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April 16th - According to information disclosed by the US on the 15th, due to the ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and Iran depleting US military weapon stockpiles, the Trump administration is in contact with automakers and other manufacturers, intending to have them increase weapons production. Sources indicate that senior US defense officials have discussed increasing arms production with executives from several companies, including General Motors CEO Mary Barra and Ford CEO Jim Farley. In addition, General Electric-Aerospace and Oshkosh Corporation, headquartered in Wisconsin, also participated in talks with US defense officials. The report states that the US Department of Defense intends to recruit these companies, utilizing their personnel and factory capacity to increase the production of ammunition and other equipment.On April 16, Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Guo Jiakun held a regular press conference. A Reuters reporter asked, "US President Trump said yesterday that he believes China will not stop buying Iranian oil. He also said he would impose sanctions on countries that buy Iranian oil. What is Chinas comment on this?" Guo Jiakun stated that China has consistently opposed illegal unilateral sanctions that have no basis in international law and are not authorized by the UN Security Council.On April 16th, Suren Thiru, an economist at the Institute of Chartered Accountants, stated that the unexpectedly strong growth in the UK in February would soon be overshadowed by the impact of the war with Iran. GDP grew by 0.5% that month, higher than the expected 0.2%. He said, "Given that the unexpectedly strong growth in February has been far outpaced by new energy and supply chain shocks, these figures are unlikely to alleviate stagflation concerns." This is expected to affect investment and consumer spending over the next year, thus dampening economic growth. Thiru indicated that the Bank of England is likely to keep interest rates unchanged for the time being, as the squeeze on growth will suppress inflation.The Bank of Japan announced that it will hold a meeting of bond market participants from May 21 to 22.April 16th - According to the BBC, Bank of England Governor Bailey stated that the central bank is "not in a hurry" to make a decision on interest rate hikes in the face of the energy price shock caused by the war with Iran. He pointed out that rising oil and gas prices will certainly affect prices, but other factors make interest rate decisions "very, very difficult." Bailey said, "We are not in a hurry to make judgments on these things because there is a lot of uncertainty in this area, not only about how things will develop, but also how it will be transmitted to the UK economy." The IMF lowered its economic growth forecast on Tuesday, warning that if the war escalates and oil prices remain above $100 until 2027, the global economy may face the risk of recession, with the UK receiving the largest downward revision among large, wealthy economies.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Markets Continue to Hover

Skylar Shaw

Jan 11, 2023 15:04

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Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

During Tuesday's trading session, the E-mini S&P 500 contract slightly declined and fell below the 50-Day EMA as Jerome Powell took the podium to deliver a speech. Given that not much changed after his speech, it is perhaps not shocking to see that the market has reversed course and returned to its previous level. The issue of whether or not we can hold onto this region is very different, and it is fairly probable that the Thursday session will be far more significant since the CPI statistics will be out during that session.


You need to pay great attention to those data because they are significant at a time when the globe is still concerned about inflation. In the end, the market will continue to oscillate a lot, but for now, the 200-Day EMA, which is now at the 4000 level, is sandwiched between the 50-Day EMA and the 200-Day EMA signs. I feel that we should "fade the rallies," but because there has likely been a lot of loud activity in the meantime, I do believe that it will likely not be long before we must make a more significant choice.


Nevertheless, do not undervalue Wall Street's capacity for seeing the positive side of any situation. However, sooner or later, the wise money will arrive and put everyone on the defensive. The 200-Day EMA and the 4000 level are slightly above us, and we are also in a well defined channel.