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On January 11, UN Secretary-General Spokesperson Stephane Dujarric said on the 10th local time that the United Nations has noticed reports from both the United States and Russia that US President-elect Trump plans to hold talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin. The United Nations welcomes any dialogue between the United States and Russia after Trump officially takes office as president. US media reported on the same day that Trump is planning to hold talks with Putin to resolve the Ukrainian issue. In response, Russian Presidents Press Secretary Peskov said on the 10th that Russia welcomes Trumps willingness to resolve the issue through dialogue. Although there are no specific arrangements at present, there should be further actions after Trump takes office as president.On January 11, the South Korean government said on the 10th that the country will discuss the minimum age standard for the elderly in the near future to deal with issues related to the aging population. According to media reports, the South Korean government intends to raise the minimum age threshold for the elderly to 70 years old. This proposal was made by the Ministry of Health and Welfare of South Korea and has been reported to Acting President Choi Sang-moo. At present, the minimum age standard for the elderly in South Korea is 65 years old.On January 11, the weather in northern and western Japan near the Sea of Japan has been extremely cold recently, with heavy snowfall in large areas over the past few days. In particular, the snow depth in Suoyu, Aomori Prefecture reached 3.7 meters on the 10th. Due to the snowfall, some sections of Japans highways were closed, and some Shinkansen trains were suspended or delayed.British Chancellor of the Exchequer Reeves: The fiscal rules set in the October budget are "non-negotiable". Global financial markets have undoubtedly changed.On January 11, Mitsubishi Motors President Takao Kato was interviewed on January 10. Regarding whether to join the management merger consultation between Honda and Nissan, he said "this is one of the options." Speaking of the envisioned benefits, Kato Takao said "We can actively get help in the North American business (where Mitsubishi Motors has no production base)." Kato Takao also pointed out that in terms of in-vehicle software development, "there will also be scenarios where the technical strength of the two companies will be utilized, which will be very beneficial." Honda and Nissan announced the full launch of management merger consultations in December last year. Mitsubishi Motors previously stated that it will decide whether to join the consultations around the end of January.

Stock Bulls Remain Optimistic As Manufacturing Inflation Slows, According to Data

Daniel Rogers

May 16, 2022 11:04

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As data indicates a deceleration in manufacturing inflation, stock market bulls remain exceedingly cautious but are slightly more bullish. The Producer Price Index increased by 11 percent year-over-year in April, which was higher than anticipated but a significant decrease from March's 11.5 percent increase. As producer prices lead consumer prices, the report is generally positive, although markets and the Fed will need to observe a few more months of decreases before pronouncing that inflation is actually moderating.

Inflation

Economists also caution that products inflation may be declining because consumer demand is shifting away from items and toward services, suggesting that high prices may be migrating from one sector of the economy to another. The most recent data indicates that prices for services are increasing at the quickest rate in 30 years, with airfare leading the way. Even if inflation has reached its top, the question is how long it will remain elevated.

 

Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell cautioned Monday that the central bank cannot guarantee a "smooth landing" for the economy, citing the tight labor market and continued supply chain disruptions. Powell also emphasized that other "big events," including as Russia's war in Ukraine, are currently playing significant roles that are outside the Fed's control. Powell made the remarks after receiving Senate confirmation for a second four-year term.

 

The target inflation rate of the central bank is still "flexible +2 percent," but a number of officials have hinted that the new norm may be in the range of +2.5 percent to +3 percent. The Core PCE Prices Index, which stood at +5.2 percent in March, is one of the primary (but not the only) indicators used by the Fed to assess the rate of inflation. The April reading is expected to be released on May 27, a couple weeks before the Fed's next meeting on June 14-15.

Data to Monitor

Recent consumer data has sent mixed signals that are difficult to decipher. Since the beginning of the year, sentiment has largely declined, but consumer spending has showed no indications of slowing.

 

On Tuesday of the next week, April Retail Sales will provide an update on consumer spending. Next week, a flurry of new housing statistics will shed light on how significantly increased mortgage rates may be affecting the market. The May NAHB Housing Market Index is released on Tuesday, followed by April Housing Starts and April Existing Home Sales on Wednesday and Thursday, respectively.

 

Home Depot and Walmart will report earnings on Tuesday, followed by Cisco, Lowe's, Target, and TJX Companies on Wednesday; Applied Materials, Palo Alto Networks, and Ross Stores on Thursday; and Deere & Co. on Friday.

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