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On February 3, according to the Financial Times, according to the latest forecast of Vitol Energy Group, the worlds largest independent energy trader, global oil demand will not decline until at least 2040, which is the latest signal that economies will find it difficult to get rid of their dependence on oil. Vitol Energy Groups daily oil trading volume accounts for about 7% of the worlds oil supply. The company expects global demand to peak at nearly 110 million barrels per day by 2030, and then fall back to the current level of about 105 million barrels per day in 2040. This forecast is different from the International Energy Agency (IEA), which expects oil demand to peak at 105.6 million barrels per day in 2029. Vitol Energy Group said that it expects consumption of some petroleum products such as gasoline to decline, and global gasoline demand will decrease by 4.5 million barrels per day by 2040.According to the Korean Central News Agency: North Korea said it would strongly respond to the hostile provocations of the United States.On February 3, the Ukrainian Air Force reported on February 2 that since 21:00 local time on February 1, the Russian military has attacked Ukraine with 55 drones. As of 9:00 am on February 2, the Ukrainian military confirmed that 40 drones were shot down. The report said that the Russian military attack caused losses in the Kharkiv and Sumy regions of Ukraine. The Russian Ministry of Defense reported on February 2 that the Russian air defense system shot down a US-made "HIMARS" rocket and 44 drones. In addition, the Russian military also attacked Ukrainian military airports and fuel storage facilities and other targets.Security sources said the Khormor gas field in northern Iraq was attacked by a drone.Ecuadors president says his government has reached a trade deal with Canada.

S&P 500 Price Forecast – Stock Market Rallies Heading Toward CPI

Steven Zhao

Jan 12, 2023 15:42


Technical Analysis of the S&P 500

Even though the critical CPI statistic is out on Thursday, the S&P 500 has surged pretty substantially in the early hours of Wednesday. To be very honest, it seems that many traders are actively attempting to "front run the Fed," which is nothing new. However, given where we are on the chart, it could be challenging to go through this threshold. Given that the 200-Day EMA is barely above, there will undoubtedly be some attention given to this scenario. A significant downtrend line and the 4000 level are both possible tangles after a break above the air.


Keep in mind that Wall Street, which is seeking for low-cost financing, seems to be depending on the notion that the Federal Reserve would provide some kind of relief. For the last 14 years or more, that has been the whole game: making quick, easy money. Because the Federal Reserve is to blame, they will inevitably have to adopt an extremely hostile and pessimistic tone. Although it seems that everyone is ready to disregard it for the time being, it is coming near to the inflation level, which will almost certainly startle the market once again.


Having said that, we have a good chance of reaching 4200 if we manage to break above the downtrend line. The Wall Street traders are really skilled at creating stories, so as soon as they receive the shot, there will be some other tale to listen to. That is an area where I would also anticipate seeing a lot of opposition.