates. 4. Market Outlook: The expectation of tight supply in the new year and domestic policies to expand domestic demand provide strong support for the domestic cotton market. It is expected to continue its range-bound trading pattern in the near term, requiring close monitoring of spring planting weather in the Northern Hemisphere and factors such as the US-China trade negotiations.On April 6th, the ASEAN Plus Three Macroeconomic Research Office released its annual report, "ASEAN Plus Three Regional Economic Outlook 2026." The report projects that the ASEAN Plus Three region will grow by 4.0% in both 2026 and 2027. However, the report also points out that the escalating conflict in the Middle East and significant disruptions to global energy supplies have increased the downside risks to the regions economic outlook. The report shows that the regions economic growth is projected to reach 4.3% in 2025, higher than previously expected. Demand for semiconductors driven by artificial intelligence is a key driver of export growth.Japans Topix index rose 1% on the day.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Hover

Skylar Shaw

Jan 11, 2023 15:04

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

During Tuesday's trading session, the E-mini S&P 500 contract slightly declined and fell below the 50-Day EMA as Jerome Powell took the podium to deliver a speech. Given that not much changed after his speech, it is perhaps not shocking to see that the market has reversed course and returned to its previous level. The issue of whether or not we can hold onto this region is very different, and it is fairly probable that the Thursday session will be far more significant since the CPI statistics will be out during that session.


You need to pay great attention to those data because they are significant at a time when the globe is still concerned about inflation. In the end, the market will continue to oscillate a lot, but for now, the 200-Day EMA, which is now at the 4000 level, is sandwiched between the 50-Day EMA and the 200-Day EMA signs. I feel that we should "fade the rallies," but because there has likely been a lot of loud activity in the meantime, I do believe that it will likely not be long before we must make a more significant choice.


Nevertheless, do not undervalue Wall Street's capacity for seeing the positive side of any situation. However, sooner or later, the wise money will arrive and put everyone on the defensive. The 200-Day EMA and the 4000 level are slightly above us, and we are also in a well defined channel.